Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 05-27-2006, 09:16 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,309
Default Saturday 5/27 Stakes Selections



Saturday marks the start of the traditional kickoff to summer's racing, and the big Memorial Day stakes. Though Belmont's Sheepshead Bay (Gr. II) and Arlington's Hanshin Cup (Gr. III) are the only graded races today, quality listed stakes at Monmouth, Delaware and Churchill also highlight the action...


BEL 8th: Sheepshead Bay (Gr. II), $150,000, 11f-IT, F&M 3+

1. #1 HONEY RIDER (2-1): Pletcher 5yo padding stats with plethora of stakes wins past 12+ months. Adjusts to any scenario and doesn't mind it soft. Imposing.

2. #3 LATICE (9-2): Sheppard miss stretches out in 2nd start since 5 month break. Relished heavy sod in France just missed versus top one in '05 E.P. Taylor.

A. #7 SERENDIPITOUS (20-1): Inclined to include Bond bay by Pleasant Tap for value as she scored on yielding loam at 3 and has been respectable in BEL graded company previously.

B. #5 ASI SIEMPRE (3-1): Biancine grey has done little wrong in 4 U.S. tries, annexing Gr. III Valley View (yl) and placing behind Wend (Jenny Wiley-Gr. II) and Olaya (Garden City BC-Gr. I) since last fall. Removes goggles and keeps Leparoux.



MTH 10th: Frisk Me Now (L), $65,000, 1m-70y, 3+

1. #2 PARK AVENUE BALL (7-2): Ryerson stalwart for M/M Hesse rarely runs a bad one and is never off board at shore (5/3-1-1).

2. #4 YOUR BLUFFING (9-2): My man Trombetta sends Laurel Terror north after blah efforts at AQU/DEL. Gets new pilot in Fast Eddie who should suit this 6yo gelding.

A. #11 SUNSHINE STALKER (15-1): Inviting tab on capable Jenkins (19%) gelding who has run badly just once in 8 career tries. Post an obvious hurdle.

B. #8 AUGURI (10-1): Artax waters were too deep for Argentian from Showing Up connections, but that team scored at BEL, and 5yo may forget to stop here.



DEL 8th: Go For Wand (L), $100,000, 8.5f, 3yo fillies

1. #5 LADY OF CLARE (12-1): Taking shot with Gorham trainee that may just be a Pimlico lover or has really turned corner. One of three here that has beaten elder and she's demolished last pair of fields by combined 18 lengths steretching past 8f. 12-1? That's us!

2. #6 AMANDATUDE (5-1): Ritchey Aptitude bay is never out exacta in 6 DEL tries and has tactical foot. Shows incremental fig progress and topped similar event last.

A. #7 UNBRIDLED BELLE (6-1): Ramon cruised when last paired with this Pletcher trainee and hard to pass up generous tote on any Todd trotter.

B. #2 DIAMOND SPIRIT (9-5): Mr. Jerkens' Holy Bull fave looks eminently beatable to us despite pair of Gr,. II placements on display.

LONGSHOT: #8 ELLIOT'S EXCHANGE (15-1) will be lost on the board and is a reasonable include on deep exotic ticks...



CD 10th: Winning Colors (L), $100,000, 6f, F&M 3+

1. #1 EVER ELUSIVE (4-1): Willing to key Madison (Gr. III) show pony with addition of Bejarano.

2. #4 HOT STORM (5-2): Hard to fault Stewart's nice bay in midst of 5 race skien.

A. #2 ATLAS VALLEY (5-1): 21% Wilkes turns back Capote 4yo off OK 4th in Humana Distaff on Derby Day. Spotty record on view but has always kept good company.

B. #5 REUNITED (2-1): Off the board once career and 4/3-0-1 at trip, Howard-Farish feline has been working gangbusters and sprinters are always playable off layoffs.



AP 8th: Hanshin Cup H. (Gr. III), $100,000, 1m

1. #1 FIFTEEN ROUNDS (5-2): Fit to Fight gelding from our friend Christine Jenks has nabbed 7 of last 10 and is 8 of 11 in Chi-town burbs. Flying in the a.m. for graded debut.

