Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Triple Crown Topics/Archive..
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 04-30-2007, 04:18 PM
Scurlogue Champ's Avatar
Scurlogue Champ Scurlogue Champ is offline
Formerly 'moodwalker'
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Louisville
Posts: 1,727
Default Street Sense Not For Me....

Is there anyone else who is going to leave him off their tickets on Saturday?

I just don't see him doing much when it is time to do it.

Isn't the gamble whether Nafzger has him primed for this Saturday? I haven't seen anything from him this year that makes him stand out from any others.

A nose victory over an over-rated Pletcher horse who will run 10th in the Derby, and a nose defeat by a rapidly improving animal who was running in his first "big" race.

Is the consensus that he will just improve by 5-10 lengths just because he is back at Churchill where he won the Juvenile?

What has this horse done to separate himself this year? Work out at Churchill last week in .58?

Last edited by Scurlogue Champ : 04-30-2007 at 04:32 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 04-30-2007, 04:28 PM
declansharbor's Avatar
declansharbor declansharbor is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Exit 30
Posts: 6,357
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by moodwalker
Is there anyone else who is going to leave them off their tickets on Saturday?

I just don't see him doing much when it is time to do it.

Isn't the gamble whether Nafzger has him primed for this Saturday? I haven't seen anything from him this year that makes him stand out from any others.

A nose victory over an over-rated Pletcher horse who will run 10th in the Derby, and a nose defeat by a rapidly improving animal who was running in his first "big" race.

Is the consensus that he will just improve by 5-10 lengths just because he is back at Churchill where he won the Juvenile?

What has this horse done to separate himself this year? Work out at Churchill last week in .58?
I simply do not agree with this..Nafzger will have him primed, that really isnt the question..He's a fresh horse.. The TB derby(which he WON) was his first race back since the BC..He finds ways to be there at the wire and I dont see that trend wavering anytime soon..His figures are amongst the best and he's been working like a beast..
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital"

- Nathan Israel
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 04-30-2007, 04:28 PM
Cajungator26's Avatar
Cajungator26 Cajungator26 is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Hossy's Mom's basement.
Posts: 10,217
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by moodwalker
Is there anyone else who is going to leave them off their tickets on Saturday?

I just don't see him doing much when it is time to do it.

Isn't the gamble whether Nafzger has him primed for this Saturday? I haven't seen anything from him this year that makes him stand out from any others.

A nose victory over an over-rated Pletcher horse who will run 10th in the Derby, and a nose defeat by a rapidly improving animal who was running in his first "big" race.

Is the consensus that he will just improve by 5-10 lengths just because he is back at Churchill where he won the Juvenile?

What has this horse done to separate himself this year? Work out at Churchill last week in .58?
What has any other contender done? AGS isn't overrated IMO... leave AGS and SS off your tickets at your own risk.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 04-30-2007, 04:31 PM
knickslions2's Avatar
knickslions2 knickslions2 is offline
Longchamps
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Ohio
Posts: 13,558
Default

I love Street Sense... He proved he liked this track and doesn't like Keenland. I expect a big race from this one
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 04-30-2007, 04:34 PM
Scurlogue Champ's Avatar
Scurlogue Champ Scurlogue Champ is offline
Formerly 'moodwalker'
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Louisville
Posts: 1,727
Default

I don't think he disliked Keeneland.

I think he popped a huge effort in the BC and isn't any better than the rest of the crop.

One impressive victory at two, two preps where he didn't stand out, and a few workouts at churchill and he will be the favorite.

Doesn't add up to me.

I'm leaving him off.

And AGS doesn't have a shot in my opinion.

Circular Quay is the one.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 04-30-2007, 04:36 PM
Cajungator26's Avatar
Cajungator26 Cajungator26 is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Hossy's Mom's basement.
Posts: 10,217
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by moodwalker
I don't think he disliked Keeneland.

I think he popped a huge effort in the BC and isn't any better than the rest of the crop.

