11/1: AQU (C/O); CD (2yo Card)

Kasept · #1 11-01-2008, 08:37 AM

AQUEDUCT

PRE-SCRATCHES

4th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Pletcher entry 3-1 2nd/10th
Best Value: #4 Tapit's Brew 12-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Herr Mozart 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Lime Rickey 4-1 WON

5th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Brutally tough..

Most Likely: #1e Levine entry 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 SCR
Next Best: #10 Brecciate 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 SCR

6th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Shareholder's Dues 6-1 7th
Next Best: #3 SCR
Best Value: #7 Bold Vindication 20-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 SCR

7th: 52nd Long Island H. (Gr. III), F&M-3+, 12f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1a (POE) Astrologie 5-2 3rd/6th
Best Value: #8 Marzelline 8-1 7th
Next Best: #7 J'ray 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Sunshine for Life 12-1 4th

8th: OC/N1X, 3+, 7f (DD, Super)

Fun betting race..

Best Value: #6 Be Bullish 12-1 WON
Most Likely: #4 Tizbig 5-2 6th
Next Best: #7 Golden Age 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Discreet Treasure 5-1 2nd

9th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #2 City On Line 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 I'm Entitled 3-1 9th
Exotics Use: #9 Tobruk 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Key Victory 15-1 4th; #10 Felinefelon 30-1 10th

<$300 P6 Play:

4: 1-2-4-5
5: 1-[8]-10
6: [3]-4
7: 1
8: 4-6
9: 2-9-11

4x3x2x1x2x3 = 144 x $2 = $288

<$75 P4 Play:

6: [3]-4-7
7: 1-8
8: 4-6-7-8
9: 2-9-11

3x2x4x3 = $72

CHURCHILL DOWNS

PRE-SCRATCHES

1st: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Bearpath 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Regal Eagle 10-1 11th
Next Best: #3 Presents for Berti 4-1 WON
Exotics Use: #4 Suyeta 12-1 6th

2nd: ALW/N1X, 2yo, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Phosphorescent 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Hong Kong Superstar 8-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Map of the World 5-2 3rd

3rd: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 GLACKEN QUEEN 8-5 WON
Best Value: #4 Seaside Home 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #12 More of the Best 4-1 9th
Exotics Use: #11 Rumble Creek 20-1 8th

4th: ALW/N1X, 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Chapolte 4-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Four Gifts 5-1 WON
Next Best: #3 Loveyou Everybody 7-2 2nd-DH

<$75 P4 Play:

1: 3-8-9
2: 1-2-4-5-7
3: 9
4: 1-3-4-5-7

3x5x1x5 = $75

5th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 The Gang of Four 3-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Platinum Van 10-1 11th
Next Best: #13 (AE) SCR
Exotics Use: #5 Jazzandthemagician 8-1 WON

6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Striking Dancer 5-2 WON
Next Best: #5 Guarda 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #14 (AE) SCR
Best Value: #10 Graphite Halo 20-1 4th

7th: ALW/N1X, 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Beethoven 7-2 WON
Best Value: #1 Cliffy's Future 6-1 5th
Next Best: #8 They're Late 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Troy G. 4-1 6th

8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Sally J 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Lady's Laughter 10-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Waccamaw 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Grey Harbor 15-1 9th

9th: 41st Pocahontas (Gr. III), 2yo-F, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Pretty Prolific 7-2 4th
Best Value: #3 SCR
Next Best: #4 Rachel Alexandra 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Sara Louise 6-1 WON

10th: 28th Iroquois (Gr. III), 2yo, 1m (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Brave Victory 9-5 5th
Next Best: #2 Capt. Candyman Can 2-1 WON
Best Value: #1 Casey's On Call 5-1 6th

11th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (Super, Hi-5)

Best Value: #3 Pointing Home 10-1 2nd
Most Likely: #9 Jack Spratt 5-2 WON
Next Best: #11 Il Terrazzo 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 SCR
Hi-5 Play: #5 Good Sermon 10-1 8th

<$50 P4 Play:

8: 1-4-6-7
9: 2
10: 2-3
11: 3-5-6-9-11

4x1x2x5 = $40

Good luck!
Steve

CSC · #2 11-01-2008, 12:14 PM

Steve, I notice you left Selective out of your picks. You don't think like her? She's by the leading freshman sire Tapit, the step up to the mile might be a good thing..?

Handicappy · #3 11-01-2008, 12:21 PM

1a,2/6/4/4,5/4,7/4,9

$32

Good Luck all

jms62 · #4 11-01-2008, 01:02 PM

I guess it's never too early for the Derby trail to start

Race 9 G3 Pocahontas

7-Pretty Things
6-Honchis'n Ponchis
2-Pretty Prolific

Win 7 (also 6 if price is right)

Deep Super 2,6,7/1,2,4,5,6,7 /1,2,4,5,6,7/1,2,4,5,6,7
Super 2x 7/1,2,4,5,6 /1,2,4,5,6/1,2,4,5,6

Race 10 Iroquois G3

2- Capt Candyman Can
3-Brave Victory
6-Monty's Best

Win 6
Deep Super 2,3,6/1,2,3,4,6,7/1,2,3,4,6,7/1,2,3,4,6,7
Super 2x 2/1,3,4,6,7/1,3,4,6,7/1,3,4,6,7

CSC · #5 11-01-2008, 01:10 PM

Aqu 7) 1-3
CD 9) 8
CD 10) 2-3-1

Goodluck.

Kasept · #6 11-02-2008, 09:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC

Steve, I notice you left Selective out of your picks. You don't think like her? She's by the leading freshman sire Tapit, the step up to the mile might be a good thing..?

Just catching up from yesterday as I was in Central NY all day... I wasn't crazy about the Asmussen versus several there, no... I thought Jim Baker's filly would run a lot better, and that Wiggins had a real runner if she could come back quick from the last. That Dr. Zic scratched, and having spoken to Romans Friday, got the indication he expected a good performance from Sara Louise. Just watching the races from yesterday now... Hope you had a good afternoon!

CSC · #7 11-02-2008, 09:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept

Just catching up from yesterday as I was in Central NY all day... I wasn't crazy about the Asmussen versus several there, no... I thought Jim Baker's filly would run a lot better, and that Wiggins had a real runner if she could come back quick from the last. That Dr. Zic scratched, and having spoken to Romans Friday, got the indication he expected a good performance from Sara Louise. Just watching the races from yesterday now... Hope you had a good afternoon!

I hear you Steve, watching replays this morning also and catching up. Selective finished a non threatening 3rd with a stranglehold ride from the Bogeyman, Sara Louise was very impressive, time was about 1/2 second faster than the boys race. Goodluck today!