Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Stakes Archive
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 04-10-2013, 02:43 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,290
Default 4/13 (OP): AR Derby (G1), Oaklawn H. (G2), Count Fleet (G3), N. Spur

7th (3:38) Northern Spur S.

1 Mile | Open | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $100,000

1 Malibu High Borel C H 115 L
2 Red Wings Stevens G L 115 L
3 Bemata Santana R Jr 115 L
4 Western Sadler Bejarano R 115 L
5 Get Happy Mister Corbett G W 119 L
6 Looking Cool Hernandez B J Jr 117 L
7 Holiday Mischief Quinonez L S 115 L
8 Stratocruiser Albarado R J 117 L
9 Balance of Power Garcia M 115 L
10 Upright Stuff Thompson T J 115 L



8th (4:14) Oaklawn H. (G2)

1 1/8 Miles | Open | 4 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $500,000

1 Cyber Secret Albarado R J 115 L
2 Unstoppable U Lebron V 112 L
3 Sabercat Santana R Jr 112 L
4 Atigun Bejarano R 114 Blk-On L
5 Alternation Quinonez L S 117 L
6 Golden Ron Vazquez R A 110 L
7 Taptowne Borel C H 112 L
8 Win Willy Berry M C 113 L
9 Fort Larned Hernandez B J Jr 123 L
10 Optimizer Stevens G L 113 L



9th (4:50) Count Fleet H. (G3)

6 Furlongs | Open | 4 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $250,000

1 Gentlemen's Bet Albarado R J 114 L
2 Apprehender Birzer A E 116 L
3 Justin Phillip Santana R Jr 119 L
4 Laurie's Rocket Stevens G L 117 L
5 Flashpoint Quinonez L S 117 L
6 Amanecer de Oro Garcia M 112 L
7 Picko's Pride Lebron V 113 L
8 Outta Tune Thompson T J 114 L



10th (5:28) Arkansas Derby (G1)

1 1/8 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $1,000,000

1. Carve (KY), R Santana Jr., 118, S M Asmussen, 20/1
2. War Academy (KY), M E Smith, 118, B Baffert, 2/1
3. Divine Ambition (KY), J Graham, 118, D Miller, 20/1
4. Falling Sky (PA), M Garcia, 122, J P Terranova II, 10/1
5. Den's Legacy (FL), R Albarado, 122, B Baffert, 6/1
6. Heaven's Runway (KY), I Ocampo, 122, J R Martin, 30/1
7. Texas Bling (TX), C H Borel, 122, D Durham, 20/1
8. Frac Daddy (KY), V Lebron, 118, K G McPeek, 15/1
9. Overanalyze (KY), R Bejarano, 122, T A Pletcher, 4/1
10. Oxbow (KY), G L Stevens, 122, D W Lukas, 5/2
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 04-10-2013 at 05:28 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 04-10-2013, 04:24 PM
my miss storm cat's Avatar
my miss storm cat my miss storm cat is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 22,025
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
10th (5:28) Arkansas Derby (G1)
L
4 Falling Sky Garcia M 122


Fun field for the Oaklawn.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 04-10-2013, 04:33 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
Dee Tee Stables
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: The Natural State
Posts: 29,939
Default

looking forward to fort larned. will be a good day for racing, with wise dan coming back too. (altho i was looking for something good from data link, but....that might be mushed now).
doesn't seem to be as much hype about this years ark derby as there's been in years past.
__________________
Books serve to show a man that those original thoughts of his aren't very new at all.
Abraham Lincoln
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 04-13-2013, 11:02 AM
tanner12oz tanner12oz is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Pittsburgh
Posts: 1,412
Default

others get a serious weight break vs fort larned
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 04-13-2013, 11:05 AM
Alabama Stakes Alabama Stakes is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: suffolk downs
Posts: 5,811
Default

they'll need more than a weight break. (which means so little)
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 04-13-2013, 01:25 PM
dino dino is offline
Turf Paradise
 
Join Date: Mar 2011
Posts: 245
Default

I have been listening to all the handicapping shows and NOBODY has picked War Academy. Some don't even list him to hit the board. To me he's an easy winner and people seem to be mad that he was made the 2 -1 morning favorite without deserving to be. But as Jon White has explained the morning line is what he thinks the betters will bet the horse. That means a buzz horse at Oaklawn trained by Baffert will probably be the favorite even though he doesn't deserve to be.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 04-13-2013, 05:29 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

Fort Larned was terrible. Hope he is OK.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 04-16-2013, 02:29 PM
dino dino is offline
Turf Paradise
 
Join Date: Mar 2011
Posts: 245
Default

Not sure why some public handicappers are bragging about how they told you that War Academy had no chance. About all the bozo's that were high on him. I guess they knew that he was going to be pulled up. Amazing.
After listening to a popular handicapper bash him yesterday I can't wait until he runs again. Hopefully in the Preakness. When this guy puts down a horse on his show I usually step up on the horse because lets just say it's a tell to me.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 04-16-2013, 02:40 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,935
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by dino View Post
Not sure why some public handicappers are bragging about how they told you that War Academy had no chance. About all the bozo's that were high on him. I guess they knew that he was going to be pulled up. Amazing.
After listening to a popular handicapper bash him yesterday I can't wait until he runs again. Hopefully in the Preakness. When this guy puts down a horse on his show I usually step up on the horse because lets just say it's a tell to me.
You didn't get much right here.

