BC RANKINGS: Revised Post Draw

[Kasept]

Live from Louisville!!

RANKING THE CUP CONTENDERS

Post draw, here are our current views of the final Breeders' Cup fields based on form and value as measured against liklihood of success. The draws did hurt a few horses chances, but overall, there is only a modest shift in our thinking 48 hours out from BC XXIII...

NOTES: Top 5 represent our current preferences for horses to be used in keys and boxes. Final selections Friday... Italicized horses not in our top 5 indicate ML overlays that have potential to outrun their odds...


JUVENILE FILLIES:

1. #14 Gatorize 30-1
2. #4 Octave 6-1
3. #3 Cash Included 7-2
4. #11 Satulagi 50-1
5. #6 Bel Air Beauty 30-1

6. #9 Adrythem 12-1
7. #12 Appealing Zophie 10-1
8. #2 Sutra 20-1
9. #7 Cotton Blossom 10-1
10. #1 Dreaming of Anna 4-1
11. #13 Quick Little Miss 30-1
12. #10 Her Majesty 10-1
13. #5 She's Included 15-1
14. #8 Lilly Carson 30-1


JUVENILE:

1. #1 Street Sense 20-1
2. #3 Scat Daddy 4-1
3. #7 Great Hunter 9-2
4. #5 C P West 15-1
5. #2 Stormello 6-1

6. #13 Malt Magic 30-1
7. #6 Principle Secret 5-1
8. #10 Pegasus Wind 15-1
9. #9 Circular Quay 5-2
10. #14 Skip Code 50-1
11. #8 Teufelsberg 50-1
12. #11 Got the Last Laugh 20-1
13. #12 U D Ghetto 50-1
14. #4 King of the Roxy 12-1


FILLY & MARE TURF:

1. #2 Ouija Board 8-5
2. #7 Wait a While 3-1
3. #4 Film Maker 6-1
4. #8 My Typhoon 20-1
5. #3 Mauralakana 15-1

6. #9 Satwa Queen 12-1
7. #5 Honey Ryder 4-1
8. #1 Dancing Edie 30-1
9. #10 Germance 12-1
10. #6 Quiet Royal 30-1


SPRINT:

1. #9 Too Much Bling 10-1
2. #4 Henny Hughes 2-1
3. #6 Bordonaro 3-1
4. #10 War Front 12-1
5. #14 Kelly's Landing 20-1

6. #12 Malibu Mint 30-1
7. #8 Pomeroy 8-1
8. #11 Siren Lure 10-1
9. #2 Friendly Island 30-1
10. #13 Attila's Storm 20-1
11. #1 Thor's Echo 10-1
12. #7 Nightmare Affair 30-1
13. #3 Lewis Michael 30-1
14. #5 Areyoutalkintome 30-1


MILE:

1. #12 Gorella 4-1
2. #3 Araafa 9-2
3. #7 Aragorn 5-1
4. #5 Free Thinking 15-1
5. #10 Miesque's Approval 10-1

6. #1 Ad Valorem 20-1
7. #8 Badge of Silver 12-1
8. #11 Super Frolic 50-1
9. #4 Sleeping Indian 20-1
10. #6 Echo of Light 10-1
11. #9 Rob Roy 15-1
12. #14 Aussie Rules 10-1
13. #13 Librettist 6-1
14. #2 Silent Name 20-1



DISTAFF:

1. #7 Fleet Indian 8-5
2. #6 Spun Sugar 10-1
3. #1 Round Pond 15-1
4. #14 Balletto 6-1
5. #2 Pine Island 5-1

6. #13 Happy Ticket 12-1
7. #9 Pool Land 10-1
8. #4 Sharp Lisa 50-1
9. #10 Hollywood Story 20-1
10. #3 Healthy Addiction 10-1
11. #8 Baghdaria 30-1
12. #12 Asi Siempre 15-1
13. #11 Bushfire 30-1
14. #5 Lemons Forever 30-1


TURF:

1. #4 Scorpion 6-1
2. #6 Cacique 4-1
3. #2 T.H. Approval 20-1
4. #10 English Channel 7-2
5. #1 Go Deputy 6-1

