5/19 (PIM): Preakness Day

[Kasept]

Turf sprints are the future.
and
Two 3 year old stakes dirt route races back to back is a brilliant move!

[richard burch]

Bing Bang Bong!

Superfecta: $1

7 / 1,5 / 1,5,2,4,8 / ALL = $15

LAST YEAR PAID $1,862

PHARAOHS YEAR PAID $1,906

[tywizard]

Originally Posted by richard burch

Bing Bang Bong!

Superfecta: $1

7 / 1,5 / 1,5,2,4,8 / ALL = $15

LAST YEAR PAID $1,862

PHARAOHS YEAR PAID $1,906

If your bet wins it’s impossible that it pays anywhere near the two examples you provide.

In 2015 the second longest shot on the board finished second and the second betting choice was off the board.

Last year the winner was 13-1 and derby winner off the board.

I’m not criticizing your approach but want you to have realistic expectations.

[moses]

Originally Posted by tywizard

If your bet wins it’s impossible that it pays anywhere near the two examples you provide.

In 2015 the second longest shot on the board finished second and the second betting choice was off the board.

Last year the winner was 13-1 and derby winner off the board.

I’m not criticizing your approach but want you to have realistic expectations.

Maybe I’m doing my math wrong. Isn’t that more than $15?

[cakes44]

Originally Posted by moses

Maybe I’m doing my math wrong. Isn’t that more than $15?

Absolutely. It's $40.

[asudevil]

Is the late pick 4 on Preakness day a guaranteed 1M?

[casp0555]

Originally Posted by asudevil

Is the late pick 4 on Preakness day a guaranteed 1M?

I think its $2 million... copied from the Brisnet program
STAKES. 6 Furlongs Dirt. Purse $150,000. Maryland Sprint S.. THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD. By free subscription. $1,500 to pass the entry box. Free to start, with $150,000 Guaranteed of which 60% to the winner, 20% to second, 10% to third, 6% to fourth, 3% to fifth and 1% to sixth. Weights: Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners of $70,000 twice in 2018 allowed 2 lbs.; $70,000 once in 2018, 4 lbs.; $60,000 once in 2018, 6 lbs. (Maiden, Claiming and Starter races not considered in estimating allowances). Trophy to the owner of the winner. Nominations Closed Tuesday, May 8, 2018 with 36 nominations. (04:05PM) (9)
Wager Types: EXACTA, 50 cent TRIFECTA & DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 10-11) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (RACES 10-11-12) $2,000,000 GUARANTEE 50 cent PICK 4 (RACES 10-11-12-13) / $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5

[asudevil]

Originally Posted by casp0555

I think its $2 million... copied from the Brisnet program
STAKES. 6 Furlongs Dirt. Purse $150,000. Maryland Sprint S.. THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD. By free subscription. $1,500 to pass the entry box. Free to start, with $150,000 Guaranteed of which 60% to the winner, 20% to second, 10% to third, 6% to fourth, 3% to fifth and 1% to sixth. Weights: Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners of $70,000 twice in 2018 allowed 2 lbs.; $70,000 once in 2018, 4 lbs.; $60,000 once in 2018, 6 lbs. (Maiden, Claiming and Starter races not considered in estimating allowances). Trophy to the owner of the winner. Nominations Closed Tuesday, May 8, 2018 with 36 nominations. (04:05PM) (9)
Wager Types: EXACTA, 50 cent TRIFECTA & DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 10-11) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (RACES 10-11-12) $2,000,000 GUARANTEE 50 cent PICK 4 (RACES 10-11-12-13) / $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5

Thx!!

[robfla]

Originally Posted by cakes44

Absolutely. It's $40.

Further muddying the picture...last year, the $1 Superfecta paid: $8,162.80. NOT $1862..( minor details )

[richard burch]

Originally Posted by robfla

Further muddying the picture...last year, the $1 Superfecta paid: $8,162.80. NOT $1862..( minor details )

even better!...and I don't care if its forty bucks for that prize....

2017....8162
2016...317
2015...1906
2014...174 lowest payout is + $134
2013...1817
2012...425
2011...3016

and on and on and on.....could there be a S'fecta in the last 20 years in the Preakness that paid less than $40? I don't have time for that search.

I don't see how it's a bad bet and I am betting it and I will win!

[richard burch]

Originally Posted by cakes44

Absolutely. It's $40.

My bad...I cant fix it now...its in Gods hands.

[moses]

Originally Posted by richard burch

show me your math please.

For a $1 Superfecta:

7 / 1 / 2 / ALL = $5
7 / 1 / 4 / ALL = $5
7 / 1 / 5 / ALL = $5
7 / 1 / 8 / ALL = $5
7 / 5 / 1 / ALL = $5
7 / 5 / 2 / ALL = $5
7 / 5 / 4 / ALL = $5
7 / 5 / 8 / ALL = $5

TOTAL OF BETS = $40

[moses]

Originally Posted by richard burch

even better!...and I don't care if its forty bucks for that prize....

2017....8162
2016...317
2015...1906
2014...174 lowest payout is + $134
2013...1817
2012...425
2011...3016

and on and on and on.....could there be a S'fecta in the last 20 years in the Preakness that paid less than $40? I don't have time for that search.

I don't see how it's a bad bet and I am betting it and I will win!

I’ll be making some superfectas as well. Hopefully one of the big ones comes out.

[moses]

Originally Posted by richard burch

My bad...I cant fix it now...its in Gods hands.

Haha. No biggie. I’m always messing up my math on my bets. Luckily I normally figure it out before I hit the window. Or these days, TVG.

[Dunbar]

Originally Posted by richard burch

I don't see how it's a bad bet and I am betting it and I will win!

I'm not suggesting that it's a bad bet, but...There are 40 ways for you to win and 1,640 ways for you to lose.

[RHT2004]

Great thread

[richard burch]

Originally Posted by Dunbar

I'm not suggesting that it's a bad bet, but...There are 40 ways for you to win and 1,640 ways for you to lose.

HA!!! Odds Schmodds...doesn't scare me.

[Dunbar]

Originally Posted by richard burch

HA!!! Odds Schmodds...doesn't scare me.

I think Han Solo said it better:

https://tenor.com/view/han-solo-neve...rs-gif-4901664

[cakes44]

Pimlico is going to destroy Gulfstream’s record for liberal use of the term “0 MTP” today!