Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Stakes Archive
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 03-29-2020, 07:03 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,268
Default Weekend Stakes Beyers

GP Florida Derby (G1) : Tiz the Law 96 (Constitution) B. Tagg/M. Franco
GP Pan American S (G2): Bemma's Boy 98 (Into Mischief) M. Maker/F. Geroux
GP Gulfstream Oaks (G2): Swiss Skydiver 90 (Daredevil) K. McPeek/P. Lopez
GP Appleton S (G3): Social Paranoia 100 (Street Boss) T. Pletcher/F. Geroux
GP Sand Springs S: La Signare-FR 88 (Siyouni-FR) B. Walsh/T. Gaffalione
GP Cutler Bay S: Decorated Invader 88 (Declaration of War) C. Clement/J. Rosario
GP Hal's Hope S (G3): Identifier 93 (Creative Cause) O. Gonzalez/M. Meneses
GP Orchid S. (G3): Mean Mary 97 (Scat Daddy) H. Motion/L. Saez
GP Sanibel Island S: Highland Glory 81 (Sky Mesa) B. Tagg/P. Lopez
GP Sir Shackleton S: Vekoma 102 (Candy Ride-ARG) G. Weaver/M. Franco

OP Nodouble Breeders' S: K J's Nobility 83 (Primary Suspect) C. Borel/C. Borel
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 03-29-2020 at 12:11 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 03-29-2020, 10:58 AM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 7,090
Default

Maker really is a miracle worker with these claimers that he turns into stakes winners. Maybe I am naive, but I think he isn't cheating I guess he just knows what type of horse to look for that can run a distance of ground on turf
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 03-29-2020, 11:15 AM
jms62's Avatar
jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 19,762
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo View Post
Maker really is a miracle worker with these claimers that he turns into stakes winners. Maybe I am naive, but I think he isn't cheating I guess he just knows what type of horse to look for that can run a distance of ground on turf
Naive? LOL. Game needs to PURGE trainers that cheat and owners that Enable it while hiding behind the wall of plausible deniability. I am sure you agree with me 100%
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 03-29-2020, 11:37 AM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 7,090
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62 View Post
Naive? LOL. Game needs to PURGE trainers that cheat and owners that Enable it while hiding behind the wall of plausible deniability. I am sure you agree with me 100%
Here is my problem suggesting he is a cheat, he only does this with horses that run long on turf, if this was some type of miracle medication it would be effective throughout his barn.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 03-29-2020, 11:54 AM
Dunbar's Avatar
Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,962
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo View Post
Here is my problem suggesting he is a cheat, he only does this with horses that run long on turf, if this was some type of miracle medication it would be effective throughout his barn.
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 03-29-2020, 01:01 PM
jms62's Avatar
jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 19,762
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo View Post
Here is my problem suggesting he is a cheat, he only does this with horses that run long on turf, if this was some type of miracle medication it would be effective throughout his barn.
So you are suggesting that if something works on endurance runners it also has to work on sprinters? You aren’t lying about a miracle medication but it is simply moving the goal posts to give you Plausible Deniability.Thanks for showing us all how an owner thinks and works. Stay safe.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 03-29-2020, 02:51 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,292
Default

I’m basically suspicious of anyone that is able to move up a lo of their runners. I feel like Maker fits in that category.

People that I respect think he’s clean, so there’s that. But, he’s either really good at finding horses like this, or....

It’s just not that easy to turn a 30k claimer into a grade 2 winner 10 months later
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 03-29-2020, 02:53 PM
Dunbar's Avatar
Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,962
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62 View Post
So you are suggesting that if something works on endurance runners it also has to work on sprinters?
And you're suggesting it might only work when going long on grass, but not dirt?
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 03-29-2020, 03:05 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,292
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo View Post
Here is my problem suggesting he is a cheat, he only does this with horses that run long on turf, if this was some type of miracle medication it would be effective throughout his barn.
Didn’t you kind of doubt Servis had an edge too?
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 03-29-2020, 03:06 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,292
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunbar View Post
And you're suggesting it might only work when going long on grass, but not dirt?
He moves up dirt runners too.
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 03-29-2020, 03:13 PM
jms62's Avatar
jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 19,762
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
Didn’t you kind of doubt Servis had an edge too?
And Dutrow until the very end.
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 03-29-2020, 05:52 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 7,090
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
Didn’t you kind of doubt Servis had an edge too?
No, I always thought Servis was a raging cheat
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 03-29-2020, 05:54 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 7,090
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62 View Post
And Dutrow until the very end.
Dutrow is a brilliant horseman, an idiot when it came to gambling and paperwork but he was not half the cheat people suspect him of being.
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 03-29-2020, 05:58 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 7,090
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
I’m basically suspicious of anyone that is able to move up a lo of their runners. I feel like Maker fits in that category.

