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  #61  
Old 10-21-2008, 09:28 PM
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miraja2 miraja2 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hockey2315
Interesting that Murtagh chose Duke over Henry. . .
I think Henry is EXTREMELY unlikely here. He's 75-1 in this spot as far as I am concerned.
Murtagh has a much better chance on Duke of Marmalade.
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  #62  
Old 10-21-2008, 09:36 PM
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Bobby Fischer Bobby Fischer is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by miraja2
I think Henry is EXTREMELY unlikely here. He's 75-1 in this spot as far as I am concerned.
WOW "oh my god"

any reasons ?
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  #63  
Old 10-21-2008, 09:49 PM
GBBob GBBob is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
Welcome to the board.

I think Tiago and Student Council have decent shots at hitting the board
Try and build a Pick 6 ticket and then try and throw out horses in the Classic on your Pick 6 ticket, final leg....ain't easy
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  #64  
Old 10-21-2008, 09:56 PM
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miraja2 miraja2 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by OkieMax
So I'm hoping this works.

Seems to me that the smart play in this race is the Super. The pool is going to be through the roof, and as long as you have the "order" right underneath Curlin, it might pay a grand or better. I like the Euros in some of these, but in the Classic, I think it's likely they'll be completely off the board. Go for the bombs underneath in 2nd, 3rd, and 4th.

Again, hope my initial post works...., and I look forward to visiting this site on a regular basis.
I actually think Fairbanks is a must-include in any exotics. He isn't much, but this race should set up perfectly for him to hang on for a share.
Of course, I'll also be betting against Curlin in this spot, so what do I know.
Welcome to the board.
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  #65  
Old 10-21-2008, 10:16 PM
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Pedigree Ann Pedigree Ann is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hockey2315
Interesting that Murtagh chose Duke over Henry. . .
Henry hasn't shown he can handle 10f, whereas the Duke is world class at 10f (at least on turf). Not a difficult choice for him, I would think.
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  #66  
Old 10-21-2008, 10:18 PM
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9th (3:45) Breeders' Cup Classic (G1)

1 1/4 Miles (All Weather Track) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $5,000,000

1 Go Between Gomez G K 126 L
2 Casino Drive Espinoza V 121
3 Tiago Smith M E 126 L
4 Duke of Marmalade (IRE) Murtagh J P 126
5 Henrythenavigator Velazquez J R 121 L
6 Smooth Air Cruz M R 121 L
7 Student Council Bridgmohan S X 126 L
8 Raven's Pass Dettori L 121 L
9 Curlin Albarado R J 126 L
10 Fairbanks Migliore R 126 L
11 Colonel John Prado E S 121 L
12 Champs Elysees (GB) Garcia Alan 126 Blk-On L
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  #67  
Old 10-21-2008, 10:21 PM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by miraja2
I think Henry is EXTREMELY unlikely here. He's 75-1 in this spot as far as I am concerned.
Murtagh has a much better chance on Duke of Marmalade.
Why exactly?
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  #68  
Old 10-21-2008, 10:23 PM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pedigree Ann
Henry hasn't shown he can handle 10f, whereas the Duke is world class at 10f (at least on turf). Not a difficult choice for him, I would think.
Has he gone that far?
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  #69  
Old 10-21-2008, 10:39 PM
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miraja2 miraja2 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hockey2315
Why exactly?
I don't like horses stretching out 2f, & I don't like horses trying a synthetic surface for the first time. He's doing both.
I just can't find any reason to think he will be effective at 10f on this surface.
He has never gone beyond a mile and there is no real reason to think the increase in distance will do anything but hurt him. When you throw in the surface-switch and the fact that he doesn't seem to be in the exact same form he was in when he rattled off those G1s this spring/summer, I think he is very unlikely.
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  #70  
Old 10-21-2008, 10:46 PM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by miraja2
I don't like horses stretching out 2f, & I don't like horses trying a synthetic surface for the first time. He's doing both.
I just can't find any reason to think he will be effective at 10f on this surface.
He has never gone beyond a mile and there is no real reason to think the increase in distance will do anything but hurt him. When you throw in the surface-switch and the fact that he doesn't seem to be in the exact same form he was in when he rattled off those G1s this spring/summer, I think he is very unlikely.
Eh. . . fair enough. . .
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  #71  
Old 10-22-2008, 03:16 AM
SniperSB23 SniperSB23 is offline
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This race is simple. Neither Curlin nor Duke of Marmalade have the turn of foot to pass the other. But both have the guts to hold the other off if they take the lead first. So whoever passes Fairbanks off the turn and gets to the lead first is going to win. Figuring out which one of those pinheads will realize that is the priceless question.
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  #72  
Old 10-22-2008, 08:33 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hockey2315
Eh. . . fair enough. . .
Also, Henry may have already peaked after a really tough campaign.
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  #73  
Old 10-22-2008, 09:33 AM
alysheba4 alysheba4 is offline
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well armed should have gone here.....
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  #74  
Old 10-22-2008, 09:47 AM
Scav Scav is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SniperSB23
This race is simple. Neither Curlin nor Duke of Marmalade have the turn of foot to pass the other. But both have the guts to hold the other off if they take the lead first. So whoever passes Fairbanks off the turn and gets to the lead first is going to win. Figuring out which one of those pinheads will realize that is the priceless question.
You are assuming that Duke of Marmalade will like the track....
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  #75  
Old 10-22-2008, 12:20 PM
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1-2-3 box
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  #76  
Old 10-22-2008, 12:21 PM
Scav Scav is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hrfan
1-2-3 box
OMG THANK YOU!!! I have a fighting chance this weekend now
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  #77  
Old 10-22-2008, 12:24 PM
hrfan
 
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Originally Posted by Scav
OMG THANK YOU!!! I have a fighting chance this weekend now
i have been saying those 3 for a while.
good luck to you.
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  #78  
Old 10-22-2008, 12:26 PM
GBBob GBBob is offline
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I hope everybody tosses Curlin
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  #79  
Old 10-22-2008, 12:28 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GBBob
I hope everybody tosses Curlin
Doubt it, he will be around 3-5
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  #80  
Old 10-22-2008, 12:35 PM
Scav Scav is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hrfan
Doubt it, he will be around 3-5
I disagree, with all the doubts, and all the stupid money that people like you will be putting on Casino Drive, he might be above even money for the first time in a semi-dirt race(before the synethic police come and nab me), in a long time.

If I am in the position to play a healthy p6 ticket, I will be singling him, with confidence
Last edited by Scav : 10-22-2008 at 12:45 PM.
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