11/18: Aqueduct ($113k C/O)

[Kasept]

Failed to include a single winner anywhere in the Aqueduct selections Saturday, a beating the likes of which I cannot recall. Card was as tough as predicted producing a double carry for the "6", but I didn't expect to take a 'golden sombrero' either.. Righted the ship somewhat at Churchill, but missed the P4 taking a single shot with Argentina over Criminologist.. P6 at Big A the focus below.


AQUEDUCT


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3)

Best Value: #5 Lion's Maddy 5-1: 3rd career a Ritvo plus.. 3rd
Most Likely: #7 Forest Trail 7-2: Shug enjoying big w/e; Can rebound.. 6th
Exotics Must: #1 Possessive 3-1: First was solid; Half to Old Forester.. 4th
Other Add: #3 Malka 5-1: Chief's DepMin debuted in major SAR heat.. 5th


5th: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, G/S)

Best Value: #5 My Dear Annie 8-1: Donk Smart Strike value; Improved draw.. 5th
Most Likely: #2e Tagg entry 3-1: Double tough if 'Golden Ways' draws in.. 2nd/6th
Exotics Must: #4 Inter Galactic 7-2: Returns to Empire company.. WON
Other Add: #7 My Nina Rose 6-1: Super G sending 'house' ahead of benching.. 9th


6th: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5 (P4, DD)

Best Value: #9 Dance Gal Dance 8-1: Full sib was a fast juvenile.. WON
Most Likely: #1a (POE) C. T. PHONE HOME 7-2: Bulleted for Rice.. 3rd
Exotics Must: #2 Sorority Sister 6-1: A. Dutrow unviels with Garcia.. 8th
Other Add: #11 City Broad 9-2: Post no help for City Zip debutter.. 2nd


7th: CLM, 3+, 1m (P3, Super)

Very difficult event with in/out bunch of veteran claimers..

Best Value: #11 SCR (Sub: #9 Tsuris 9-2) 4th
Most Likely: #3 Bailero 7-2: Dutrow tough on short rest; 8yo a trouper.. WON
Exotics Must: #8 Wood Winner 20-1: 4yo from DTer Dr. Giacopelli won last this level.. 7th
Super Add: #5 River Mountain Rd 8-1: Garcia sticks; 7yo gets pace setup.. 10th


8th: The Gaily Gaily, F&M-3+, 1m-T (DD)

Best Value: #4 Them There Eyes 10-1: Feron picks spots; Can score on turnaround.. 5th
Most Likely: #8 Rasta Farian 7-2: Matz 4yo consistant all year.. 9th
Exotics Must: #5 Trouble Maker 9-2: Scorching Albertrani stretches out bay.. 2nd
Other Add: #6 Rewrite 5-2: Clement Amherst red has feasted on these stakes.. WON


9th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f (Super)

Best Value: #3 Smokin Warrior 8-1: Drop slop form and he's overlaid.. 5th
Most Likely: #9 Mockingbird Lane 4-1: Falldorf.. Fred Falldorf.. 3rd
Exotics Must: #2 Fahrenheit Wild 15-1: Terranova sharp off layoffs.. WON
Super Add: #10 Estimator 3-1: Insticts says play against.. 4th


P6 Play:

Core ticket: BOLD (3x1x1x2x2x2 = 24 x $2 = $48)

4: 1-2-5-7
5: 2e
6: 1a-9
7: 3-5-8
8: 4-8
9: 3-9

4x1x2x3x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1e-9
7: 3-5-8
8: 4-5-6-8
9: 3-9

2x3x4x2 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

[Rudeboyelvis]

P6 races:

R4) 4 Tembisa
6 Fiery Inferno

R5) 1A Cagey Girl
10 One Tough Belle
11 Classic Marilyn
12 Brassy Boots
13 Whateverwillbwillb
14 Strong Presence

R7) 1A Warwick Wonder
4 Fit Faze
10 Raceland
11 Thundering Success
13 Pay the Preacher
15 Sonvida Red

R8) 3 Dancingupastorm
11 Sunshine for Life
12 Homerette
13 Gipsy Limits
14 Scatkey
15 Cindy's Mom

R9) 11 Body Blows

[blackthroatedwind]

What don't you like about the favorite, Carolyn's Cat, in the fourth race?

[dylbert]

Very quiet here today... no one has opinion?

"Skinny" $72 P6: 1,5, // 2,6,9 // 1 // 3,12 // 6 // 5,9,10

"Robust" $50 Late P4: 1,2,3,7,10 // 3,12 // 6 // 1,3,5,9,10

Good Luck to All Today from wet, overcast Louisiana...

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

What don't you like about the favorite, Carolyn's Cat, in the fourth race?

