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Meydan (Dubai) - Super Saturday March 9th
Race 1:
#2 Switzerland: Came back mildly lame from his first run in Dubai and not disgraced last time when giving away 14lbs to the winner. Drawn the inside this time on even weights. #10 Tato Key: Argentinean import sports an impressive record (12 for 15) and ran very well last time when not fully ready. #8 Drafted: Deserved fav, but just think the top two are more likely to improve off recent runs. #9 I Kirk: Swedish bullet doesn't need the front to score, but may get caught a tad wide. Race 2: #14 Tabarak: No surprise to see him handle the dirt---Quality Road x Afleet Alex with a lot of class on the bottom--- by wiring them, and the second and third finishers returned to win next out. I liked his turf debut run, as he ran was green but still ran on well in traffic. That running style could serve him well here, as there is other speed drawn just to his inside, meaning he can get a nice stalking trip or stay clear of the kickback. #11 Red Cactus: Swedish colt by Hard Spun showed last time he has some ability, coming from nowhere to get third. Closing style not affected by the wide draw, and should improve with the added distance. #13 Estihdaaf: Has been drawn the rail in his last two. This is a completely different proposition drawn this wide. #3 Divine Image: A bit reluctant to put her in, but she gets the fillies' weight allowance and can get a similar inside stalking trip as she got in the Oaks. #12 wired them last time but hard to see him getting across to the rail here. Race 3: #9 Blue Point: Best recent form has been over 5f, but deserves to be odds-on and will be tough to beat. #1 Ekhtiyaar #4 Gifted Master #7 Mazzini Race 4: #7 Moqarrab: Highly regarded when wintering last year in Dubai for Godolphin. Subsequently sold after a couple of disappointing runs but I liked his return last time. Was about 6-7 wide throughout but still kept charging to the wire. May be the wiseguy runner here so probably won't get the 33-1 he was quoted at earlier in the week. #1 Muntazah: Ran 2nd in the Godolphin Mile last year and was back to his best with an easy win last time out. The one to beat. #12 Musawaat: Ignore his try at 10f last time and his form fits. #4 Good Curry #5 is definitely dangerous and can't be left off the exotics, but I first want to see him on this surface, especially since Barzalona stays with the stablemate. Race 5: #2 Old Persian: Failed to stay the trip in the St. Leger when last seen in September, but had two really good G2 wins prior to that. Hard to beat if ready. #6 Racing History: Placed in two German G1s over this distance, and can see him finishing in front of #5 this time with more pace around in the race. #10 Team Talk: Not given much of a chance from near last behind a dawdling pace---his last 200m was in 22.38. #9 Marinaresco: G1 winner over 11f in South Africa is still getting warmed-up for World Cup night, but can run on into the exotics here. Race 6: #8 Nordic Lights: Given a shot here because the Blue Army are loaded up in other races, but has reportedly been working very well on the dirt. Has speed so he should avoid the kickback and is a good price. #2 Thunder Snow: Could very well win this, but bin Suroor has been very clear that his target is in a few weeks from now. Worth taking a small shot against at odds-on. #6 Dolkong: Ultra impressive winner last week, but this is much tougher. #3 New Trails Race 7: #9 Dream Castle: Much improved this year as a gelding and hard to play against off what he's done so far this season. #6 Wootton: Completely luckless in the stretch on his 4yo bow. Flew home and should be right there at the finish. #10 Loxley: Back to 9f for his 4yo debut but should get a good trip and is decent odds. #4 Century Dream: Not disgraced here last time but needs to prove it at this distance. Good luck! |