11/25: Churchill Downs (Star of Tomorrow II)

[Kasept]

CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: OC/N1X, 2yo, 1m (Derby City 6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #1 Who Dey 10-1 WON ($10.40)
Next Best: #8 Mystik Dan 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Bergen 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #5 Informed Patriot 3-1 3rd


8th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Looks to have the makings of a productive race with well bred types stretching out..

Most Likely: #6 Lat Long 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Track Phantom 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #3 Mr. Faversham 20-1 10th
Exotics Use: #11 Top Gun Rocket 9-2 8th


9th: Ed Brown, 2yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

If Booth runs back to debut, they're all running for 2nd..

Most Likely: #9 Booth 7-5 5th
Next Best: #6 Normandy Hero 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Molly's Town 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Just Steel 6-1 WON ($27.08)


10th: Golden Rod (G2), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Torpedo Anna dominant so far in 2 starts and way the filly to beat, but note she makes her 3rd start in 4 weeks. Cox pair (Gin Gin/West Sunset) and Walsh;s Intricate are the other players..

Most Likely: #8 Torpedo Anna 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 Intricate 6-1 WON ($14.66)
Next Best: #7 West Sunset 2-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Gin Gin 8-1 5th


11th: KY Jockey Club (G2), 2yo, 8.5f (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Stretch Ride 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Dancing Groom 10-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Awesome Road 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Risk It 5-2 4th


12th: Fern Creek, 2yo-F, 6.5f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Youalmosthadme 8-5 WON ($3.56)
Best Value: #2 Fibber 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Halina's Forte 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #12 Irish Maxima 12-1 10th


P5 Grid:

8: 6-7 (A), 3-11 (B), - (C)
9: 3-6-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 4-6 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
12: 1 (A), - (B), 2 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x4x1 = 144 X .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-A-A-A-C): 2x3x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2 in 12th)


P4 Grid:

9: 3-6-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 4-6 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
12: 1 (A), 2 (B), 4-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x2 = 72 X .50 = $36
All A's: 3x3x2x1 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup (A-A-A-C): 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (4-12 in 12th)


Good luck!
Steve