10/17: Keeneland, Santa Anita

Kasept · #1 10-17-2007, 08:05 AM

Big day of racing and Breeders' Cup coverage on "At the Races" Wednesday with KEE races 7-9 and Santa Anita carryover races 3-6 live on the air... Santa Anita Director of Racing Rick Hammerle in the first hour to help you finalize your Carryover tickets... Also joined by DRF's Dan Ilman (5-5:30), Equidaily's Seth Merrow (5:30-6) and Ft. Worth Star-Telegram's Gary West (6-6:30) for BC pre-entry conversation... Sirius 126 or at http://www.thoroughbredracingradionetwork.com (live stream).

KEENELAND

.10 Supers in all...

6th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P3, P4)

Best Value: #11 Coosa 10-1
Most Likely: #1 THIS VERY DAY 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Go Swiftly 12-1 2nd
Super Add: #12 Cape of Storms 5-1

7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 12f-T (P3)

Best Value: #10 Dictina's Boy 10-1
Most Likely: #2 League of Nations 5-2
Exotics Use: #9 Moon Prospect 3-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Winemaster 5-1 2nd; #6 Broganville 15-1

8th: ALW/N3L, 3+, 6f (DD)

Best Value: #4 Strarforaday 5-1 4th
Most Likely: #1 Scorpius 5-2
Exotics Use: #5 Hamoody 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #12 Next Adventure 6-1; #11 Outrageouslyfunny 20-1

9th: CLM, 3+, 7f

Best Value: #5 Liquoreux 10-1
Most Likely: #2 Mithaal 4-1 WON
Exotics Use: #12 Apt to Be 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 SCR

<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1
7: 2-10
8: 1-2-4-5-10-11-12
9: 2-5-12

1x2x7x3 = $42

SANTA ANITA

POST SCRATCHES.. NOTE CHANGES..

.10 Supers in Races 4-8...

3rd: CLM, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Smoocher 5-1 WON
Most Likely: #5 Oceanus 4-1 WON
Exotics Use: #7 Dr. Einstein 3-1 3rd

$1 Exacta 5-4 $10.20/$1 Exacta 4-5 $12.10
$1 Trifecta 5-4-7 $46.00/$1 Trifecta 4-5-7 $56.90

4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Ready Say Go 8-1
Most Likely: #3 Catch That Thief 7-2
Exotics Use: #9 SCR
Super Add: #1 Brother Man 8-1

5th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Dr Zaentz 5-1
Most Likely: #3 Left Unsaid 9-5
Exotics Use: #7 Chevin 5-1
Super Add: #8 Guts 4-1

6th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Will 8-1
Most Likely: #2 SMOKIN FOREST 7-2
Exotics Use: #10 Manhattan Express 12-1
Super Add: #12 Zayed 3-1

7th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6.5f-DHT (DD)

Best Value: #8 Catherine's Hope 5-1
Most Likely: #4 BIG BERTHA 3-1
Exotics Use: #7 Gothic Beauty 4-1
Super Add: #3 Udriga 9-2

8th: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 1m

Best Value: #5 SCR
Most Likely: #6 DANCES WITH TIGERS 9-2
Exotics Use: #7 Queen of I.E. 6-1
Super Add: #1 Foxy Lady 7-2

<$300/<$150/<$50 P6 Play:

[X] = Options to single..

3: 4-5
4: 2-3
5: 1-3-7
6: 2-3
7: [4]-7-8
8: 1-[6]

Full play: 2x2x3x2x3x2 = 144 x $2 = $288

Singling 1 (8th race): 2x2x3x2x3x1 = 72 x $2 = $144

Singling 2 (7th/8th races): 2x2x3x2x1x1 = 24 x $2 = $48

<$50 P4 Play:

5: 1-3-7-8
6: 2-3-10-12
7: 4-7-8
8: 6

4x4x3x1= $48

Good luck!
Steve

King Glorious · #2 10-17-2007, 01:07 PM

I like Rapid Transaction over Udriga in the 7th at Santa Anita today.

1-Rapid Transaction/Udriga
2-Rapid Transactions/Udriga
3-Udriga/Delicate Cat/Gothic Beauty/Big Bertha

ArlJim78 · #3 10-17-2007, 02:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious

I like Rapid Transaction over Udriga in the 7th at Santa Anita today.

1-Rapid Transaction/Udriga
2-Rapid Transactions/Udriga
3-Udriga/Delicate Cat/Gothic Beauty/Big Bertha

Rapid Transaction scratched.

