7/2 ATR Selections

[Kasept]

Solid try at the BEL carryover P6 was thwarted Wednesday by Fiona Freud, the perennial also ran that got her 2nd career win in her 25th start in the 5th, where I tried to single Bruce Levine's Pea Stone. Upon further review, I'm not disappointed with the decision, as the 11-2 Roddy Valente runner, who normally seeks a just-off stalker's trip, had traffic trouble trying to rally after a slow start and only missed by a length and a half.

That was bad luck as the rest of the sequence went the right way for a $3,700+ 6/6 payday and $45 5/6 conso. A Pea Stone win over the 3-2 Fiona Freud boosts that sextet return to by perhaps three times, so I came away feeling OK about the attempt which dropped in cost to $144 after the early scratch of We Get It from the nightcap. Caught the late P4 for $127, so the expenses of the day were more than acceptable given the mutuel potential had everything broken perfectly. Hope you did well. A little Belmont and the final Churchill nightswimming are today's glances.


BELMONT PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Violette entry (Only one goes; Both good) 9-2
Best Value: #4 Consort 10-1
Next Best: #2b (POE) Discreetly Mine 5-2 (Only one goes)
Exotics Use: #7 Insightful 6-1


5th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Star Player 5-2
Best Value: #2 Blue Bullet 8-1
Next Best: #1 Thunder Minister 5-1
Super Add: #3 Iron Curtain 4-1


6th: NYB-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Ten Carrot Nikki 3-1
Best Value: #4 Smokin Pistol 8-1
Next Best: #9 Crimson's Gold 7-2


7th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 I'llthinkofsumthin 6-1
Best Value: #7 Trillium 20-1
Next Best: #1 What She Said 5-2
Exotics Use: #2e Jacobson entry 4-1

OFF THE TURF: 9-7-10

Trifecta Spot Play: 5-7 with 1-2-5-6-7 with 1-2-5-6-7 (2x4x3 = $24)


8th: NYB-Wandering Cloud, F&M-3+, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Northern Netti 2-1
Next Best: #1 Dance Gal Dance 5-2
Best Value: #4 Muffy 6-1


9th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #2 Better Than Swiss 5-2
Best Value: #1 Cherry Lady 9-2
Next Best: #7 By the Sky 4-1
Super Add: #8 Royal Valentine 5-1


@$75 P4 Play:

6: 4-7
7: 1-2-5-6-7
8: 1-6
9: 1-2-7-8

2x5x2x4 = $80



CHURCHILL DOWNS


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Atomic Force 9-2
Best Value: #8 Barishnikov 5-1
Next Best: #6 Insider 3-1
Super Add: #7 Cape Doctor 4-1


5th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 5.5f (

Most Likely: #9 Half Crafty 5-1
Best Value: #7 Dabeed 10-1
Next Best: #1 Bottle of Smoke 7-2
Super Add: #8 Dr. Fever 12-1


6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD, Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #11 (AE) Fancy Fiona 3-1
Next Best: #10 Sealed Bid 4-1
Best Value: #8 La Milanesa 5-1
Exotics Use: #7 Cruisin'nthebridle 3-1
High 5 Play: #2 Queen of Empire 5-1


7th: OC/N3X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3)

Most Likely: #4 Step Out Smartly 3-1
Best Value: #5 Honest to Betsy 5-1
Next Best: #6 Catera 2-1


<$75 P4 Play:

4: 6-8-9
5: 1-7-8-9
6: 7-8-10-AE/11
7: 4-5-6

3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


8th: CLM, 3yo, 7f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Fiftycentsondollar 4-1
Best Value: #8 Aztec King 8-1
Next Best: #3 Inquisition 7-2
Super Add: #6 Izzy Ali 5-1


9th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Special Clearance 4-1
Best Value: #6 Hitch Your Wagon 9-2
Next Best: #4 A. M. Due 5-1
Super Add: #8 Sister Lou Ann 3-1


10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m (DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Squander 15-1
Most Likely: #3 Itain'tover 7-2
Next Best: #4 Senor Fuego 6-1
Super Add: #5 Tintim Por Tintim 5-1


11th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 5.5f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #11 Fort Apache 7-2
Next Best: #2 Icetate 3-1
Best Value: #3 Iftheshoefits 12-1
Exotics Use: #6 Super Nekia 12-1
High 5 Play: #5 Niobrara 4-1


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 3-5-8
9: 2-3-4-6-8
10: 1-3-4-5-7
11: 2-11

3x5x5x2 = 150 x .50 = $75


Good luck!
Steve