Quote:
Originally Posted by oracle80
What I observe at the finish line is a bunch of horses who are going up and down and not forward. The horses who hang on and win seem to be laboring as bad as those chasing them but have a head start and hang on.
I don't see horses really running at the end.
Belgravia was narrowly saved by the line and it shocked me. He looked home free easily and the 2nd horse didn't appear to be flying to me so much as Belgravia was just exhausted.
I'm still seeing single file setups, with less contesting of the pace and movement on the backside then on dirt.
I'm watching Scuds, even though I'm not playing I'm watching.
The closers I see don't seem to be closing so much as the horses who they pass appear to be walking.
I'm also glad Honu said what she said about being decieved by times when she works her horses on it. I'm seeing jocks that appear to have no idea how much horse they have underneath them. Sitting chilly as if they have a ton and asking and finding they are dead empty. Also seeing guys whaling away on horses on the turn as if they are in trouble, who keep on rallying even though your eyes tell you they should be empty.
|
Well,like I said Belgravia and Notional were probably co-leading while running a1:10. I think a 1:10 on this stuff is about what a 1:09 use to feel like.They don't seem to realize that yet.Dilemma is indeed coming fast,but it is difficult to get by a horse who 1st takes your path,and then drifts out towards you(forcing you yet another lane out.)Dilemma and QLM both made big moves.If you choose to think they weren't making big active moves,then I will let the evidence speak for itself.We have all seen maiden claimer 1st timers hit the wall in the final furlong.That is what dead empty looks like.These guys are use to going head to head on a 44 and change,and a 1:10 or less,and that isn't gunna work on this track.Each time they try it they will be passed.Belgravia got away with it,but was very fortunate(and probably a better horse than you and I thought.)They can't go head to head or even be close to running those splits on this stuff.They will get run down.This is a fair track,but they have to moderate the fractions they run on it.