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  #1  
Old 10-12-2024, 07:28 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Default 10/12: Keeneland (X-C P5 w/ BAQ 7-9th)

KEENELAND ~ CROSS COUNTRY P5/BAQ 7-8-9


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P6, $3 Turf P3, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 El Muheet 8-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Lucky Mischief 5-2 WON ($6.70)
Best Value: #6 Maui Strong 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Blue Chair Bay 7-2 4th


$3 Turf P3 Grid:

5: 4-5-6-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 4x2x2 = 16 x $3 = $48

$3 PICK 3 (4/3/1) Paid $162.03


BELMONT 7th (3:17p): Floral Park, F&M-3+, 6f-Outer (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Loon Cry 4-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Hollywood Walk 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Love Appeals 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Secret Money 3-1 WON ($7.60)


Cross Country P5 Grid:

BAQ 7: 1-2-3 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
KEE 6: 4-3-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
BAQ 8: 2-5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
BAQ 9: 5-8 (A), 3-9 (B), - (C)
KEE 8: 5 (A), - (B), 3 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x3x4x1 = 180 x .50 = $90
All A's: 3x2x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups (ACAAA + AAAAC): 3x2x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (3 in KEE 8)


KEENELAND 6th (3:40p): OC/N3X, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Giant Mischief 6-5 WON ($3.70)
Best Value: #6 Lofty Adjudicator 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Bromley 9-2 5th
Super Add: #5 Cyclone Mischief 7-2 4th


BELMONT 8th (3:49p): NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Betterluckythangood 3-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Born Dancer 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Locke and Key 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Laurel Valley 10-1 8th


7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #12 My Little Punky 5-1 WON ($11.10)
Next Best: #6 Keepsake 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Princess Aliyah 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Taverna 4-1 3rd


BELMONT 9th (4:20p): ALW, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Pentathlon 3-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Certified Loverboy 15-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Rocketeer 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Escalation Clause 7-2 2nd


KEENELAND 8th (4:44p): QEII Challenge Cup (G1), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Soprano 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 She Feels Pretty 5-2 WON ($5.08)
Best Value: #2 Caitlinhergrtness 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Candala 9-2 8th


9th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f (DD)

Best Value: #9 Bartulia 30-1 9th
Next Best: #11 Komorebino Omoide 9-5 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Baton Rouge 9-2 4th
Super Add: #12 Surface to Air 20-1 WON ($50.12)


10th: ALW/N2L, 2yo, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 Coal Battle 12-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Poster 5-1 WON ($5.76)
Exotics Use: #12 Curahee 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #6 The Brigade 8-1 6th


P5 Grid:

6: 3-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 6-12 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
8: 5 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
9: 9-10-11-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-4 (A), 6-12 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x1x4x4 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 3x2x1x4x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backups (AACAA): 3x2x1x4x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (3 in 8th)

$0.50 PICK 5 (4,8/12/3/12/1,13-16) Paid $2,266.19 (A-A-C-A-A)
$0.50 PICK 5 CONSO (4,8/12/3/12/1,13-16) Paid $14.81


P4 Grid:

7: 6-12 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
8: 3-5 (A), - (B), 2-6-10 (C)
9: 9-10-11-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-4 (A), 6-12 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x2x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backups (ACAA): 2x3x4x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (2-6-10 in 8th)

$0.50 PICK 4 (12/3/12/1,13-16) Paid $1,234.75 (A-A-A-A)


Let's get lucky!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 10-12-2024 at 06:22 PM.
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  #2  
Old 10-12-2024, 11:38 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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BAQ SCR/CHG'S

KEE SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #3  
Old 10-12-2024, 12:57 PM
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monkeyco monkeyco is offline
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Heads up Steve! Born Dancer is #3 on the xpressbet site. I’d hate for you to punch the wrong ticket if it hits! Good luck!
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Old 10-12-2024, 05:22 PM
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casp0555 casp0555 is offline
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Surface to Air
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Old 10-12-2024, 06:24 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by monkeyco View Post
Heads up Steve! Born Dancer is #3 on the xpressbet site. I’d hate for you to punch the wrong ticket if it hits! Good luck!
THX! Coach beat us there with Big Blue..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #6  
Old 10-12-2024, 06:25 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by casp0555 View Post
Surface to Air
Bwahahaha...
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #7  
Old 10-12-2024, 06:50 PM
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monkeyco monkeyco is offline
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Amazing handicapping and strategy!! Turf P3, P4 twice, P5 + 6 consos! I picked a good day to mindlessly follow along! Thanks a bunch! I’lll buy you a beer when you’re out here’s in California for BC! (Or maybe 10 cases of beer!!&#128518
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  #8  
Old 10-13-2024, 06:12 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by monkeyco View Post
Amazing handicapping and strategy!! Turf P3, P4 twice, P5 + 6 consos! I picked a good day to mindlessly follow along! Thanks a bunch! I’lll buy you a beer when you’re out here’s in California for BC! (Or maybe 10 cases of beer!! )
Mark..

Thanks and you're totally welcome.. Hearing that makes the work even more worthwhile and I hope many others benefited as well. Once Cherie won the G1 it was a good afternoon and it got more exciting when Surface to Air won the 9th..

See you at Del Mar!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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