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#1
08-10-2009, 06:05 AM
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8/10: Saratoga (Day 12/$58k C/O)
Weekend closed with a humdrum kind of Sunday at the Old Spa, but it was puncuated by impressive performances from Giralomo, Bribon, Elusive Heat, Game Face and the lovable Fabulous Strike. After a high energy crowd of 40,000 Saturday, yesterday was buzz-less and a bit deflated.
Big hits were not forthcoming, but did OK trading dollars for the most part with $65 early P4 ($48 play), a handful of chaky P3's, the Finney turf stake ($95) and Vandy ($50) triples. Prices in the 8th and 11th triggered a $58k+ carryover for Monday which closes out the first third of the meet. Rain overnight with more possible later, likely impacts grass course decisions. Hope you did OK Sunday and this weekend. SARATOGA RACE COURSE POST-SCRATCHES 1st: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD) If this impossible set stays on turf, don't be afraid to reach for the prices. Virtually all can win this.. Most Likely: #1e Donk entry 5-1 Best Value: #2 Higher Incentive 6-1 Next Best: #6 Soave 4-1 Exotics Use: #8 Speed Dating 7-2 2nd: MSW, 2yo-F 6f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #1 (POE) Proud Zoe 9-5 WON Next Best: #4 Afleet Maggi 3-1 3rd Best Value: #8 Quiet Temper 12-1 2nd 3rd: Albert the Great, 3+, 9f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #2 Barrier Reef 2-1 6th Best Value: #6 Le Grand Cru 6-1 4th Next Best: #1e Zito entry 9-5 (Cool Coal Man preferred) WON 4th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super) If remaining on lawn, this has potential to be immediate P6 play backbreaker. Favorite (#11) is poorly posted and comes in off a year's layoff, and virtually all are capable of winning on their best and with right trip.. Best Value: #3 Maccarib Pass 10-1 5th Most Likely: #11 Gravitational 5-2 4th Next Best: #1 (POE) William T 5-1 2nd Super Add: #2 (POE) Riptide 9-2 WON 5th: Waya (R), F&M-4+, 12f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #1 Jazz Jam 6-1 5th Most Likely: #5 Communique 2-1 4th Next Best: #4 LATE SCR Super Add: #7 Borrowing Base 5-1 3rd <$75 P4 Play: Check for changes with off the turf adjustments very possible.. 2: 1-4 3: 1-2-6 4: 1-2-3-11 5: 1-4-5 2x3x4x3 = $72 6th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super) Brutally tough turf sprint.. Best Value: #5 Dr Paula Moynihan 10-1 6th Most Likely: #3 Serela's Song 6-1 3rd Next Best: #11 Gentle Ride 6-1 WON Super Add: #8 Barbie Girl 7-2 4th 7th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD) Best Value: #8 Awe So Beautiful 5-1 3rd Most Likely: #10 Imandra 3-1 WON Next Best: #5 Concorde's Dance 7-2 7th Exotics Use: #2 Amelia the Cat 8-1 6th 8th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f (DD, Super) First class state bred main track route.. Terrific betting race Most Likely: #8 Rereadthefootnotes 5-2 3rd Best Value: #6 Mr. Bourbon Street 15-1 7th Next Best: #9 Multidude 4-1 WON Exotics Use: #7 Overextended 10-1 2nd 9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f (Super) Best Value: #5 Smart Tomcat 6-1 6th Most Likely: #1 Lofty Banner 15-1 WON Next Best: #2 Weekend Pass 8-1 4th Super Add: #7 Coaltown Legend 20-1 5th $200 P6 Play: 4: 1-3-11 5: 1 6: 3-5 7: 8-10 8: 6-7-8-9 9: 1-5 3x1x2x2x4x2 = 96 x $2 = $192 <$75 P4 Play: 6: 3-5-11 7: 2-8-10 8: 6-7-8-9 9: 1-5 3x3x4x2 = $72 $2 Pick 4 (11/13-10-9-1) Paid $1,059 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 08-10-2009 at 06:47 PM. 
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#2
08-10-2009, 10:01 AM
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Still on turf despite the hard overnight rain!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#7
08-10-2009, 05:38 PM
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There you go Steve!! Optimum result in the 'cap, great ticket that you put together there! Congrats!
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel
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#11
08-10-2009, 07:27 PM
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Way to go Steve!!!!!!!!!
__________________
"Let the whiners and lazy cry about how impossible "they've" made it to win at this game." - Steve Byk
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#13
08-11-2009, 02:31 AM
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WOW!!! What a day today. First and foremost, big thanks to Steve for his late P-4 selections. A great way to end the last 3 days of racing at the SPA.
I have had many special experiences at the Saratoga, but today may have been the topper. The day was filled with alot of laughs and many great stories as I was able to join Joe the Dude, Hickory, Ateam, Steve, Chuck's dad and Chuck on the patio at Carolina BBQ. In addition, the day also included meeting, the Mig, Michael Blowen from Old Friends and MAYLAN STUDART  .But things continued on and after a little late P-4 celebration at Siros, the Dude, Hickory and I headed over the the sales to join Chuck and his dad. Tonite's sales were a who's who of racing industry to include Sheik Mo  dressed down in jeans and a t-shirt.  The setting was very festive and the horses looked great. If you are able to visit the SPA, you need include an evening at the sales. It is truly an electric experience.Looking forward to the next SPA visit later this month. DB
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#15
08-11-2009, 07:09 AM
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Thanks all... Much like last Monday, a great way to end the first third of the meet after slowly leaking money for much of the week. Reiterates the 'stay the course' message. But I didn't think it was the best play of the day...
More than the P4, I thought the real score was the Proud Zoe keyed triple in the 2nd. I didn't understand the tote at all with Shug's firster being bet down ridiculously. Proud Zoe had faced the best 2yo filly in the country and other good ones in her starts, and should have been 3-5. Romans' firster was overlooked at 12-1, and Afleet Maggi, the other logical behind Zoe, was the beneficiary of the money on Protesting at 11-2. Those were the only three I laid out and used, and the $170 tri ($2) is an outrageous 85-1 bonus payday on the key of Zoe (3-2) over the pair... in a 7 horse field! I hope some had that... The short priced winner with monster prices underneath continues to be the story of the meet wagering-wise. Hope all did well as we all take a breather before gearing it back up tomorrow!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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