One impressive victory at two, two preps where he didn't stand out, and a few workouts at churchill and he will be the favorite.

Doesn't add up to me.

I'm leaving him off.

And AGS doesn't have a shot in my opinion.

Circular Quay is the one.
I couldn't disagree more... CQ is a nice enough colt, but I'm not certain he'll get the kind of pace meltdown he's going to need in order to win. BTW, I believe that Curlin will be the favorite.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 04-30-2007, 04:38 PM
slotdirt's Avatar
slotdirt slotdirt is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 4,894
Default

I don't see how someone can bash Street Sense's 2007 on the one hand then pick a horse who hasn't run since the Fillmore administration to win the race on Saturday.
__________________
The world's foremost expert on virtually everything on the Redskins 2010 season: "Im going to go out on a limb here. I say they make the playoffs."
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 04-30-2007, 04:39 PM
tycharles01 tycharles01 is offline
Hollywood Park
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 427
Default

I wont not leave Street Sense off my ticket, damn i wont even have him out of the Top 2

Guys do not leave this horse off your tickets. He ran pretty good and the horse loves CD.

As of this moment my choice for the Winner!!!!
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 04-30-2007, 04:41 PM
Scurlogue Champ's Avatar
Scurlogue Champ Scurlogue Champ is offline
Formerly 'moodwalker'
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Louisville
Posts: 1,727
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Cajungator26
I couldn't disagree more... CQ is a nice enough colt, but I'm not certain he'll get the kind of pace meltdown he's going to need in order to win. BTW, I believe that Curlin will be the favorite.
I'm thinking the pace will be ideal, that is why I am sticking with him.

SS will be a tick lower than Curlin when those prices pop up in my opinion.

People will get off of Curlin this week.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 04-30-2007, 04:44 PM
Cajungator26's Avatar
Cajungator26 Cajungator26 is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Hossy's Mom's basement.
Posts: 10,217
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by moodwalker
I'm thinking the pace will be ideal, that is why I am sticking with him.

SS will be a tick lower than Curlin when those prices pop up in my opinion.

People will get off of Curlin this week.
The pace will be ideal with horses like Stormello (who've they've been trying to teach to rate) and Cobalt Blue up front? Hmmm... not fast enough for me. I see a War Emblem kind of derby here. Can't fault you for liking CQ, but I sure as hell wouldn't leave AGS or SS off of my tickets.
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 04-30-2007, 04:48 PM
Scurlogue Champ's Avatar
Scurlogue Champ Scurlogue Champ is offline
Formerly 'moodwalker'
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Louisville
Posts: 1,727
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Cajungator26
The pace will be ideal with horses like Stormello (who've they've been trying to teach to rate) and Cobalt Blue up front? Hmmm... not fast enough for me. I see a War Emblem kind of derby here. Can't fault you for liking CQ, but I sure as hell wouldn't leave AGS or SS off of my tickets.
I don't think Stormello will be alone up there....

Hard Spun, Cowtown Cat, etc... will keep him company and pump and sweat out tough fractions I think
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 04-30-2007, 05:17 PM
lemoncrush's Avatar
lemoncrush lemoncrush is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Blaine, MN
Posts: 1,408
Default

I'm a huge CQ fan, but my head keeps telling me to go with Street Sense. Seeing his work from last week was almost jaw dropping. The horse moves so well, and he'll be sure to handle Churchill well, as usual.

His Tampa effort was brilliant off the layoff (track record), and I'm completely willing to throw out the Bluegrass with those fractions (and he still only lost by a nose).

I just can't seem him running a dud, and that's being objective as possible.
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 04-30-2007, 05:27 PM
AeWingnut's Avatar
AeWingnut AeWingnut is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Suddenly
Posts: 4,828
Default

I think Street Sense is an include. I'm a little biased. I bet him in the Juvenile and he doesn't owe me any money. You gotta dance with the one that brung ya mentality.