Rootdog1 · #4 10-17-2007, 02:30 PM

Jim, Anyone, - what do you think of the 6th? I am thinking SMokin Forest is going to run out of the $ today....going to be inside and will have pressure from the 6,7 and 12 (at least) from the outside. I questioned his form when they dropped him to $6,250 at Fairplex - something doesnt seem right with him. He has to have the lead to win, although so does Zayed and Currency Trader............ Tough race - any thoughts

Also, I hate Key Maker today in the 3rd. Last one he had the lead on some super slow fractions....he is going to melt today unless they let him walk up front, and Baze/Cnak wont let that happen.

ArlJim78 · #5 10-17-2007, 04:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rootdog1

Jim, Anyone, - what do you think of the 6th? I am thinking SMokin Forest is going to run out of the $ today....going to be inside and will have pressure from the 6,7 and 12 (at least) from the outside. I questioned his form when they dropped him to $6,250 at Fairplex - something doesnt seem right with him. He has to have the lead to win, although so does Zayed and Currency Trader............ Tough race - any thoughts

Also, I hate Key Maker today in the 3rd. Last one he had the lead on some super slow fractions....he is going to melt today unless they let him walk up front, and Baze/Cnak wont let that happen.

i agree, tough race. I'm suspicious that Smokin Forest won't hold his FPX form. he has the appearance of a very sharp horse now, two hollywood bullets, etc. i can't ignore him but i'm not in love with him either. almost the same goes for Zayed. Currency Trader is interesting to me, Tyler chose that one over Zayed it looks like. I even can see High Command taking it, won easy last time and still working well. as a bomber play I was even looking at McNasty if he runs well for Mig again, been off for a while but i've seen stranger wakeups.

i also don't think much of Keymaker today. the barn change and the fact that he won't get an easy lead do to Dr Einstein don't bode well for Keymaker in my view.

Rootdog1 · #6 10-17-2007, 04:42 PM

LOVE McNasty!!!!!

Rootdog1 · #7 10-17-2007, 04:44 PM

Here is my real $ play (late change)

3)1,4,7
4)2,4,6
5)3
6)1,7,11,12
7)4
8)6,10

$144

Rootdog1 · #8 10-17-2007, 05:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rootdog1

Here is my real $ play (late change)

3)1,4,7
4)2,4,6
5)3
6)1,7,11,12
7)4
8)6,10

$144

Official picks

ArlJim78 · #9 10-17-2007, 05:21 PM

whew!! lucky to get out of that with a dead heat, i think many people had either 4 or 5 and can now breath. i didn't use the 4 but have a $10 pick three going forward with the five. when they first passed the wire i thought the four held on.

SentToStud · #10 10-17-2007, 05:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78

whew!! lucky to get out of that with a dead heat, i think many people had either 4 or 5 and can now breath. i didn't use the 4 but have a $10 pick three going forward with the five. when they first passed the wire i thought the four held on.

Check Kasept's ticket. Used 4-5 (and just 4-5) on his ticket. Good luck from here, AJ.

ArlJim78 · #11 10-17-2007, 05:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SentToStud

Check Kasept's ticket. Used 4-5 (and just 4-5) on his ticket. Good luck from here, AJ.

didn't notice that, he had it pegged on the nose.
i'm out, no 4 on my ticket in the 4th. another stride and the 1 would have had him at 9/1. on to the pk4.

Rootdog1 · #12 10-17-2007, 06:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rootdog1

LOVE McNasty!!!!!

DAMN!!!! Almost, so close!!!! I knew he was gonna run big. That was Migs only mount today.

Scav · #13 10-17-2007, 06:47 PM

Somebody better his this today because tomorrow is IMPOSSIBLE!!

ArlJim78 · #14 10-17-2007, 07:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rootdog1

DAMN!!!! Almost, so close!!!! I knew he was gonna run big. That was Migs only mount today.

would have salvaged my day. brutal.

Riot · #15 10-17-2007, 07:59 PM

Geesh, did anyone watch Keeneland today? Could have just been me, but talk about brutal!

Hee hee, I did love that first race though .... unbelievable

SCUDSBROTHER · #16 10-17-2007, 08:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rootdog1

DAMN!!!! Almost, so close!!!! I knew he was gonna run big. That was Migs only mount today.

Would have won if they didn't allow C T to be lone speed.Who knew he was lone speed? Just open the gate,and watch the lil show.......they decide who gets lone leads...paper means nothing to them.Can't you see that was obvious lone speed? It's so obvious..right?

Kasept · #17 10-17-2007, 08:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riot

Geesh, did anyone watch Keeneland today? Could have just been me, but talk about brutal!

Hee hee, I did love that first race though .... unbelievable

I watched it.. And was beaten about the head and face the whole time...

Riot · #18 10-17-2007, 08:17 PM

Yeah. And went downhill from there ....