4/12 (KEE): Blue Grass, Wiley, Madison (G1's), Shkr, Comm (G3's)

[Kasept]

7th (3:40) Commonwealth S. (G3)

7 Furlongs (All Weather Track) | Open | 4 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $175,000

1 Laugh Track Lezcano J 118 L
2 Ol Army Davis D 118 L
3 Dimension (GB) Moran D 118 L
4 Spring to the Sky Maragh R 118 L
5 Undrafted Velazquez J R 118 L
6 Quiet Force Napravnik R 118 L
7 Longhunter (GB) Castellano J J 118 L
8 Gunderson Bridgmohan S X 118 L
9 Occasional View Garcia Alan 118 L
10 Big Blue Spirit (GB) Albarado R J 118 L
11 Piquant Elliott S 118 L
12 Carving Lanerie C J 118 L



8th (4:11) Shakertown S. (G3)

5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) | Open | 4 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $100,000

1 Channel Marker Nakatani C S 118 L
2 Something Extra Lezcano J 118 L
3 Shrinking Violet Velazquez J R 115 L
4 Tour Guide Mena M 118 Blk-On L
5 Marchman Albarado R J 120 L
6 Havelock Leparoux J R 120 L
7 Animal Style Napravnik R 118 L
8 Go Blue Or Go Home Wilson E 118 L
9 Hogy Bridgmohan S X 118 L
10 Positive Side Goncalves L R 118
11 Ancil Rocco J S Jr 120 L
12 No Silent Castellano J J 118 L
13 Gantry Eramia R E 120 L



9th (4:42) Madison S. (G1)

7 Furlongs (All Weather Track) | Fillies and Mares | 4 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $300,000

1 Saturday Nthe Park Elliott S 118 L
2 Apropos Bridgmohan S X 120 L
3 Heir Kitty Nakatani C S 123 L
4 Judy the Beauty Velazquez J R 120 L
5 Wildcat Lily Ortiz I Jr 118 L
6 Better Lucky Castellano J J 120 L
7 Byrama (GB) Lezcano J 118 L
8 Cozze Up Lady Napravnik R 118 L
9 Eden Prairie Albarado R J 118 L



10th (5:13) Jenny Wiley S. (G1)

1 1/16 Miles (Turf) | Fillies and Mares | 4 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $300,000

1 Kitten's Point Prado E S 118 L
2 Stephanie's Kitten Velazquez J R 118 L
3 Emotional Kitten Espinoza V 120 L
4 Abaco Lezcano J 118 L
5 Class Included Bridgmohan S X 118 L
6 Fitful Skies (IRE) Rocco J S Jr 118 L
7 Cloud Scapes Garcia Alan 118 L
8 Discreet Marq Ortiz I Jr 118 L
9 Hard Not to Like Castellano J J 118 L
10 Centre Court Leparoux J R 120 L



11th (5:45) Toyota Blue Grass S. (G1)

1 1/8 Miles (All Weather Track) | Open | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $750,000

1 Asserting Bear Wilson E 123 L
2 Extrasexyhippzster Pimentel J 123 L
3 Pablo Del Monte Espinoza V 123 L
4 Harry's Holiday Napravnik R 123 L
5 Bobby's Kitten Castellano J J 123 L
6 Coltimus Prime Garcia Alan 123 L
7 Casiguapo Maragh R 123 L
8 Dance With Fate Nakatani C S 123 L
9 Big Bazinga Hernandez B J Jr 123 L
10 So Lonesome Rocco J S Jr 123 Blk-On L
11 Coastline Elliott S 123 L
12 Vinceremos Prado E S 123 L
13 Medal Count Albarado R J 123 L
14 Gala Award Velazquez J R 123 L
AE Divine Oath Leparoux J R 123 L

[letswastemoney]

I love Medal Count's chances. The pace should be unbelievably quick and set up for a mid-pack or late runner.

[South Beach Luv]

With a win, Judy the Beauty will:

Win her first Grade 1
Win her trainer's first Grade 1 in the US
Go over 1 million in earnings.

I'll be there rooting for her.

[tywizard]

Originally Posted by letswastemoney

I love Medal Count's chances. The pace should be unbelievably quick and set up for a mid-pack or late runner.

Stats on Romans running back in a week? NTamm?

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by tywizard

Stats on Romans running back in a week? NTamm?

