How good is Big Brown?

[Oaklawnfan]

Wowza, Man he was awsome! Is there a KY Derby Future board with him on it? I'm getting weak kneed on my Dennis of Cork wager.

[justindew]

Originally Posted by Coach Pants

I just hit the pick 4. Should I act like a huge know-it-all douche right now?

Yes.

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698

Seems like the track got faster. I mean Electrify is an alright horse, but he just shaded 1:48 for 9 furlongs.

Good point.

[Scav]

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698

Seems like the track got faster. I mean Electrify is an alright horse, but he just shaded 1:48 for 9 furlongs.

is the track still drying out or is it completely dry from all that rain last week?

I'm not sure I should act like a douche. It paid a little lower than Big Brown's win. And I also posted exactly what I should bet.

I better wait and work on my douche skills. It just isn't cutting it this time.

[fpsoxfan]

I've stayed on the sidelines up until this point. Right now based on what I've seen this is the best 3 year old running.

[Scav]

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698

I don't think it has rained there since the beginning of this week, so you would think that it's dried out. Who knows what these supers do, but that Electrify time sticks out like a sore thumb to me.

It would be interesting to see what they did inbetween, because it was only what, 40 minutes until that last race??

[Hickory Hill Hoff]

Originally Posted by fpsoxfan

I've stayed on the sidelines up until this point. Right now based on what I've seen this is the best 3 year old running.

and War Pass was a few weeks back.....four lifetime starts, just knows the front and Dutrow, good luck @ 2-1 or less in the Derby....this isn't your type of horse Pat!

[fpsoxfan]

Originally Posted by Hickory Hill Hoff

and War Pass was a few weeks back.....four lifetime starts, just knows the front and Dutrow, good luck @ 2-1 or less in the Derby....this isn't your type of horse Pat!

Now I didn't say I'd bet him. But, that was an impressive performance.

[Hickory Hill Hoff]

Originally Posted by fpsoxfan

Now I didn't say I'd bet him. But, that was an impressive performance.

he's a better, bet against

[SOREHOOF]

Believe your eyes. Smooth Air held on after being with the lead. He might get better with more distance, or at least hold on in the Derby. I like BB I liked Bellamy Road too.

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698

I don't think it has rained there since the beginning of this week, so you would think that it's dried out. Who knows what these supers do, but that Electrify time sticks out like a sore thumb to me.

I will hand time Electrify's race later.

They didn't post fractions for it.

[Danzig]

Originally Posted by TheSpyder

I agree, whose going to stop him? Plus he gets better as he gets more experience.

Spyder

altho he looked good, the rest of the field wasn't much. but it was better than many performances from some of the other supposed derby horses.
what can stop him? that horse is unsound as the dollar.

[cmorioles]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

I will hand time Electrify's race later.

They didn't post fractions for it.

I just watched the replay, there were fractions. 3/4 time was nearly identical to the Fla Derby.

Nice job by the supe completely changing the track for the big race.

[fpsoxfan]

Originally Posted by Hickory Hill Hoff

he's a better, bet against

I thought for sure he'd fold in the stretch. I had a 2-12-all triple
and a 2-12-all-all dime super.

[Danzig]

Originally Posted by slotdirt

Nothing like Derby prep time, where every horse who wins a race turns into the next Triple Crown winner...

that's true--happens every time a prep is run.


well, maybe not every. i don't think anyone jumped on the visionaire wagon a few weeks back.

[cmorioles]

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698

Yeah about that much time. Maybe I'm off and Electrify just freaked, but it does seem interesting.

I posted this elsewhere, I'll do it here. The track was "suped" before the Fla Derby, not after:

Big Brown probably ran low 100s again, and the rest just stunk.

The raw figures for the three 9f races, pace and speed (projection):

R9: 92, 89 (I project this one as about a 98, so the track would be 9 slow)
R10: 128, 120 (I project this one as about 105, so suddenly the track is 15 fast?)
R12: 128, 123 (project at 110, so 13 fast)

Nice job by the super.

[fpsoxfan]

Originally Posted by cmorioles

I posted this elsewhere, I'll do it here. The track was "suped" before the Fla Derby, not after:

Big Brown probably ran low 100s again, and the rest just stunk.

The raw figures for the three 9f races, pace and speed (projection):

R9: 92, 89 (I project this one as about a 98, so the track would be 9 slow)
R10: 128, 120 (I project this one as about 105, so suddenly the track is 15 fast?)
R12: 128, 123 (project at 110, so 13 fast)

Nice job by the super.

Do you really believe the shiat you are peddling?

[cmorioles]

What is it you don't believe? All I'm saying is the track speed basically became 25 points faster between the Bonnie Miss and the Florida Derby.

[fpsoxfan]

What are you trying to say? Don't you think this is a little pre-mature with this souped up theory?