Playing against in-race and covering in multi...

[Rudeboyelvis]

Originally Posted by dylbert

Very quiet here today... no one has opinion?

"Skinny" $72 P6: 1,5, // 2,6,9 // 1 // 3,12 // 6 // 5,9,10

"Robust" $50 Late P4: 1,2,3,7,10 // 3,12 // 6 // 1,3,5,9,10

Good Luck to All Today from wet, overcast Louisiana...

LOVE the 12 drawing in in the 7th, as well as the 14 - wide open day, weather doesn't make it any easier which makes a realistic ticket too rich for me, but IF I had 600 bucks to throw at it:



1,5 //2,4 //1,6,7 //3,12 //1 //9 $16
2 //2,4 //1,6,7 //3,12 //1 //9 $8
1,5 //6 //1,6,7 //3,12 //1 //9 $8
1,5 //2,4 //6,7 //3,12 //1 //9 $32
1,5 //2,4 //1,6,7 //14 //1 //9 $8
1,5 //2,4 //1,6,7 //3,12 //4,5 //9 $32
1,5 //2,4 //1,6,7 //3,12 //1 //3,5 $32
1,5 //7,9 //1,6,7 //3,12 //1 //9 $16
1,5 //2,4 // 2,10//3,12 //1 //9 $32
1,5 //2,4 //1,6,7 //2,8 //1 //9 $16
1,5 //2,4 //1,6,7 //3,12 //8,6 //9 $32
1,5 //2,4 //1,6,7 //3,12 //1 //7 $16
2 //6 //1,6,7 //3,12 //1 //9 $4
2 //2,4 //6,7 //3,12 //1 //9 $16
2 //2,4 //1,6,7 //14 //1 //9 $4
2 //2,4 //1,6,7 //3,12 //4,5 //9 $16
2 //2,4 //1,6,7 //3,12 //1 //3,5 $16
1,5 //6 //6,7 //3,12 //1 //9 $16
1,5 //6 //1,6,7 //14 //1 //9 $4
1,5 //6 //1,6,7 //3,12 //4,5 //9 $16
1,5 //6 //1,6,7 //3,12 //1 //3,5 $16
1,5 //2,4 //6,7 //14 //1 //9 $16
1,5 //2,4 //6,7 //3,12 //4,5 //9 $64
1,5 //2,4 //6,7 //3,12 //1 //3,5 $64
1,5 //2,4 //1,6,7 //14 //4,5 //9 $16
1,5 //2,4 //1,6,7 //14 //1 //3,5 $16
1,5 //2,4 //1,6,7 //3,12 //4,5 //3,5 $64

596.00 play

Foolish play on my part to relegate the logical fav in the first leg to a "B" started this ticket well behind the 8 ball - a wide open 3rd leg brings the morning line 5th choice to victory, no doubt reducing a fair amount of the live ticktets to hold on for the consol, which was squashed by the 22-1 l/s in the last. Don't know what the final pool totals were, guessing 3-4 tickets had it right as the P6 pays 92k

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Playing against in-race and covering in multi...

Because you don't like that she's probably lone speed, exiting a better race, and probably the best horse in the race?

I fooled around with Malka but expect Carolyn's Cat to most likely lead these on a merry chase.

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

Because you don't like that she's probably lone speed, exiting a better race, and probably the best horse in the race?

I fooled around with Malka but expect Carolyn's Cat to most likely lead these on a merry chase.

thanks andy..nuff said

[blackthroatedwind]

She was 6:5. Hardly a clever pick.

[pointman]

Think the 14 is an overlay here, opened at 30-1, down to 13-1, has a legit shot.

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by pointman

Think the 14 is an overlay here, opened at 30-1, down to 13-1, has a legit shot.

I couldn't agree more. He is one of only two I used in the Pick-4 and was shocked when I saw how big the middle double was.

[Rudeboyelvis]

Late P3
3
1,4,5,6,8
1,3,5,9,10 25.00 bucks

Live to 5 of 8 runners in the last to get knocked out by a 47.00 horse. Unreal. 92K for 6 of 6

[Rudeboyelvis]

Hard to believe this chalkfest (save the 6th race - Nice call Steve !) carries to the 7 and 8

[pointman]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

I couldn't agree more. He is one of only two I used in the Pick-4 and was shocked when I saw how big the middle double was.

He didn't run a lick, watch the 2 in that race next out, Military Major, was closing like a monster and hit a wall of horses, would have won if clear.

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by pointman

He didn't run a lick, watch the 2 in that race next out, Military Major, was closing like a monster and hit a wall of horses, would have won if clear.

Norberto Arroyo is going to hurt someone out there. He followed up this special ride with another brilliant one in the 8th.