In fact, I don't think you got anything right.

Why don't you listen to today's show again. You can also go to nyra.com and listen to what I said about him before the race. I don't brag about opinions after races. I'm pretty clear that I am wrong a lot. I also was clear today that his being pulled up mitigated opinions. The whole point was that he was way overbet and that a lot of people had jumped on his bandwagon for no solid reason. I don't think that is disputable. It should also be noted that it was Steve that brought this conversation up...not me. Please find the one instant where I have initiated any discussion on his show which offered the opportunity for me to blow my own horn.

Yeah, all the horses I knock win. All of them....except the many of them that don't. There were two back to back last week, at 2:5 and 1:2, that failed to hit the board. I'll take my chances that over time my negative opinion on heavy favorites beats the odds even less takeout.

It's easy to be a hater. Go right ahead. I just thank you for listening.
__________________
Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 04-16-2013, 02:46 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 7,091
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by dino View Post
Not sure why some public handicappers are bragging about how they told you that War Academy had no chance. About all the bozo's that were high on him. I guess they knew that he was going to be pulled up. Amazing.
After listening to a popular handicapper bash him yesterday I can't wait until he runs again. Hopefully in the Preakness. When this guy puts down a horse on his show I usually step up on the horse because lets just say it's a tell to me.
I tell you what anytime you want to make a wager on any horse BTW knocks PM me and I will book your action at 15% above closing odds up to 5000, consider it your lucky day.
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 04-16-2013, 03:56 PM
Calzone Lord's Avatar
Calzone Lord Calzone Lord is offline
Super Moderator
 
Join Date: Jun 2011
Posts: 4,552
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by dino View Post
Not sure why some public handicappers are bragging about how they told you that War Academy had no chance. About all the bozo's that were high on him. I guess they knew that he was going to be pulled up. Amazing.
After listening to a popular handicapper bash him yesterday I can't wait until he runs again. Hopefully in the Preakness. When this guy puts down a horse on his show I usually step up on the horse because lets just say it's a tell to me.
Textbook case of ankle biting.





Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 04-16-2013, 04:00 PM
Calzone Lord's Avatar
Calzone Lord Calzone Lord is offline
Super Moderator
 
Join Date: Jun 2011
Posts: 4,552
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo View Post
I tell you what anytime you want to make a wager on any horse BTW knocks PM me and I will book your action at 15% above closing odds up to 5000, consider it your lucky day.
Your money is safe, but you might want to invest in some shin guards.
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 04-16-2013, 04:21 PM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 5,629
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by dino View Post
Not sure why some public handicappers are bragging about how they told you that War Academy had no chance. About all the bozo's that were high on him. I guess they knew that he was going to be pulled up. Amazing.
After listening to a popular handicapper bash him yesterday I can't wait until he runs again. Hopefully in the Preakness. When this guy puts down a horse on his show I usually step up on the horse because lets just say it's a tell to me.
If you really bet War Academy on Saturday at that atrocious price, do us all a favor and continue to wager regularly.
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 04-16-2013, 05:32 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
Dee Tee Stables
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: The Natural State
Posts: 29,939
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by NTamm1215 View Post
If you really bet War Academy on Saturday at that atrocious price, do us all a favor and continue to wager regularly.
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 04-16-2013, 06:08 PM
ateamstupid's Avatar
ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
Super Mod.. and Super Fly
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 13,036
Default

I was impressed with the race Frac Daddy ran.
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 04-16-2013, 06:57 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,935
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid View Post
I was impressed with the race Frac Daddy ran.
I have to admit, I was wrong in my previous opinion that he would never get out of his NW1X condition. While not likely, at least now it seems possible.
__________________
Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 04-16-2013, 09:15 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
Dee Tee Stables
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: The Natural State
Posts: 29,939
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by dino View Post
Not sure why some public handicappers are bragging about how they told you that War Academy had no chance. About all the bozo's that were high on him. I guess they knew that he was going to be pulled up. Amazing.
After listening to a popular handicapper bash him yesterday I can't wait until he runs again. Hopefully in the Preakness. When this guy puts down a horse on his show I usually step up on the horse because lets just say it's a tell to me.
two posts above this gem you posted:

I have been listening to all the handicapping shows and NOBODY has picked War Academy. Some don't even list him to hit the board. To me he's an easy winner and people seem to be mad that he was made the 2 -1 morning favorite without deserving to be. But as Jon White has explained the morning line is what he thinks the betters will bet the horse. That means a buzz horse at Oaklawn trained by Baffert will probably be the favorite even though he doesn't deserve to be.


so, he didn't do well, and you're taking issue with them because they didn't pick him, and he didn't win... they were right, you were wrong, and you're calling them out?
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 11:59 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.