2. GOULDINGS GREEN (9-5): Admit Reinstedler red will be tough, but with top choice as lone speed, he may not get set up he wants.

3. #4 THREE HOUR NAP (5-1): Pleased to get 5-1 on 5/4-0-1 Arlington bay from savvy Robertson.


More for Sunday and Memorial Day including Belmont's Jaipur (with Lansdon Robbins' record setting No Phone) and Monday's prestigious Met Mile...


Enjoy the day!!
Steve
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 05-28-2006, 07:27 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,309
Default

Bit of an unusual day for me that has continued a recent trend...

I had one "on top" winner after another but struggled to find exotics scores... And the day culminated with the straight tri in the Hanshin before Fifteen Rounds was moved to second and Gouldings Green was moved to the win.

Honey Rider, Ever Elusive and Park Avenue Ball all got the job done, but I couldn't get an exacta or tri out of those efforts. Nailed the exacta, tri and super boxes in the Go For Wand, but it didn't produce much ROI. The straight Hanshin tri would have paid close to $50, but the box returned around $35 with Fifteen Rounds 2nd on the DQ...

For some reason, over the last 10 days or so, I've been picking lots of winners on top... something I don't necessarily try to do as I'm not a WP bettor... And I can't tell what I'm doing differently that is identifying winners but coming up empty on the underneaths... Very strange..
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 05-28-2006, 11:08 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,309
Default Sunday 5/28 Grand Slam (BEL) Selections, +

Solid day yesterday with on top winners in three of the stakes and winning exotic box plays in the two others... Park Avenue Ball, Ever Elusive and Honey Rider all got the job done in the Frisk Me Now, Winning Colors and Sheepshead Bay, but we couldn't manage to get the right exacta/tri/super players underneath!

In the Hanshin, we tabbed the straight triple with Fifteen Rounds, Gouldings Green and Three Hour Nap coming home 1-2-3, but the AP stewards swapped the two top finishers in yet another seemingly unnecessary DQ... Although we boxed up the right 4 players in the Go For Wand, the ROI disappeared when the tote turned odd... 6-1 ML Unbridled Belle made the punters look good going off as the 3-2 favorite and winning the head bob over Amandatude (7-2). Original a.m. choice Diamond Spirit (9-5 ML) did prove as beatable as we suggested at 2-1, finishing third. Our top choice, Lady of Clare (8-1), rounded out the $71.80 superfecta.

Sunday sees only one American graded stake, and it features Derby Trailer Lansdon Robbins' NOT PHONE in the Jaipur (Gr. III). In Toronto, Woodbine offers the Gr. III Connaught Cup... We look at the Jaipur as part of the Belmont Grand Slam play, and glance at the listed Ft. Monmouth (MON) for fillies and mares as well...

BELMONT PARK, 5/28/06, (R5-8, Grand Slam)


R5: $35k Clm, 1m-T, F&M-3+

1. #1 Morning Sky 3-1: Lake gal returns to straight claimers after breaking three race win run last

2. #11 Moorebella 5-2: Wondermare unbeatable of late but cutback a tough chore from lousy launch

A. #8 Urbane Hustle 7-2: Off board twice last 11, and trainer Walder damn savvy

B. #7 My Nina Rose 8-1: 9/1-3-2 on BEL lawn, Sciacca trainee close to Moorebella last time

Longshot: #5 Miss Baba: From Derby Trailer Dr. John Charos and his Pont St. Stables crew, the big mare can fire shots from nowhere and had trouble in her seasonal debut two back. Will be 30-1 or more and could be a worthwhile include with Del Carroll starting to warm up with a win this week. When the Carroll barns heats, it gets real HOT...