7 days or less, last 5 years, Romans 11/3-2-1 ($1.84).. Never attempted in a stake.

(This is technically 8 days..)

[RockHardTen1985]

Originally Posted by letswastemoney

I love Medal Count's chances. The pace should be unbelievably quick and set up for a mid-pack or late runner.

I kind of agree. Medal Count an Gala Award are my A's
Pablo De Monte and Vincermos are my B's.

[jms62]

I'd have a better chance betting Indian Premier League cricket than the Bluegrass scrum.

[declansharbor]

Originally Posted by jms62

I'd have a better chance betting Indian Premier League cricket than the Bluegrass scrum.

The Deccan Plateau Dragons vs The Thar Desert All-Stars could be a pivotal matchup this weekend!

[Kasept]

Commonwealth: http://www.brisnet.com/php/bw_pdf_vi...param3=1057350

Shakertown: http://www.brisnet.com/php/bw_pdf_vi...param3=1208400

Madison: http://www.brisnet.com/php/bw_pdf_vi...param3=1359450

Wiley: http://www.brisnet.com/php/bw_pdf_vi...param3=1510500

Blue Grass: http://www.brisnet.com/php/bw_pdf_vi...param3=1661550

[pmayjr]

Does anyone think So Lonesome 2nd-off the shelf with that bullett Palm Meadows work has a shot? If he were to hit the board, he has a pretty good pedigree for the Derby.

[theguarantee]

I honestly thought 50-1 was a little ridiculous. His 7F effort at Belmont was pretty solid. He then improved stretching out to a mile. While he finished well back of Gala Award in the last (not a terrible effort considering the fractions/horses that finished in front of him), the switch to synth and more (expected) pace -- I don't see it as impossible that he could turn the tables on the likely second choice.

[Jay Frederick]

Originally Posted by pmayjr

Does anyone think So Lonesome 2nd-off the shelf with that bullett Palm Meadows work has a shot? If he were to hit the board, he has a pretty good pedigree for the Derby.

The NY Derby or the Kentucky Derby?

[Gate Dancer]

Originally Posted by pmayjr

Does anyone think So Lonesome 2nd-off the shelf with that bullett Palm Meadows work has a shot? If he were to hit the board, he has a pretty good pedigree for the Derby.

Not impossible but really up against it. Interesting stat on Bush with first time blinkers..........he is only 1-42 coming into race. I assume the bullet work was with blinkers on and maybe that woke the horse up. No disagreement with the Derby pedigree............

[cakes44]

Chances I actually get that 8 to 1 on Fitful Skies?

[tywizard]

Originally Posted by cakes44

Chances I actually get that 8 to 1 on Fitful Skies?

With 3 Kittens and Keeneland favorite Centre Court...I'd say you'll get that value in the Win pool...Maybe slightly less in multi's? I give the 8 a shot too. 8-6-10 for me.

[RockHardTen1985]

Originally Posted by cakes44

Chances I actually get that 8 to 1 on Fitful Skies?

I think you get all of that plus some. I think she goes off somewhere between 10 and 15-1.

[tywizard]

Anyone have a read on the 8th race?

I'm inclined to take a shot with the 11 - Ancil...Good Keeneland trainer and Rocco has been good with turf speed. Probably use the 9 and 6 in multi's.

I think the 1 might offer the most value but that's a hard post for this race.

[RockHardTen1985]

Originally Posted by pmayjr

Does anyone think So Lonesome 2nd-off the shelf with that bullett Palm Meadows work has a shot? If he were to hit the board, he has a pretty good pedigree for the Derby.

The turf race he won was against a pretty shitty field. At Gulfstream he did not run a step. I dont see how he is under 75-1 in this race. I hope Im wrong and he does run well, I like the connections.

[RockHardTen1985]

Originally Posted by tywizard

Anyone have a read on the 8th race?

I'm inclined to take a shot with the 11 - Ancil...Good Keeneland trainer and Rocco has been good with turf speed. Probably use the 9 and 6 in multi's.

I think the 1 might offer the most value but that's a hard post for this race.

I actually thought this race was one of the easier races on the card. I liked 2 and 6 with a little 3 as a backup.

[pointman]

Originally Posted by cakes44

Chances I actually get that 8 to 1 on Fitful Skies?

I hope to get 8-1 but doubt it as well. Her run in the Taylor was terrific and she may just be better than this bunch, my only reservation is she may want more ground.