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#1
05-25-2011, 05:29 AM
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5/25: Belmont Park ($43k C/O)
It wasn't exactly a great day for big win mutuels, but it was a fun afternoon at Pimlico Saturday, and profitable depending on your betting style. Got up early with the hit on the early P4 ($427) which paid twice the parlay, and then had to tread through the chalk until the feature. As harped on for two weeks on ATR, Derby horses are the place to start in the Preakness, and Shackleford proved out with yet another gutty performance. It's hard not to be thrilled for Dale Romans and his wacky clan, hard-working, under-appreciated Jesus Castanon, the classy Lauffer/Cubbage connections and even Taylor Made who get a needed boost as the purveyors of Forestry.
Animal Kingdom was certainly honorable in defeat, and loomed a winner midstretch despite being left with too much to do. As mentioned over the fortnight, I thought Shackleford might have dug in even more gamely in the Derby had the challengers been in his field of vision. In the Preakness, the Forestry chestnut rebuffed Astrology's inside challenge at the top of the lane and immediately answered Animal Kingdom with a spurt forward when that rival came up to him in deep stretch. I expect his win should send the 'soft trip beneficiary' naysayers into the shadows. Shack's win tote was nice and the $114 exacta was generous, but Astrology buried my own tri/super prospects. The Stonestreet/Bolton ran a good race and got a clever 'save every inch' ride from Smitty. It was a satisfying end to a very fun day and I hope everyone did well! Focus turns to New York with the Met Mile and Belmont Weekend less than one and three weeks away, and a $43k P6 C/O available to start the raceweek.. BELMONT PARK POST-SCRATCHES 2nd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD) Best Value: #6 Karakorum Budman 15-1 3rd Next Best: #3 Wascally Rabbit 5-1 2nd Exotics Use: #5 Mystic Era 12-1 WON ($7.10) 3rd: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD) Just 6 but tricky and interesting after excluding Cautionary Tale.. Most Likely: #3 Does It Every Time 9-5 2nd Best Value: #2 Victoria Lynn 12-1 4th Next Best: #1 Alseera 2-1 WON ($8.90) Exotics Use: #4 Tempest Storm 7-2 3rd 4th: NY-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD) $43k P6 C/O Starts Here.. Most Likely: #3 Bustin Rocks 2-1 WON ($3.40) Next Best: #6 Rocky Fortune 7-2 2nd Exotics Use: #1 Cool Operator 8-1 3rd 5th: S/ALW, 3+, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #8 Pegasus Tommy D. 5-2 3rd Next Best: #4 Storm On the Moon 3-1 Eased Exotics Use: #3 Don't Fooli Houli 4-1 5th Super Add: #6 Targhee Pass 5-1 WON ($11.00) <$50 P4 Play: 2: 3-5-6 3: 1-2-3-4-6 4: 3 5: 3-4-8 3x5x1x3 = $45 6th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super) Don't resign yourself here to the two glaring players. Yes, #1 Bluember and #9 Philly Ace (half to Slambino!) have an edge, but #2 Dynamite Dude and #3 Storm Pursuit deserve long looks, and #4 Break the Glass from white hot Goldberg appear capable. Then note that Clement/Live Oak unveil #8 Za Approval, a half to the wonderful 20X winner (14 stakes) Revved Up and BC Mile winner Miesque's Approval.. Most Likely: #1 Bluember 5-2 4th Best Value: #2 Dynamite Dude 15-1 5th Next Best: #3 Storm Pursuit 5-1 6th Exotics Use: #9 Philly Ace 3-1 WON ($6.60) 7th: OC/N1X, 3+, 7f-T (P3, DD, Super) This is a treacherous spot if 9yo I've Got Speed doesn't run his typical race.. Most Likely: #1 I've Got Speed 3-1 WON ($4.50) Next Best: #3 New Yawker 7-2 2nd Exotics Use: #4 I Ain't No Saint 8-1 3rd Super Add: #5 Our Friend Harvey 8-1 6th 8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (DD, Super) Best Value: #6 Arnell 5-1 5th Next Best: #1 Devon Rock 5-2 6th Exotics Use: #2 (POE) Capital Market 2-1 2nd/4th Super Add: #7 Sky Blazer 4-1 3rd 9th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Super) Fun betting affair.. Best Value: #2 Australis Princess 5-1 7th Next Best: #8 Rage of Aquarius 5-2 5th Exotics Use: #7 It's Not for Love 6-1 4th Super Add: #1 Much Fanfare 4-1 WON ($9.60) <$150 P6 Play: 4: 3 5: 4-8 6: 1-2-3-9 7: 1 8: 1-2-6 9: 2-7-8 1x2x4x1x3x3 = 72 x $2 = $144 <$75 P4 Play: 6: 1-2-3-9 7: 1-3-4 8: 1-2-6 9: 1-2-7-8 4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 05-25-2011 at 05:24 PM. 
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#3
05-25-2011, 07:58 AM
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BELMONT CONDITIONS FOR WEDNESDAY: Weather: Sunny Track: Fast Turf: Good Notes: Inner Rail @18' / Widener Rail @ 27'
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#4
05-25-2011, 10:49 AM
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I really like Related today.
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@BDiDonatoTDN
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#6
05-25-2011, 11:45 AM
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Damn. . . you were right. Terrible decision.
__________________
@BDiDonatoTDN
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#7
05-25-2011, 11:51 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#8
05-25-2011, 02:08 PM
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I really hate Belmont sometimes. Only there would you see a horrendous 3-1 like Alseera gallop like that.
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#9
05-25-2011, 02:23 PM
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I didn't bet the race, but how was she a horrible 3-1 shot? She was the third choice in a field of six and the only runner w/ any room for improvement. . . If it's a field size complaint, though, I can see that.
__________________
@BDiDonatoTDN
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#10
05-25-2011, 03:02 PM
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#11
05-25-2011, 03:04 PM
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#14
05-25-2011, 03:14 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#15
05-25-2011, 03:15 PM
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#16
05-25-2011, 03:23 PM
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That being said, she actually went off a bigger price than I thought she would. I didn't bet the race but she had a perfect trip against a field that was far softer than the average N1X of any type this time of year.
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#17
05-25-2011, 03:23 PM
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#18
05-25-2011, 03:32 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#19
05-25-2011, 03:35 PM
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Linear Mode