R6: $17.5k Clm, 6.5f

1. #8 Gambling Native 4-1: Rudy R. a success with this 5yo Quick gelding: Right back

2. #4 Forli's Con Man 8-1: Terror at TAM gets .5f break trying front end: Gets company

A. #10 Bandit Nailhead 8-1: Like the claim move from Gullo to Levine who hits 28% first off tag

B. #1/1a Gullo entry (Little Red Rocket/The Midnight Skier) 5-2: Both sides of tandem rise in price and neither looks especially imposing in here


R7: $44k Alw/N1x, 1m, NYB F&M-3+

1. #3 Karakorum Starlet 5-2: Odinitz red came back from break running: Faces pressure from "Nibs", but otherwise figures tough

2. #1 Stellar Maiden 9-2: Galluscio bay just missed in comebacker and should sit trip on rail in slight cutback

A. #4 Stolen Star 6-1: Hot Kimmel sends Broman-bred Cat Thief daughter, away 100 days, off series of strong a.m. efforts; Offers value

B. #7 Her Royal Nibs 4-1: Formal Gold bay showed speed last before tiring: Cuts back a 'teenth here


R8: The Jaipur Handicap, Gr. III, 6f-T

1. #2 Not Phone 5-2: Record-setter in last looks for stallion-making stakes win for DT's Lansdon Robbins

2. #8 Around the Cape 3-1: From our friends at Live Oak, Shakertown runner-up rarely miss-fires

A. #7 Primary Suspect 4-1: '05 Toboggan winner chased Spooky Mulder, Silver Train to good third last out

B. #1 Summer Service 5-1: Cross-entered at Philly, gelding a threat if he goes here

C. #6 Bold Decision 15-1: Nice number on state bred from slick LaFavers who won one yesterday


Grand Slam Play:

5th: 1 or 11
6th: 4 or 8
7th: 1 or 3
8th: 1-2-4-6-7-8

1x1x1x6 = 6 x $5 = $30


MON 10th: The Fort Monmouth (L), $65k, 8.5f, F&M-3+

1. #1 Toll Taker 9-2: One of our favorite fillies.. May be heading back in right direction

2. #2 No Sleep 3-1: Contessa expecting top effort from nice Robyn Dancer grey

A. #6 #6 Blissful Ignorance 15-1: Value inclusion gets "1st time Chavez"... Potent angle

B. #4 Sis City 5-2: Figure this one wakes up at some point and Derby Day Gr. III turf try legs her up and was better than it looks


Met Mile tomorrow, plus stakes all over the country!! Enjoy the racing and continue to have a safe, pleasant Holiday Weekend!

Steve
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 05-29-2006, 10:57 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,309
Default Monday's Holiday Stakes

Big day of racing today.. Memorial Day, and the Met Mile especially, have great historical imoport in the sport.

Hope folks took advantage of our pointing out Bold Decision in Sunday's Jaipur. Originally 15-1, Laurie LaFavers' red gelding floated to 35-1 and ran a courageous second to help ignite the exotics to the tune of a $157 exacta and $669 trifecta... In the Ft. Monmouth, Blissful Ignorance's scratch left you with the tri ($53.20) and exacta ($28.80) boxes.

Here's a look at the holiday bill of fare... (NOTE: Paz Ciudadana looks like an outstanding play at 12-1 in the Lone Star Distaff Stake...)


BEL 8th: 113th METROPOLITAN HANDICAP (Gr. I), 1m

1. #4 Silver Train 2-1: Note big a.m. numbers and 3 for 5 BEL mark; Appears healthy again..

2. #7 Sir Greeley 7-2: At top of his game and running at his best distance..

A. #1 Mass Media 6-1: Displays a top effort-off effort pattern and 5/18 blowout..

B. #6 New York Hero 20-1: New version of this one last time under Dutrow eye..



MON 9: Wolf Hill (L), $65k, 6f

1. #1 Spooky Mulder 8-5: The game's most lovable older horse: Our Kelso..

2. #4 Shrewd Stipulation 6-1: Trombetta doesn't ship for nothing..

3. #2 Wild Jam 5-2: Perkins/New Farm gelding adds Jersey Joe..



MON 10th: Spend A Buck (L), $65k, 1m

1. #4 Valid Brush 8-1: Small dangerous on quick runback: Chased Songster at PIM..

2. #2 Electrify 5-2: On stakes skien, but looks vulnerable here..

A. #3 Ghostly Apparition 7-2: Pletcher grey will face Two Terms from bell..

B. #7 Extra Bend 8-1: Won last time employing sod to dirt trick..



CRC 12th: 32nd Memorial Day H. (Gr. III), 8.5f

1. #8 Siphon City 4-1: Hurtak red looks in top form and super tough here..

