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#1
09-20-2009, 08:04 AM
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9/20: Belmont (C/O); Woodbine (Stakes)
Favorites and logical horses continue to generally rule at Elmont, as another P4 went right but was dominated by 'Most Likely' winners D' Wildcard (3-1), D' Funnybone (1-2 in the Futurity) and Awesome Maria (7-2 in the Matron). Still got back solid $268.50 thanks to timely arrival at the wire of Rajiv Maragh and Too Amenable in the nightcap at $16.40. The photo result made up for Kaleidoscope Sky's photo loss in the Friday quad opener that was the difference maker in not hitting that sequence.
Overall a nice day at the windows, though Jimmy Jerkens' Lemon Cream Pie disrupted the rolling P3's mid-card. Hope you did well Saturday. That $24 'LDK' upsetter also helped trip a $66k carryover for Sunday at Belmont, and the sequence, featured below, is very challenging... Also, I looked at the National Steeplechase Association's Gr. I Lonesome Glory which serves as Belmont's opener, and the excellent Woodbine stakes as well... BELMONT PARK POST-SCRATCHES 1st: Lonesome Glory Hurdle S. (NSA-Gr. I), 4+, 20f-Nat'l Fences (P3, DD) Best Value: #7 Isti Bee 12-1 5th Most Likely: #1a Sermon of Love 2-1 6th Next Best: #8 Dynaski 3-1 2nd Exotics Use: #2 Mixed Up 9-2 7th 5th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 9f (P6, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #2 Peterdidit 4-1 10th Best Value: #3 Pure Cognac 12-1 6th Next Best: #1 Military Star 7-5 7th Super Add: #7 Ranger James 9-2 2nd 6th: MSW, 2yo, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD) Very little to go on at a glance here with nice horseflesh and no major indices.. Best Value: #9 Gathering Cloud 10-1 2nd Most Likely: #1e Pletcher entry 3-1 8th Next Best: #6 Asphalt 4-1 WON Exotics Use: #4 Afleet Alan 12-1 11th 7th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #3 Ruff and Ready 9-2 7th Most Likely: #1 Adagio 7-5 WON Next Best: #8 Gaelic Storm 7-2 3rd Super Add: #7 Raynicks Fan 10-1 9th 8th: Chaldea, 3yo-F, 7f-T (P3, DD) Most Likely: #2 Legally Blanca 3-1 WON Next Best: #1 Strike the Bell 9-5 2nd Best Value: #6 Exe 20-1 6th 9th: John Hettinger-NYB, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (DD, Super) HRace honors the late John Hettinger, a rescuer of the Fasig-Tipton Co. 20 years ago; a particular stalwart of New York racing and breeding; and a tireless campaigner for horse rescue and welfare. He was a man of exceptional drive and character, and racing was greatly diminished by his passing.. Most Likely: #7 Nehantic Cat 6-5 6th Best Value: #3 Crazy Catlady 12-1 7th Next Best: #1 You Go West Girl 8-1 WON Super Add: #10 Love Cove 10-1 3rd 10th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (Super) Best Value: #4 Exhi 5-1 WON Most Likely: #6 Bwana Brave 9-2 7th Next Best: #2 Drosselmeyer 2-1 2nd Super Add: #8 Systematic Risk 12-1 4th $200 P6 Play: 5: 1-2-3-7 6: 1-6-9 7: 1-3 8: 1-2 9: 3-7 10: 4 4x3x2x2x2x1 = 96 x $2 = $192 <$50 P4 Play: 7: 1-3-7-8 8: 1-2-6 9: 1-3-5-7 10: 4 $1 P3 (2-1-4) Paid $205.50 4x3x4x1 = $48 $1 Pick 4 (1/10/11-2-1-4) Paid $505.00 WOODBINE PRE-SCRATCHES 4th: Canadian (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, Super) Most Likely: #5 Forever Together 9-5 2nd Best Value: #4 Dance to My Tune 8-1 5th Next Best: #6 Points of Grace 5-2 4th Super Add: #1 Much Obliged 6-1 3rd 8th: Northern Dancer (Gr. I), 3+, 12f-T (P4, P3, Super) Most Likely: #9 Marchfield 7-2 5th Next Best: #8 Just as Well 5-2 WON (2nd-Placed 1st) Best Value: #5 Marsh Side 6-1 4th (DQ'd from 1st) Super Add: #7 Cobotown Ron 20-1 7th 10th: Woodbine Mile (Gr. I), 3+, 1m-T (DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 Bribon 5-2: Met Mile star ideally suited for this.. 5th Next Best: #2 Sterwins 8-1: Too short? Exacta hits in 6/7 on T.O. lawn.. 3rd Best Value: #4 Field Commission 12-1: Board threat on stretchout; Adds Leparoux.. 6th Super Add: #6 Daylight Express 30-1: Bahamian owns style/speed/price for exotics.. 10th Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 09-20-2009 at 06:12 PM. 
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#2
09-20-2009, 12:15 PM
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BEL SCR'S/CHG'S:
http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/BEL-changes.asp Note that in the 6th AE-#12 Imaging (8-1) draws in...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#3
09-20-2009, 05:55 PM
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 Way to go SB
__________________
"Let the whiners and lazy cry about how impossible "they've" made it to win at this game." - Steve Byk
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#10
09-20-2009, 09:19 PM
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Thanks team... Glad some climbed aboard! Was a nice sequence and I felt good about the more narrow $48 play going in as Exhi obviously stood out to me. The $200 Late P3 was a particularly generous return on a $12 play too. P6 was just a bit out of reach today as the 5th was a complete jumble for me.
Was a fun weekend. Hope all did well...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#11
09-21-2009, 12:40 AM
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Quote:
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Linear Mode
