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#1
07-23-2011, 05:41 AM
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7/23: Saratoga (Day 2; CCA Oaks)
SARATOGA
POST-SCRATCHES 1st: ALW/N1X, F&M/3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #1 Rockettes Escapade 7-2: Out-photoed by Hungry Island last.. DNF Best Value: #6 Up in Lights 15-1: 2nd/break for Wilkes; Close-up twice here '10.. 7th Next Best: #8 Font 5-1: Beat little in nice debut but had time and Tagg OK stretching.. 5th Super Add: #3 Great Gracie Dane 8-1 3rd 2nd: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #6 Whinston 8-5 2nd Next Best: #7 How Do I Win 5-2 3rd Exotics Use: #2 Zellers 12-1 5th Super Add: #4 Mr. Continental 6-1 6th 3rd: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD) Against Saddleranch here who will be overbet. Of the Cal invaders getting dirt, Wall Dance feels more interesting as a full to Violette's zippy Summer Doldrums. Meanwhile, turnback Glickman -- who Andy Serling also lauded Friday on ATR -- wins this race with effort comparable to the one two back when bested by the nice Arch Traveler... Best Value: #3 Glickman 5-1 4th Next Best: #4 Global Power 7-2 2nd Exotics Use: #2 Wall Dance 4-1 5th 4th:CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Quirky-looking bunch of in-and-outers.. Most Likely: #2 Houston Harbor 3-1 9th Best Value: #8 Good to Be Me 15-1 8th Exotics Use: #6 Wishingonastar 6-1 WON ($24.60) Super Add: #7 Jungle Rain 5-1 3rd 5th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #3 Ordained 10-1: Speed held well all strips Opening Day; Why not? 3rd Next Best: #4 Dynafortwo 6-1: Another that may love firmer going after boggy bow.. WON ($11.80) Exotics Use: #9 SCR Super Add: #8 Self Control 7-2: Solid debut downstate though foes from that just OK.. 4th <$75 P4 Play: 2: 6-7 3: 1-3-4 4: 1-2-4-5-6-7-8-13 5: 3-4-9/SCR 2x3x8x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super) $68k P6 C/O starts here.. Most Likely: #1e Darley entry 7-2: Potent pair.. WON/6th ($8.50) Best Value: #9 Clear Attempt 5-1: Enjoyed 10f.. 3rd Exotics Use: #7 Code of Conduct 6-1: Gaudy synth/turf stats.. 4th Super Add: #2 Pretty Boy Freud 20-1: Nice effort this lawn.. DNF $1 Pick 3 (6-4-1) Paid $275.00 7th: MSW, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD) Most Likely: #8 Backdown 4-1 2nd Best Value: #10 Eastside Train 5-1 5th Exotics Use: #2 R King of the Road 6-1 WON ($11.40) Super Add: #7 Perfect Slam 8-1 4th $1 Pick 3 (4-1-2) Paid $160.50 8th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super) Mediocre set of state-bred gals. No one looks overly-appealing.. Most Likely: #6 Dancing Tiz 3-1 6th Best Value: #2 Notell 6-1 2nd Exotics Use: #9 Strikealinethruit 7-2 3rd Super Add: #4 Crypto Kitten 12-1 12th 9th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super) Yikes.. Very deep and compelling group with plenty of pace signed on.. Best Value: #5 Gathering Cloud 5-1 2nd Next Best: #1 Farish entry 7-2 4th/7th Exotics Use: #8 Colonialism 9-2 3rd Super Add: #4 Jimmy Simms 8-1 WON ($7.50) 10th: 95th Coaching Club American Oaks (G!), 3yo-F, 9f (DD) As discussed on ATR, as good and intriguing a set of 5 as you could want for the historic race.. Most Likely: #4 Royal Delta 2-1: TAM flop long forgotten; G2 Susan winner still has upside.. 3rd Next Best: #5 It's Tricky 3-1: GP fiasco dismissed after Acorn; Can survey inside speed and go on.. WON ($$10.60) Exotics Use: #2 Plum Pretty 3-1: Missed Goose but figures dangerous with return to dirt.. 2nd $1 Exacta (5-2) Paid $17.70 $1 Trifecta (5-2-4) Paid: $36.50 11th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f (Super) Best Value: #2 Surf King 10-1 10th Next Best: #5 Binks Forest 3-1 WON ($9.10) Exotics Use: #11 Fast Grievance 5-1 9th Super Add: #12 Conway 8-1 8th $1 Pick 3 (4-5-5) Paid $107.25 <$200 P5 P6 Play: This is a VERY difficult P6 sequence. Limited bankroll are likely best applied elsewhere.. 6: 1-9 7: 2-8-10 8: 2-6 9: 1-4-5-8 10: 4 11: 2-5 2x3x2x4x1x2 = 96 x $2 = $192 <$75 P4 Play: 8: 2-6-9 9: 1-4-5-8 10: 1-2-4-5 11: 2-5-11 3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 07-24-2011 at 06:16 AM. 
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#2
07-23-2011, 11:26 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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