2. #2 Gigawatt 8-1: Turf to dirt and ITM 10 of 13 trip..

A. #1 Who's Crying Now 5-1: Tortora trainee rarely runs a bad one..

B. #9 Twilight Road 6-1: 50% winner in 6 Miami tries: Circling back to top..



CD 10th: 69th Louisville H. (Gr. III), 11f-T

1. #3 Silverfoot 2-1: Logical..

2. #4 Nolan 's Cat 6-1: Adds value if he takes to lawn..

3. #5 Quest Star 3-1: Tough at 4th and Central..



LS 9th: Winstar Distaff (Gr. III), 1m-T, F&M-3+

1. #4 Paz Ciudadana 12-1: Ciu at da IRS window at that price!

2. #5 Lock and Key (Ire) 4-1: PVal (Magnum in 10th) didn't come to TX to get shut out..

A. #1 Swet Talker 9-5: Motion filly 5-0-1 last 6, but figs make her just "one of the ones"..

B. #8 Caviar Emptor 20-1: Note trouble line from last and fact that 6 of 10 career wins were grassy..



LS 10th: Lone Star Park H. (Gr. III), 8.5f

1. #4 Watchem Smokey 12-1: In career best form and doesn't require lead..

2. #1 Magnum 9-5: Chased Buzzard and Lava last pair and is "most likely" but no lock..

A. #6 Cosmonaut 8-1: Biancone-Leparoux dangerous wherever they show up..

B. #7 Preachinatthebar 3-1: Baffert grey becoming useful, successfull veteran..


We haven't looked at Hollywood's Gr. I Gamely and Shoemaker yet!


Good luck..
Steve

Last edited by Kasept : 05-29-2006 at 11:03 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 05-29-2006, 12:15 PM
lemoncrush's Avatar
lemoncrush lemoncrush is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Blaine, MN
Posts: 1,408
Default

Good stuff Kasept.
Looks like a great day of racing all over the country.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 05-29-2006, 05:10 PM
stevepopyak's Avatar
stevepopyak stevepopyak is offline
Narragansett Park
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: New Stanton, PA
Posts: 574
Default

Nice call (Steve and Oracle) with Silver Train ... nailed him across the board and used everyone underneath in the exacta multiple times ... keep em coming!
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 05-29-2006, 05:15 PM
oracle80
 
Posts: n/a
Default Believe me we will

Quote:
Originally Posted by stevepopyak
Nice call (Steve and Oracle) with Silver Train ... nailed him across the board and used everyone underneath in the exacta multiple times ... keep em coming!
Steve, happy to make your internet acquaintance. BY this time next year I expect this to be one of the biggest website stops for people who love racing. The winners will keep coming, and even when we miss, you can be assured that we will give you the full story and information that few people in the country can provide. All the best to you and Happy Memorial Day!!!!
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 05-29-2006, 06:23 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,309
Default

Having another day of "on tops" with few exotic hits... This is the one that I'm most happy about... $27.00... Pulls off the T2D AGAIN...

MON 10th: Spend A Buck (L), $65k, 1m

1. #4 Valid Brush 8-1: Small dangerous on quick runback
2. #2 Electrify 5-2: On stakes skien, but looks vulnerable here..
A. #3 Ghostly Apparition 7-2: Pletcher grey will face Two Terms from bell..
B. #7 Extra Bend 8-1: Won last time employing sod to dirt trick..
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 06-01-2006, 11:38 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,309
Default BELMONT: Thursday 6/1

Hey all..

Running to a meeting, but here's the BEL 5th-9th we talked about yesterday!

Talk later this p.m.!!