People that I respect think he’s clean, so there’s that. But, he’s either really good at finding horses like this, or....

It’s just not that easy to turn a 30k claimer into a grade 2 winner 10 months later
I am not saying he isn't cheating because I don't know, it's certainly possible. Why would you cheat with just long-distance turf horses?
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 03-29-2020, 09:54 PM
Frost King Frost King is offline
Sunshine Park
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 81
Default

Just remember pigs get slaughtered, just like what has happened to some other trainers.
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 03-29-2020, 11:48 PM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 5,629
Default

Mike Maker? He's an 18% trainer over the last 5 years. His stats in almost every category are the same - 18% with a $1.75 or so ROI. He's brutal off the claim - 15%, $1.02 ROI on dirt over last 5 years and not much better on turf (17%, $1.74 ROI).

He won a G3 with Do Share in March of last year, ran him into the ground, and he improved 13 points off the claim by Norm Casse, and has stayed at that level. Maker's barn woefully underachieves on dirt. At the marquee meets where he has a big string (all NYRA, GP, Kee, CD) he is 17% with a $1.27 ROI on dirt over the last five years and 17% with a $1.72 ROI on turf.

If Maker is juicing, it's the worst juice known to mankind.

A horse like Bemma's Boy is a perfect fit for his barn. He was 1-1 on turf prior to being claimed and his first trainer inexplicably kept him on dirt despite his lone turf start having clearly been his best race. He's clearly improved for Maker, but what's to say a horse capable of running a 79 Beyer as a late-season 3YO for a dirt trainer didn't have potential. The turf marathon division is also a s.hit show every year, so a newcomer improving enough to make noise is hardly surprising. Zulu Alpha was a graded stake caliber horse for Neil Howard. With all due respect to Neil Howard, it's downright shocking he improved coming from that barn.

You want to talk juicers? Comb through Saffie Joseph's stats. Ironically, he claimed a horse off Maker in September, left him off for 4 months and he improved 52 Beyer points! He duplicated that effort and was entered in the Florida Derby but scratched.

Some of those other South Florida guys who've come on the scene in the last few years or so have insane numbers.
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 03-30-2020, 09:36 AM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,292
Default

And he was a 22% trainer in the 5 years prior to that. For the 5 years prior to that he was a 25% trainer.

I know purses are higher now but in the last 5 years his horses made roughly 16 million dollars more than his horses made in the prior 5 years.

He’s clearly got some kind of a gift when it comes to finding horses who excel at going long on turf and he’s very smart about who he claims off of. Morocco yesterday is a good example...but let’s not pretend he doesn’t move horses up and that it’s easy to claim off of him and win.

Those are usually tell tale signs someone has an edge. Maybe his edge is his eye for finding horses that can go long on turf but Servis was deadly with turf sprinters. So...
Reply With Quote
  #18  
Old 03-30-2020, 03:43 PM
goodcopy's Avatar
goodcopy goodcopy is offline
Ellis Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: San Diego
Posts: 464
Default

What's wrong with you guys?
Why can't we enforce the rules and testing that exists, develop an industry stander for testing and enforcement?
Identify by numbers a probable cause for spot testing across the horse racing industry?
__________________
Any Day Above Ground Is A Good Day
Reply With Quote
  #19  
Old 03-30-2020, 04:07 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,292
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by goodcopy View Post
What's wrong with you guys?
Why can't we enforce the rules and testing that exists, develop an industry stander for testing and enforcement?
Identify by numbers a probable cause for spot testing across the horse racing industry?
Huh?
Reply With Quote
  #20  
Old 03-30-2020, 05:07 PM
goodcopy's Avatar
goodcopy goodcopy is offline
Ellis Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: San Diego
Posts: 464
Default

Are we going to test all "hot trainers" , if so on what basis, reputation or statistics
__________________
Any Day Above Ground Is A Good Day
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 04:47 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.