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  #1  
Old 04-10-2019, 01:59 PM
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Default 4/12-14 (OP): AR Derby, Apple Blossom (G1's) ~ Racing Festival
FRIDAY



SATURDAY





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Last edited by Kasept : 04-10-2019 at 05:10 PM.
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  #2  
Old 04-10-2019, 02:19 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Quite a pot for Tikhvin Flew. He should have been in the Bay Shore if they wanted to be ambitious.
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Old 04-10-2019, 02:36 PM
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With the ML for Improbable set at 8-5 and Omaha Beach set at 2-1, might be some nice value if you like a horse other than those two.
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Old 04-10-2019, 02:54 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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With the ML for Improbable set at 8-5 and Omaha Beach set at 2-1, might be some nice value if you like a horse other than those two.
Why, you think those two are underlays?
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Old 04-10-2019, 03:29 PM
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Why, you think those two are underlays?
At those odds, no. But there is a lot of hype around Improbable and Omaha Beach...so...I’m imagining a situation where people get wrapped up in those two, we see them at even money and something-to-5, and maybe the odds on another horse like Long Range Toddy or Country House rise enough where it’s worth it to take a chance on them.

On top of that, both favorites like to be close to the pace, and it seems like it might be crowded up front or perhaps they stalk well but get boxed in on the rail a bit. So I could see the race setting up for a horse other than those two.
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Old 04-10-2019, 09:31 PM
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Why, you think those two are underlays?
Well what odds do you have LRT at if those hold up?
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Old 04-11-2019, 07:34 PM
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Not much talk about the Apple Blossom. Wow what a race!
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Old 04-12-2019, 07:46 AM
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SUNDAY



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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 04-13-2019, 07:31 AM
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Chris and Dave in the handicap. 20-1 ml, should handle the slop.
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Old 04-13-2019, 08:35 AM
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Chris and Dave in the handicap. 20-1 ml, should handle the slop.
That whole field seems like it can handle the slop.
Is is going to be sloppy?
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Old 04-13-2019, 08:48 AM
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That whole field seems like it can handle the slop.
Is is going to be sloppy?
well its raining right now and there is a 100% chance of precipitation, they will be lucky if the severe weather doesn't shut them down during the course of the day...so yes, its going to be sloppy

https://www.wunderground.com/weather...prings-village
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Old 04-13-2019, 09:26 AM
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Santana’s horse looks live in the derby at a big price.
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Old 04-13-2019, 09:42 AM
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That whole field seems like it can handle the slop.
Is is going to be sloppy?
I remember Lone Sailor galloping in the mud at Saratoga. I like him. It is a good race though, anyone could win.
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  #14  
Old 04-13-2019, 09:44 AM
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Not much talk about the Apple Blossom. Wow what a race!
Remember Zenyatta winning the Apple Blossom when Rachel didn't show?
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  #15  
Old 04-13-2019, 09:59 AM
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I'm using 1 2 4 8
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Old 04-13-2019, 10:34 AM
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Hoping Mitole jogs today. I think he can win the Met Mile.
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  #17  
Old 04-13-2019, 11:50 AM
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Santana’s horse looks live in the derby at a big price.
He’s the wildcard for me. I’ll be backing Country House once again...hopefully it finally pays off. I’m out on Omaha Beach. Have it ranked:

#1 Improbable
#8 Country House
#7 Galilean
#11 Long Range Toddy
#5 Laughing Fox
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  #18  
Old 04-13-2019, 11:51 AM
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Hoping Mitole jogs today. I think he can win the Met Mile.
He’ll win. My biggest issue is figuring out how to maximize winnings off of him.
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Old 04-13-2019, 03:28 PM
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He’s the wildcard for me. I’ll be backing Country House once again...hopefully it finally pays off. I’m out on Omaha Beach. Have it ranked:

#1 Improbable
#8 Country House
#7 Galilean
#11 Long Range Toddy
#5 Laughing Fox
I ended all bets with 8,11 while acknowledging that Improbable is the horse to beat.
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  #20  
Old 04-13-2019, 05:15 PM
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I ended all bets with 8,11 while acknowledging that Improbable is the horse to beat.
I like that. Good luck.
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