SB


BELMONT PARK (6/1/06) Races 5-9


5th: Clm, 1m

1. #6 Long Term Success 9-5
2. #4 Cat's a Rockin 6-1
A. #7 Rockhewn 5-1
B. #1/1a Lake entry 2-1


6th: Mdn Clm, NYB-F&M, 6f

1. #3 Lady Jove 5-1
2. #12 Bianca Diva 5-2
A. #6 Gem Road 15-1
B. #5 La Belle Suzine 6-1


7th: OC, NYB-F&M, 7f-T

1. #3 Soul Possession 7-2
2. #10 Miss West 20-1
A. #5 Camp on Wood 6-1
B. #1 Nina Marie 15-1


8th: OC/N2X, NYB-F&M, 6f

1. #4 Little Miss Zip 3-1
2. #8 What's Your Point 4-1
A. #10 Cassette Case 12-1
B. #11 Pro Occident 12-1
C. #5 Zippy Shannon 5-1


9th: Mdn Clm, 1m-T

1. #4 Silver Cliff 6-1
2. #5 Mister Zee 2-1
A. #2 Tuffy Gold 8-1
B. #6 Riverdale 8-1


$5 Grand Slam (5-8)

5: 6
6: 3
7: 3
8: 4-5-8-10-11

1x1x1x5 x $5 = $25


$1 Pick 4

6: 3-12
7: 3-10
8: 4-8-10
9: 4-5

2x2x3x2 = $24


Good luck..
Steve
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 06-01-2006, 03:34 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,309
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
BELMONT PARK (6/1/06) Races 5-9

5th: Clm, 1m

1. #6 Long Term Success 9-5
2. #4 Cat's a Rockin 6-1
A. #7 Rockhewn 5-1
B. #1/1a Lake entry 2-1

Woo-hoo!

Cat ROCKS the board at 8-1... Lake 2nd, Success 3rd...
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 06-02-2006, 12:43 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,309
Default BELMONT: Friday R5-9

Belmont Park, 6/2/06

FYI: Original selections from last evening's ATRAB with addition of WET (W) designation(s).. SCR included..


5th: Clm, 6.5f

1. #5 Willy o' the Valley 4-5 (W)
2. #2 Hurricane Mia 12-1
A. #4 Stash the Boots 12-1 (W)
B. #10 Noble Adversary 15-1 (W) SCR


6th: Mdn $35k, 7f

1. #3 Out for Fame 3-1 SCR
2. #4 Cosmic Star 2-1
A. #6 Bookway 9-2
B. #1a Big Chief Bubba 15-1 (W)


7th: Alw/N2L, F&M, 7f

1. #6 She's Indy Money 4-1 (W)

2. #3 Klepto Cat 7-2
A. #5 Kelly K's Pleasure 3-1
B. #4 College Girl 6-1 SCR

Note: #1 Chili Cat bred for slop


8th: Opt Clm/N3x, F&M, 1m

1. #6 Notre Dame 2-1 (W)
2. #4 Classy Charm 9-2 (W) SCR
A. #3 Carmandia 5-2 (W)
B. #1a Itsayatesthing 8-1 (W)


9th: MSW, NYB, 6f-T

1. #8 Sigh You 3-1 (W)
2. #4 Fixcall 7-2
A. #10 Tough and Easy 9-2 (W)
B. #2 New York Cowboy 15-1 SCR
C. #6 Sultry City 10-1 (W)


$5 Grand Slam:

5: 5
6: 4-6
7: 6
8: 6

1x2x1x1 = 2 x $5 = $10


Pick Four:

6: 4-6-1a
7: 1-6
8: 6
9:8-10

3x3x1x2 = $18


Good luck..
Steve

Last edited by Kasept : 06-03-2006 at 08:39 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 06-02-2006, 02:38 PM
Cajungator26's Avatar
Cajungator26 Cajungator26 is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Hossy's Mom's basement.
Posts: 10,217
Default

Thanks, Steve.
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 06-02-2006, 08:09 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,309
Default

Hope my typo of "7" on Big Chief Bubba didn't screw up people's winning Pick Four play above.. Had a few already let me know they DID have it... $375 on the P4..

The $30.20 on the Grand Slam was OK too with the $10 play ($75.50)...
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 06-02-2006, 09:11 PM
deltaforce97
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Hey Steve, Great job with this forum, and with all your selections. I have a question. Have you ever thought about doing a "Best Bet" like they do on DRF selections? ...then again, I guess you did give out your single on your Pick 4 play..........never mind!!!!!
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 06-03-2006, 07:55 AM
coolycatt coolycatt is offline
Sam Houston
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Rhode Island
Posts: 13
Default Thanks Steve!