6. #7 Hurricane Run 3-1
7. #9 Red Rocks 10-1
8. #8 Better Talk Now 12-1
9. #11 Silverfoot 30-1
10.#5 Rush Bay 20-1
11. #3 Icy Atlantic 30-1


CLASSIC:

1. #3 Bernardini 1-1
2. #11 Invasor 5-1
3. #7 David Junior 10-1
4. #13 Sun King 15-1
5. #5 Lawyer Ron 20-1

7. #8 Lava Man 6-1
8. #2 Premium Tap 30-1
9. #12 Suave 30-1
10. #6 Perfect Drift 20-1
11. #1 Brother Derek 30-1
12. #4 George Washington 10-1
13. #9 Giacomo 30-1
14. #10 Flower Alley 30-1

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

great job steve..now get to work on the pick six for fri...100,000...plus..lol

[Revolution]

Not much respect for Hurricane Run.

Make sure to play the Earthlink million dollar contest. You only need to pick the winner of every single race and you win. Not too difficult.

[ARyan]

Any return to Hurricane Run's form from earlier this summer and he will win easy.

Question is, does he?

I think so, might even have to single in some pk4's.

[1st_Saturday_in_May]

Originally Posted by ARyan

Any return to Hurricane Run's form from earlier this summer and he will win easy.

Question is, does he?

I think so, might even have to single in some pk4's.

Why would he? What indicates he will return to that form? This race to me seems like an afterthought to the connections who werent likely to run as of two weeks ago.

And Steve, I've got to ask. What the hell do you see in Street Sense that I am missing? I mean, his ride in the Futurity seemed to be mistimed by Borel, but I dont know man...

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by 1st_Saturday_in_May

And Steve, I've got to ask. What the hell do you see in Street Sense that I am missing? I mean, his ride in the Futurity seemed to be mistimed by Borel, but I dont know man...

Nafzger, Nafzger, Nafzger.

[ARyan]

Originally Posted by 1st_Saturday_in_May

Why would he? What indicates he will return to that form? This race to me seems like an afterthought to the connections who werent likely to run as of two weeks ago.

And Steve, I've got to ask. What the hell do you see in Street Sense that I am missing? I mean, his ride in the Futurity seemed to be mistimed by Borel, but I dont know man...

Hurricane Run can run at 80% and beat this field. I don't think we will see a 120 beyer from him (like his 134/130 timeform in last years Arc or this years Tattersalls), but I think he runs well enough to beat this bunch. I just hope many people pass on him and we get a decent price.

[AeWingnut]

Street Sense doesn't have a prayer. I plan on weighing him down with the heaviest $2 in racing. They might as well scratch and save him for another day.

I wonder how you came up with Gatorize. Helen Pitts? I still don't see it.
Again, the weight is on Cotton Blossom.

I wonder ...if I put $2 on Invasor if that will keep that horse from hitting the board ?

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by AeWingnut

Street Sense doesn't have a prayer.

OUCH, my man, just OUCH!

[gales0678]

nice job on street sense Steve - O!!!!!!!!!!!!

[AeWingnut]

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

OUCH, my man, just OUCH!

ateam. I weighed him down and he still won. I thought because I was betting him he wouldn't win. I hope no one misunderstood what I meant by that

as a matter of fact I hit the tri and wondered why I didn't bet the Super
cause I'm stupid
I guess
you know how it is.. the day is long it's early in the BC and you don't want to invest everything in the first 2 races.. I should have
but didn't

[Crown@club]

Wing - Jerry was the real jinx. And I'm so glad he changed his Mile pick.

I saw your $2 jinx. I remember your jinx quite well. But no computer access at the track, so I forgot that you threw $2 on Street Sense. KA ChING!

Originally Posted by AeWingnut

ateam. I weighed him down and he still won. I thought because I was betting him he wouldn't win. I hope no one misunderstood what I meant by that

as a matter of fact I hit the tri and wondered why I didn't bet the Super
cause I'm stupid
I guess
you know how it is.. the day is long it's early in the BC and you don't want to invest everything in the first 2 races.. I should have
but didn't

they ran the distaff first a few years ago
the way I had it figured Adoration would run
1st all the way around the track
I had it as my best bet of the day
problem was it was my first bet of the day
up big early, down big late
I know how that goes