Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Stakes Archive
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 04-26-2020, 01:26 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,276
Default 5/2 (OP): Arkansas Derby-2 Div. (G1's), Oaklawn H. (G2)





__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 04-26-2020 at 06:42 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 04-26-2020, 01:46 PM
Alabama Stakes Alabama Stakes is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: suffolk downs
Posts: 5,811
Default

King Guillermo will show he is no fluke...
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 04-26-2020, 06:38 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,276
Default

DERBY DAY OVERNIGHT
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 04-26-2020, 07:15 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,276
Default

Jon White ML odds for the Arkansas Derbys:

1. Charlatan 3-5
2. My Friends Beer 30-1
3. Mo Mosa 50-1
4. Gouverneur Morris 5-1
5. Jungle Runner 50-1
6. Shooters Shoot SCR
7. Wrecking Crew SCR
8. Anneau d'Or 8-1
9. Winning Impression 20-1
10. Crypto Cash 20-1
11. Basin 6-1


1. Finnick the Fierce 30-1
2. Saratogian SCR
3. Storm the Court 12-1
4. King Guillermo 4-1
5. Nadal 6-5
6. Code Runner 50-1
7. Silver Prospector 6-1
8. Fast Enough SCR
9. Taishan 15-1
10. Farmington Road 8-1
11. Wells Bayou 6-1
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 05-01-2020 at 08:52 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 04-27-2020, 12:48 AM
Alabama Stakes Alabama Stakes is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: suffolk downs
Posts: 5,811
Default

Naturally they have the 2 best hosses in the same division. The King and Nadal should beat that field by a pole.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 04-28-2020, 01:21 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,276
Default

SCR Shooter's Shoot who spiked a fever..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 04-28-2020, 03:10 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,276
Default

Now SCR Fast Enough from the 2nd Division after re-aggrevating a shin..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 04-28-2020, 10:05 PM
goodcopy's Avatar
goodcopy goodcopy is offline
Ellis Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: San Diego
Posts: 464
Default What About Baffert Colt In First Div.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes View Post
Naturally they have the 2 best hosses in the same division. The King and Nadal should beat that field by a pole.
I wager that Charlatan will be the triple crown horse #1 for BB
__________________
Any Day Above Ground Is A Good Day
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 04-29-2020, 12:01 AM
Alabama Stakes Alabama Stakes is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: suffolk downs
Posts: 5,811
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by goodcopy View Post
I wager that Charlatan will be the triple crown horse #1 for BB
Big scratch of the speedy 6 helps immensely

Last edited by Alabama Stakes : 04-29-2020 at 01:35 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 04-30-2020, 07:58 AM
herkhorse's Avatar
herkhorse herkhorse is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Gonesville
Posts: 11,422
Default

looks like 3 beautiful days and a fast track at Hot Springs to end the meet.
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 05-01-2020, 07:31 AM
herkhorse's Avatar
herkhorse herkhorse is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Gonesville
Posts: 11,422
Default

Wrecking Crew and Saratogian are scratched also, could have had one nice race.
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 05-02-2020, 09:33 AM
moses's Avatar
moses moses is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 3,622
Default

If any of those horses in the first leg can challenge Charlatan early, I think he is a horse to bet against at those odds. Possibly Anneau d’Or or Basin...but I don’t feel strongly about that. It would have been nice to see the 6 and 7 in the race. I may take a shot on a big longshot like Winning Impression and hope for a contested pace.
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 05-02-2020, 11:20 AM
knickslions2's Avatar
knickslions2 knickslions2 is offline
Longchamps
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Ohio
Posts: 13,558
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by moses View Post
If any of those horses in the first leg can challenge Charlatan early, I think he is a horse to bet against at those odds. Possibly Anneau d’Or or Basin...but I don’t feel strongly about that. It would have been nice to see the 6 and 7 in the race. I may take a shot on a big longshot like Winning Impression and hope for a contested pace.
If the track is same conditions as yesterday Charlatan will be very very tough.
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 05-02-2020, 11:31 AM
MinnSkinny's Avatar
MinnSkinny MinnSkinny is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Hot Springs, Arkansas
Posts: 1,288
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by herkhorse View Post
looks like 3 beautiful days and a fast track at Hot Springs to end the meet.
And I would have bet that wouldn't happen. Just put floats on my golf cart.
__________________
2705 Central Avenue
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 05-02-2020, 11:33 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,276
Default

Improbable a SCR from Handicap..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 05-02-2020, 02:22 PM
moses's Avatar
moses moses is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 3,622
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by knickslions2 View Post
If the track is same conditions as yesterday Charlatan will be very very tough.
Looking like it could turn out that way.
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 05-02-2020, 07:15 PM
cakes44's Avatar
cakes44 cakes44 is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 2,744
Default

I’m about done with Joe Talamo.
Reply With Quote
  #18  
Old 05-02-2020, 07:49 PM
moses's Avatar
moses moses is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 3,622
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by cakes44 View Post
I’m about done with Joe Talamo.
I’ve been off Talamo for a while.

I can’t pinpoint when but I rarely bet Johnny V anymore either. I don’t know if he’s just not getting the horses or if I’m just not watching enough lately because his percentages still look solid but it seems like he doesn’t win many races anymore.
Reply With Quote
  #19  
Old 05-02-2020, 09:16 PM
Alabama Stakes Alabama Stakes is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: suffolk downs
Posts: 5,811
Default Holy High Handle Batman

Hot Springs handled over $41 million today.
Reply With Quote
  #20  
Old 05-03-2020, 04:59 AM
cakes44's Avatar
cakes44 cakes44 is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 2,744
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by moses View Post
I’ve been off Talamo for a while.

I can’t pinpoint when but I rarely bet Johnny V anymore either. I don’t know if he’s just not getting the horses or if I’m just not watching enough lately because his percentages still look solid but it seems like he doesn’t win many races anymore.
I know it’s mostly me, but I feel like anytime I love a horse Talamo is on, he gets a totally different trip than I expected...so I have a hard time believing he’s reading the same forms as the rest of us.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 11:13 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.