Thank you for enlightening me to Fernando JARA. I heard you talking about his quality ride on Jazil in his 1st KY Derby and have been keeping an eye on him ever since. I managed to catch him on Cat's a Rockin' and along with the Ex. managed to pick up a C-note before even seeing this forum. I'd like to claim some brilliant handicapping prowess...but the fact is I have a "Rockin" cat and you tipped me off to Jara. Sometimes it IS better to be lucky than smart.
Jara sure appears to be a Up-and-comer...I only wonder why he doesn't seem to get many mounts.
Thanks again for the quality info. here and at A T R +B

Jeff
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 06-03-2006, 08:35 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,309
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by deltaforce97
Hey Steve, Great job with this forum, and with all your selections. I have a question. Have you ever thought about doing a "Best Bet" like they do on DRF selections? ...then again, I guess you did give out your single on your Pick 4 play..........never mind!!!!!
Force..

Thanks very much.. I'm not big on "Best Bets" per se because the inclination is to make 3-1's and 4-1's "Best Bets" and what's the charm or value in that?
As an exotics wagerer, I'm more interested in including the 12-1's and 15-1's and hitting the tri's and exactas with them.

There are occasions where I feel REALLY good about a horse, and lately, I've been nailing a ton of "on top" winners. They haven't been big prices, like the 4 of the 5 on top winners I had yesterday at BEL, but putting them "on top" is a bit new for the way I have selected the last 4 years. It's a bit of an evolutionary process for me, because of the role I've been given on "ATRAB"...

SB
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 06-03-2006, 08:43 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,309
Default

Jeff..

My pleasure and thanks for joining Derby Trail.. I liked Jara from Day 1, Pablo Morales too.. Jara's agent is Randy Romero, and given his disabled status, it has to be hard for him to really get around to all the trainers and "work" the backstretch for mounts. That may contribute to Jara not getting the best mounts.

He'll keep working his way up the ladder... Kieran McLaughlin thinks VERY highly of him, and that is about is as good an endorsement a jockey is going to get!

SB
Reply With Quote
  #18  
Old 06-03-2006, 11:20 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,309
Default SATURDAY STAKES: Bel, Del, CD, WO, HOL..

The Epsom Derby goes offin minutes.. Try and catch it on TVG or your local OTB Network telecast...

Excellent results yesterday at Belmont as long as you paid attention to the NAMES of the horses I selected and not the numbers... I had early pp's to work from that did not have saddlecloth numbers,, and misidentified 21-1 Race 6 winner Big Chief Bubba as the "#7" when he was the 1a, and 8th race top choice Notre Dame as the #7 when he was the #6 because of entries in both races... Hope it didn't blow your plays as we hit the Grand Slam for $30.20 and the Pick Four for $375!! The trend of "on top" winners continued as well Friday with no less than 4 first choice critters getting the job done in the 5 races we doped...

Saturday features some interesting stakes around the country though lousy weather threatens a lot of the East Coast action... Here's a look at the races we discussed last night on "At the Races and Beyond"...



BEL 8th: 12th SANDS POINT, Gr. III, $100,000, F&M-3+, 9f-IT

NOTE: Will be only turf race left on today at Belmont.. Listed as "soft"..

1. #8 Wait a While 5-2: Pletcher grey was 4th in KY Oaks and lays over if it is taken off the turf..

2. #7 Stadore 7-2: Biancone-Leparoux and that's been a deadly combo anywhere they show up..

A. #5 Perilous Pursuit 5-1: Sal Russo's LDK bay has won 2X on "good" footing..

B. #3 Zaynab 4-1: Clement lures Edgar and interesting bay may be an emergent player in turf filly division..




DEL 8th: ROONEY MEMORIAL, $100,000, F&M-3+, 9f-T

1. #9 Film Maker 8-5: Hard to go against wonderful Motion mare at this level..

2. #10 Marchonin 6-1: Matz trainee was wide-near miss 6th in CD's Distaff Turf Derby Day..

A. #1 Humoristic 12-1: Attractive tote on Ham Smith bay mare that got headed in Gallorette Preakness Day..

B. #5 Joyfull Chaos 12-1: Another value, this time helmed by Rose for Clement..

OFF THE TURF: 1-2-7-6



WO 6th: 51st NASSAU, Gr. II, $300,000, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T

1. #7 Naissance Royale 9-5: Clement takes Kent D. and shouldn't be beaten..

