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  #101  
Old 09-04-2013, 12:25 PM
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Can someone post a link to Doug's blog please?

Thx.
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  #102  
Old 09-04-2013, 12:28 PM
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Originally Posted by odbaxter View Post
Can someone post a link to Doug's blog please?

Thx.
http://timeformusblog.com/

I have been doing a play of the day write-up for Saratoga and a major weekend stakes race or two.
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  #103  
Old 09-04-2013, 12:53 PM
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You should start doing Presque Isle too given your posts above. Great job.

Paul
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  #104  
Old 09-04-2013, 03:16 PM
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Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up View Post
Speaking of Timeform pace projections, what do you think of Tamarando in the Del Mar Futurity, he has never really caught a fast pace and I think a bunch of sprinters stretching out today will give that to him, his 82 is already competitive and I think he may improve a bit at 7F, 8/1 ML.
He and Albert's Hope definitely should get a setup in that race.

As should Pebble Beach Baby in Race #2.
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  #105  
Old 09-04-2013, 03:30 PM
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You should start doing Presque Isle too given your posts above. Great job.

Paul
Thanks Paul. They make those decisions for me.
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  #106  
Old 09-04-2013, 04:59 PM
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Thanks Paul. They make those decisions for me.
You can always post here if you are allowed...

Paul
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  #107  
Old 09-04-2013, 05:08 PM
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Originally Posted by Calzone Lord View Post
He and Albert's Hope definitely should get a setup in that race.

As should Pebble Beach Baby in Race #2.
( :

I bet her as well
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  #108  
Old 09-04-2013, 05:41 PM
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No chance 3rd.

I know they said its really hot, wonder if they over watered the track, it was chalky but two races and not much passing of horses as of yet.
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  #109  
Old 09-04-2013, 08:48 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up View Post
Speaking of Timeform pace projections, what do you think of Tamarando in the Del Mar Futurity, he has never really caught a fast pace and I think a bunch of sprinters stretching out today will give that to him, his 82 is already competitive and I think he may improve a bit at 7F, 8/1 ML.
Hope you crushed that.
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  #110  
Old 09-04-2013, 09:15 PM
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Good call on Keyboard Courage....12-1.
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  #111  
Old 09-04-2013, 09:31 PM
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Hope you crushed that.
Yea that was a good result for me, nice way to end the meet.
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  #112  
Old 09-04-2013, 09:45 PM
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HELL YES!!!

You rock Doug!!!!!
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  #113  
Old 09-04-2013, 10:00 PM
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Originally Posted by odbaxter View Post
HELL YES!!!

You rock Doug!!!!!
Doug is awesome but credit should go to Justin Finch who wrote the blog and is the Del Mar blogger for Timeform.
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  #114  
Old 09-05-2013, 12:18 AM
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Thanks for the heads up!

Way to go Justin!
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  #115  
Old 09-05-2013, 07:36 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up View Post
Speaking of Timeform pace projections, what do you think of Tamarando in the Del Mar Futurity, he has never really caught a fast pace and I think a bunch of sprinters stretching out today will give that to him, his 82 is already competitive and I think he may improve a bit at 7F, 8/1 ML.
Excellent call with Tamarando cashing in on the setup!
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  #116  
Old 09-05-2013, 07:51 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up View Post
Speaking of Timeform pace projections, what do you think of Tamarando in the Del Mar Futurity, he has never really caught a fast pace and I think a bunch of sprinters stretching out today will give that to him, his 82 is already competitive and I think he may improve a bit at 7F, 8/1 ML.
Nice!
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  #117  
Old 09-05-2013, 10:12 AM
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The blue/red pace lines is a really nice feature with Timeform, you quickly at a glance can measure the setup the horse was working with last race(s).

Many times you see a speed horse with a blue running line and then a loss at 3/5 next out which was predictable, now Jerry Brown would say the horse bounced, but we know thats not reality.
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  #118  
Old 09-05-2013, 12:00 PM
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The blue-fractions and red-fractions are definitely a nice feature.

Any pace that is a +15 or higher, the fractions are shown in red.

Any pace that is a -15 or lower, the fractions are displayed in blue.

My personal preference would have been to use +20 or faster for red, and -12 or slower for blue ... but they're currently very close to that right now.
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  #119  
Old 09-05-2013, 12:10 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Calzone Lord View Post
The blue-fractions and red-fractions are definitely a nice feature.

Any pace that is a +15 or higher, the fractions are shown in red.

Any pace that is a -15 or lower, the fractions are displayed in blue.

My personal preference would have been to use +20 or faster for red, and -12 or slower for blue ... but they're currently very close to that right now.
I have actually been much more profitable on the closers in -12 running line than the speed horses. The odds are way better as well.

What I am finding is there are many horses who run well with +20 efforts but do not back them up, more times than not at the cheap tracks.

This an advanced pacefigures type item but I am finding also some correlation between turn time and next out efforts using the PF's.
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  #120  
Old 09-05-2013, 12:54 PM
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Doug, is there a place I can get your picks from the paper online?
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