Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 09-15-2010, 09:59 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default 9/15: Belmont Park (1st-9th)

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Opera Heroine 9-5 5th
Next Best: #2 Fourth Chapter 7-2 WON ($18.80)
Exotics Use: #7 Mustang Fever 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Talented Princess 8-1 7th


2nd: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Hey Valentina 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Flying Train 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #5 Mine Search 6-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Cabernet Lady 5-1 7th


3rd: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Winning Touch 9-5 4th
Next Best: #1 Bonavento 3-1 WON ($16.20)
Best Value: #2 Footcandles 4-1 5th


4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Lady Whimsical 6-1 WON ($16.20)
Next Best: #7 Step Lively 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Maux Money 5-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Grace'n Style 9-2 3rd


5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Positive Prospect 5-2 WON ($2.60)
Best Value: #6 Taza 8-1 8th
Next Best: #8 SCR
Super Add: #11 Red Hot Baby 15-1 6th


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 6
3: 1-2-3-4-6
4: 5-7
5: 5-6-7-8/SCR-11

1x5x2x5 = $50


6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Pico Dinero 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #1 Central Red Raider 5-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Sweat Shop 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Speciale Giorno 20-1 8th


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Nacho Carona 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Fore Pals 5-1 DNF-Lost rider
Next Best: #7 Macho Joe 3-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Idol Image 8-1 7th


8th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Star Orchid 3-1 WON ($11.20)
Next Best: #2 Stanford Dolly 2-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Vaughndidit 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Pleasant Sister 8-1 7th


9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #2 Cat Be Nimble 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Seaside Run 7-2
Exotics Use: #6 To the Point 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 No Imagination 6-1


@$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-8
7: 1-3-4-5-7-8
8: 1-2-6
9: 2

3x6x3x1 = $54


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 09-15-2010 at 05:18 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 09-15-2010, 11:14 AM
GPK GPK is offline
5'8".. but all man!
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: 3 miles from Chateuax de la Blaha
Posts: 21,706
Default

Having a hard time getting a read on Seeing Clearly in the first. Nice effort last out against open 15 at the Shore on the dirt, but her last two turf tries have been pitiful, at best. She has produced some efforts in the past to clearly win this race. Could be worth a win bet at a nice price and maybe key underneath in some exactas.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 09-15-2010, 11:29 AM
hoovesupsideyourhead's Avatar
hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
"The Kentucky Killing Machine"
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: florida
Posts: 16,277
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by GPK View Post
Having a hard time getting a read on Seeing Clearly in the first. Nice effort last out against open 15 at the Shore on the dirt, but her last two turf tries have been pitiful, at best. She has produced some efforts in the past to clearly win this race. Could be worth a win bet at a nice price and maybe key underneath in some exactas.
not like there isnt alternate plays the 3 blue hill may like a good post and dry hard track chop chop on or close to the lead
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 09-15-2010, 11:30 AM
GPK GPK is offline
5'8".. but all man!
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: 3 miles from Chateuax de la Blaha
Posts: 21,706
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead View Post
everytime luzzi gets on this one hes in the money..

Except the last two efforts...
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 09-15-2010, 11:31 AM
hoovesupsideyourhead's Avatar
hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
"The Kentucky Killing Machine"
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: florida
Posts: 16,277
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by GPK View Post
Except the last two efforts...
thanks i corrected that..
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 09-15-2010, 11:32 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default

BEL SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 09-15-2010, 11:38 AM
GPK GPK is offline
5'8".. but all man!
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: 3 miles from Chateuax de la Blaha
Posts: 21,706
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead View Post
not like there isnt alternate plays the 3 blue hill may like a good post and dry hard track chop chop on or close to the lead

Yea, Opera Heroine looks tough, but thats the only horse in there I would accept at a short price. Fourth Chapter looks to take some money and she is just too win shy for me to use on top.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 09-15-2010, 01:05 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default

How Fourth Chapter goes off at 8-1 will be marked down as one of life's delicious mysteries! That was a situation where you wonder if you're crazy for liking a horse at a surprising price, and no else is betting it... $18.80!

Would have been nice to if Mustang Fever could have gotten up behind...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 09-15-2010, 01:08 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,935
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
How Fourth Chapter goes off at 8-1 will be marked down as one of life's delicious mysteries! That was a situation where you wonder if you're crazy for liking a horse at a surprising price, and no else is betting it... $18.80!

Would have been nice to if Mustang Fever could have gotten up behind...
These are the kind of situations that disprove the notion that I greatly affect prices. How many times did I need to point out what an overlay she was?
__________________
Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 09-15-2010, 01:09 PM
docicu3 docicu3 is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 2,778
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead View Post
not like there isnt alternate plays the 3 blue hill may like a good post and dry hard track chop chop on or close to the lead

Nice call here ...

Wish I had seen this earlier as usual you find things I didn't even know were missing. Hope the rest of the day goes well.
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 09-15-2010, 01:16 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind View Post
These are the kind of situations that disprove the notion that I greatly affect prices. How many times did I need to point out what an overlay she was?
Don't know what else you could have said.. or Tweeted. I guess like Kevin suggested, she's just a horse people don't expect will win.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 09-15-2010, 01:22 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,935
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
Don't know what else you could have said.. or Tweeted. I guess like Kevin suggested, she's just a horse people don't expect will win.
True, she is a horse that never seems to get bet.
__________________
Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 09-15-2010, 01:45 PM
NoLuvForPletch NoLuvForPletch is offline
Hollywood Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 971
Default

BTW,

Please PM me from now on! (Just kidding) Nice Job guys!
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 09-15-2010, 02:07 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default

And again with the overlay (7-1). This was never in doubt... Bonavento manhandled 'em.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 09-15-2010, 02:21 PM
Mike's Avatar
Mike Mike is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 2,308
Default

4th: exacta box Alpha Centauri/Step Lively

6th: Worried Man

7th: tri box: Warrant Offc. Cook/Idol Image/Macho Joe
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 09-15-2010, 02:36 PM
Mike's Avatar
Mike Mike is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 2,308
Default

Delaware 5th: Roundabout
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 09-15-2010, 05:09 PM
GPK GPK is offline
5'8".. but all man!
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: 3 miles from Chateuax de la Blaha
Posts: 21,706
Default

Nice call on Fourth Chapter. 8-1 was a great price. I figured her to take money in that field, but, like Andy said, she never seems to take money. Congrats to those of you that scored on her. Nice to see Rajiv rounding back into riding form after a tough Saratoga meet. Lezcano continues to struggle
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 04:56 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.