2. #6 Invitational 6-1: Day-Phillips sharp off layoff and 4yo bay offers value..

3. #3 Hallowed Dream 3-1: Ben Cecil's Tarrow Brae (Gr. III) winner rarely off board..



CD 8th: 3rd OPENING VERSE (L), $100,000, 3+, 8.5f-T

1. #2 Free Thinking 8-1: Borel on fire and lack of pace suits..

2. #6 Senor Swinger 5-2: Trying for 3rd straight win in this event..

A. #7 Rush Bay 3-1: 3rd off break and always tough on this sod..

B. #1 Purim 2-1: Razorback winner likely choive but beatable here..



CD 9th: 32nd DOGWOOD BC, Gr. III, $150,000, Fillies, 3yo, 1m

1. #7 Joint Effort 5-2: Romans' La Troienne winner should waltz..

2. #5 Humorous Gal 12-1: Love price on Distorted Humor from Wilkes, 2nd time Borel..

A. #6 Victorina 4-1: Gilchrist brings nice listed winner from one of our favorite new sires..

B. #2 Ready to Please 3-1: Bejarano adds to appeal of slightly lucky Fantasy winner..



CD 10th: 18th ARISTIDES BCH, Gr. III, $150,000, 6f

1. #5 Lost in the Fog 1-1: Don't think he's as vulnerable here as many making out..

2. #3 Exciting Metro 6-1: Romans' Carson City 5yo in EX 8 of 11 Churchill tries..

A. #2 Cougar Cat 15-1: Werner brings Albarado back on super well-bred 4yo..

B. #7 Kelly's Nelson 4-1: Kenneally gelding was shocked by 'Metro' Derby Week..



HOL 3rd: 55th MILADY BCH, Gr. II, $175,000, F&M-3+, 8.5f

1. #2 Star Parade

2. #1 Proposed
Reply With Quote
  #19  
Old 06-06-2006, 08:44 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,309
Default DELAWARE: Races 5-8, 6/6/06

Back to NY at 11:15 this morning.. Then to Belmont Wednesday! Hope everyone is enjoying the "new" Trail...

Talk later! Enjoy the day..
Steve


SELECTIONS -- Delaware Park (6/6/06) R5-8 (P4)


R5: Alw/N2x, 5.5f, F&M-3+

1. #5 Honoring Carolyn 2-1: Imposing..
A. #4 With a Passion 8-1
B. #1 Ten Halos 6-1


R6: MSW, 3&4yo, 8.5f-T

1. #3 Mantle 6-1: Exits wide trip debut third..
A. #5 Lemon Shore 9-2
B. #6 Exton 7-2
C. #7 Pound for Pound 8-1


R7: OC/N3x, F&M-3+, 8.5f

1. #3 Victory Pool 2-1: Perkins.. Ramon.. New Farm..
A. #6 Katie's Love 8-1
B. #7 Mrs. Doyle 4-1
C. #1 Deed to the Gate 3-1


R8: The St. Georges, $50k, 3yo Fillies, 8.5f-T

1. #2 Ebony Rose 2-1: Exits similar fray on yielding loam..
2. #7 Zaynab 5-1: Was intended for G3 Sands Point..
A. #6 Christmas Stocking 8-1
B. #12 Art Show 6-1
C. #9 Tazaliya 20-1


$4 Pick Four Play

A. 5
B. 3
C. 2
D. 2-6-7-9-12

1x1x1x5 = 5 x $4 = $20


Good luck.. Belmont the rest of the week!
Steve
Reply With Quote
  #20  
Old 06-06-2006, 12:09 PM
swedejxn swedejxn is offline
Sheepshead Bay
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Gulf Shores, AL
Posts: 1,080
Default

Mrs. Doyle #7 scares me in the 7th... May try her with your top pick...
She's paid off for me before... May pare down the 8th to a three-some to save a few bucks...

Good luck at the windows and thanks, Steve, for what looks to be a very playable ticket...
__________________
I feel sorry for people who don't drink. They wake up in the morning and that's the best they are going to feel all day. Frank Sinatra
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 01:54 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.