Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Stakes Archive
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 12-29-2014, 08:22 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,270
Default

SA Malibu S (G1): Shared Belief 99 (Candy Ride-ARG) J. Hollendorfer/M. Smith
SA La Brea S (G1): Sam's Sister 87 (Brother Derek) J. Hollendorfer/E. Trujillo
SA Mathis Bros. Mile S (G2): Alert Bay 92 (City Zip) B. Wright/T. Baze
SA 2yo MSW (6.5f): Mick's Miracle 88 (Wildcat Heir) P. D'Amato/J. Talamo
SA Robert J Frankel S (G3): Lady Pimpernel-GB 87 (Sir Percy-GB) C. Gaines/V. Espinoza
SA Midnight Lute S (G3): Distinctiv Passion 96 (With Distinction) J. Bonde/M. Smith
SA Eddie Logan S: Bolo 88 (Temple City) C. Gaines/M. Smith
SA Daytona S (G3): Bettys Bambino 93 (Unusual Heat) P. Eurton/M. Garcia
SA Kalookan Queen S : Harlington's Rose 80 (Harlington) S. Knapp/J. Talamo

LRL Maryland Juvenile Futurity: Ghost Bay 68 (Ghostzapper) L. Murray/F. Boyce
LRL MD Juvenile Filly Ch. S: Spotted Heart 55 (Lion Hearted) M. Shuman/S. Russell

AQU Gravesend S: Salutos Amigos 108 (Salute the Sarge) D. Jacobson/I. Ortiz
AQU New York Stallion Series S: Chasing Bubbles 73 (Posse) K. McPeek/I. Rodriguez
AQU New York Stallion Series S: The Lewis Dinner 75 (Posse) R. Rodriguez/M. Franco

GP Mr. Prospector S (G3): Speechify 102 (Harlan's Holiday) R. Nicks/P. Lopez
GP La Prevoyante H (G3): Irish Mission 92 (Giant's Causeway) C. Clement/J. Velazquez
GP W. L. McKnight H (G3): Divine Oath 97 (Broken Vow) T. Pletcher J. Castellano

TAM Pasco S: Catalina Red 88 (Munnings) C. Stewart/D. Centeno
TAM Gasparilla S: Irish Jasper 76 (First Defence) D. Ryan/V. Lebron

SUN Red Hedeman Mile S: Liberty Lover -- (Diabolical) J. Nall/R. Eikleberry
SUN Albert Dominguez Memorial H: Proceed -- (Desert God) J. Marr/A. Juarez

FG Pago Hop S: Kiss to Remember 85 (Big Brown) T. Amoss/J. Graham
FG Woodchopper S: Rise Up 84 (Rockport Harbor) T. Amoss/B. Hernandez

TUP Lost in the Fog Juvenile S: Outdated 79 (Old Fashioned) R. Diodoro/J. Carreno
TUP Arizona Juvenile Fillies S: Freakin Amazing 71 (Zensational) R. Diodoro/G. Franco
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 12-29-2014 at 10:09 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 12-29-2014, 12:43 PM
Seattleallstar's Avatar
Seattleallstar Seattleallstar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,866
Default

What the Beyer for that Pletcher maiden for Repole at GP?
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 12-29-2014, 01:41 PM
10 pnt move up's Avatar
10 pnt move up 10 pnt move up is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 3,745
Default

Why do horses suck so bad now?

These figures would hardly win maiden races not too long ago.
__________________
"To learn who rules over you, simply find out who you are not allowed to criticize"...Voltaire
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 12-29-2014, 02:35 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,270
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Seattleallstar View Post
What the Beyer for that Pletcher maiden for Repole at GP?
79
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 12-29-2014, 03:55 PM
Seattleallstar's Avatar
Seattleallstar Seattleallstar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,866
Default

Thanks, at least it looked impressive
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 12-30-2014, 12:07 PM
Easy Goer Otis's Avatar
Easy Goer Otis Easy Goer Otis is offline
Lincoln Fields
 
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Chicago
Posts: 432
Default

Just leafing through the 2013 American Racing Manual and lining these figs up up with past winners and Beyer pars:

MALIBU: Beyer Index 104
Shared Belief 99 is lowest Beyer since Johnny Eves 94 in 2007.

LA BREA: Beyer Index 98
Only 3 horses in 25 years have run Beyers in the 80s. Sam's Sister- join the club!

DAYTONA Beyer Index 99
Betty's Bambino the lowest Beyer ever 2004-12.

MR PROSPECTOR Beyer Index 107
Speechify 102 is better than 2011-12 winners 99-98 and generally in line with recent trends.

LA PREV Beyer Index 97
Irish Mission 92 in line with recent trends 2010-12 (93-93-88)

McKNIGHT Beyer Index 100
Divine Oath 97 the fastest since 2008.

What to make of the significant deficits on the Santa Anita races???

Cheers,

Otis
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 12-30-2014, 12:32 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 7,090
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Easy Goer Otis View Post
Just leafing through the 2013 American Racing Manual and lining these figs up up with past winners and Beyer pars:

MALIBU: Beyer Index 104
Shared Belief 99 is lowest Beyer since Johnny Eves 94 in 2007.

LA BREA: Beyer Index 98
Only 3 horses in 25 years have run Beyers in the 80s. Sam's Sister- join the club!

DAYTONA Beyer Index 99
Betty's Bambino the lowest Beyer ever 2004-12.

MR PROSPECTOR Beyer Index 107
Speechify 102 is better than 2011-12 winners 99-98 and generally in line with recent trends.

LA PREV Beyer Index 97
Irish Mission 92 in line with recent trends 2010-12 (93-93-88)

McKNIGHT Beyer Index 100
Divine Oath 97 the fastest since 2008.

What to make of the significant deficits on the Santa Anita races???

Cheers,

Otis
Might have been a day at SA were figs at least Beyer's will not prove as useful a handicapping tool as they typically are? I don't know to me the race was unimpressive (Malibu). Public handicappers and professions seemed to like the race better. Many thought it was another outstanding performance by SB. I think it left more questions unanswered on dirt.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 12-30-2014, 05:52 PM
Easy Goer Otis's Avatar
Easy Goer Otis Easy Goer Otis is offline
Lincoln Fields
 
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Chicago
Posts: 432
Default

I agree with you, Freddy. The Santa Anita figs are maybe not as useful as normal. I wonder if the track was dull on opening day, but I thought that was already factored into the Beyers.

Interesting to note that the Florida stakes winners all ran to recent historical norms. How would you weigh these figs if a Santa Anita horse met a GP horse coming out of these races?

Otis
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 12-30-2014, 07:10 PM
10 pnt move up's Avatar
10 pnt move up 10 pnt move up is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 3,745
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Easy Goer Otis View Post
I agree with you, Freddy. The Santa Anita figs are maybe not as useful as normal. I wonder if the track was dull on opening day, but I thought that was already factored into the Beyers.

Interesting to note that the Florida stakes winners all ran to recent historical norms. How would you weigh these figs if a Santa Anita horse met a GP horse coming out of these races?

Otis
They would get crushed based on the figures. I think in general though horses are running 5-15 points below historical norms in the mdn, alw, and stake levels.

I dont by it but I use other figures that show there has not been the same drop off over past years.
__________________
"To learn who rules over you, simply find out who you are not allowed to criticize"...Voltaire
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 05:04 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.