Really Street Sense is coming into the Derby like he came into the Juvenile. The only difference is Circular Quay and Great Hunter won't complete the trifecta

still waiting for the draw to study the race

but Street Sense is going to absolutely be on my ticket
__________________
ΜΟΛΩΝ ΛΑΒΕ
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 04-30-2007, 05:29 PM
byalip's Avatar
byalip byalip is offline
Detroit Race Course
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 279
Default

The fact that Street Sense showed he can throw it down--remember the battle down the lane with AGS--and is one of the few horses with triple digit Beyer's, is training well and looks like a monster according to eyewitnesses... makes him a STRONG and legitimate contender.
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 04-30-2007, 05:35 PM
tycharles01 tycharles01 is offline
Hollywood Park
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 427
Default

I got about 7 or 8 horses for 4 spots.

All I can hope is that 1 or 2 of them draw those great 17,18,19,20 spots and make my job a little easier
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 04-30-2007, 05:57 PM
miraja2's Avatar
miraja2 miraja2 is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Chicago
Posts: 4,157
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by moodwalker
I don't think he disliked Keeneland.

I think he popped a huge effort in the BC and isn't any better than the rest of the crop.

One impressive victory at two, two preps where he didn't stand out, and a few workouts at churchill and he will be the favorite.

Doesn't add up to me.

I'm leaving him off.

And AGS doesn't have a shot in my opinion.

Circular Quay is the one.
It seems a bit strange to me for you to toss Street Sense if you like CQ. If you think the race is going to have a pace scenario that sets up nicely for CQ, wouldn't that also be a favorable pace scenario for Street Sense?
If you are going deep and betting TRIs and Supers, leaving SS off seems like a poor move to me.
It is at least possible that he is quite simply the best horse in this crop on dirt.
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 04-30-2007, 06:07 PM
tywizard tywizard is offline
Lincoln Fields
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Kentucky
Posts: 438
Default

SS's two impressive victories have been the result of an open rail - with 20 gunning, I'm not going to count on him getting the rail....I liked him until watching the major preps...in my opinion he has benefited from perfect trips that will simply not exist on Saturday...
Reply With Quote
  #18  
Old 04-30-2007, 06:11 PM
declansharbor's Avatar
declansharbor declansharbor is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Exit 30
Posts: 6,357
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by tywizard
SS's two impressive victories have been the result of an open rail - with 20 gunning, I'm not going to count on him getting the rail....I liked him until watching the major preps...in my opinion he has benefited from perfect trips that will simply not exist on Saturday...
In which way was the Bluegrass a perfect trip?? And the only reason the rail was open in the TB derby was because he outran the other midpack horses to get a clean crack at it.. I dont think he needs the rail anyways, we will find out saturday
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital"

- Nathan Israel
Reply With Quote
  #19  
Old 04-30-2007, 06:13 PM
Scurlogue Champ's Avatar
Scurlogue Champ Scurlogue Champ is offline
Formerly 'moodwalker'
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Louisville
Posts: 1,727
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by declansharbor
In which way was the Bluegrass a perfect trip?? And the only reason the rail was open in the TB derby was because he outran the other midpack horses to get a clean crack at it.. I dont think he needs the rail anyways, we will find out saturday
I don't think the Bluegrass was a "perfect trip." But I do think that he was clear and outside with plenty of time to assert himself as the cream of the crop.

.......He didn't.
Reply With Quote
  #20  
Old 04-30-2007, 06:14 PM
miraja2's Avatar
miraja2 miraja2 is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Chicago
Posts: 4,157
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by tywizard
SS's two impressive victories have been the result of an open rail - with 20 gunning, I'm not going to count on him getting the rail....I liked him until watching the major preps...in my opinion he has benefited from perfect trips that will simply not exist on Saturday...
You might be right about this. Maybe he does "need" the rail. At this point though, he is too scary for me to leave off, because he also might NOT be a "need-the-rail" type.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 11:35 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.