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#1
09-02-2011, 07:04 AM
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9/2: Saratoga (Day 36; Riskaverse)
Fun and successful Thursday thanks to Jimmy Baker's $30.40 Bergerac in the 7th, but another 5 of 6 conso in Guaranteed P6 was a little maddening. For perhaps the 3rd or 4th time recently, I was stung by downgrading the chances of an out-posted horse on the grass. Although I wouldn't have used him in the P6 anyway, #11 Get a Grip, (off as the 2nd choice), was a horse worthy of a lot more respect despite the extreme starting slot. Edgar Prado, getting improved mounts and riding better as the meet has gone on, worked out a good trip on the Team Valor trainee and won in exciting fashion.
An hour earlier, Prado provided ATR listeners and myself with a big present as Bergerac attended the pace and held onrushing foes safe late at a fat 14-1. Trainer Jim Baker has spent a delightful half hour on the show Thursday, and the Rahy 4yo's prospects couldn't have been stressed to players any more enthusiastically. Bergerac helped clear some P6 players out, and having another 4 winners on the $144 play got back $316. Getting all was worth $14k. Bergerac also was the key to $200 in P3's between the 6th-9th. The first half of the card produced a couple of huge prices, as $54 Arch Support and $44 Monteagle helped trip a $5,400 (.50) P4 payoff. All in all, it was a good day, and I hope everyone did well. Twilight racing starts at 2:30p Friday as we begin the 4 day season-ending Labor Day weekend! SARATOGA POST-SCRATCHES 1st: OC/N3L, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #3 Temecula Creek 4-1 3rd Next Best: #7 Sunrise Smarty 8-5 WON ($3.70) Exotics Use: #5 Starforaday 7-2 2nd Super Add: #6 Saint Daimon 12-1 5th 2nd: Gold N Roses-NY, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD) Difficult group to separate. Although 'fastest' on figs, Bay Park Boy excelled in sloppy conditions being bred ideally (Johannesburg) and built suitably being petite and possessing 'deer feet'. The rest, including maiden Jaw Crusher, are all equal more or less based on their previous start.. Best Value: #2 Dehere of the Cat 6-1 5th Next Best: #4 Jaw Crusher 7-2 4th Exotics Use: #6 The Prize Fighter 4-1 3rd Super Add: #1 Zow 2-1 WON ($4.10) 3rd: Sightseek, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD) Wait a minute... Wasn't this named the Distorted Humor on Sunday? Despite having a cast of sprinters, only Higher Court looks to need the lead. Chipshot can press from underneath him if Castellano chooses, and Desormeaux gets a blinkered Free Entry from outside Higher Court, so maybe the pace gets pressed? Good cat and mouse type of race that may play right into the hands of favored Wine Police.. Most Likely: #1 Wine Police 6-5 WON ($3.60) Next Best: #2 Chipshot 5-2 5th Exotics Use: #3 Philippe 8-1 4th 4th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super) If you're playing tris/supers, include #11 Desert Bliss (12-1) who has a license to be OK in this setting.. Most Likely: #9 Landlubber 7-2 DNF Exotics Use: #8 Ladywell Court 4-1 5th Best Value: #10 Proud and Charming 12-1 2nd Super Add: #2 Stock Fund 9-2 3rd .10 SUPER PLAY: 8-9 with 8-9-10 with 2-8-9-10-11 with ALL (2x2x3x8 = 96 x .10 = $9.60) 5th: MSW, 2yo, 9f (P6, P3, DD) Best Value: #5 Politicallycorrect 6-1 3rd Next Best: #7 A Single Man 5-1 4th Exotics Use: #3 Raconteur 5-2 2nd <$50 P4 Play: 2: 1-2-4-6 3: 1-2 4: 8-9-10 5: 3-5-7 4x2x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #2 River Fancy 6-1 WON ($14.20) Next Best: #4 Ms Stilleto 3-1 2nd Exotics Use: #5 Higher Incentive 8-1 8th Super Add: #6 Australis Princess 5-2 5th .10 SUPER PLAY: Key 2 in top 2 slots with 3-4-5-6-9 (1x5x4x3 + 5x1x4x3 = 60 + 60 = 120 x .10 = $12.00) $.10 Superfecta (2-4-9-3) Paid $84.45 7th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #7 Barrel of Love 12-1 3rd Next Best: #1 All Class 5-1 7th Exotics Use: #2 Joey's Chance 15-1 6th Super Add: #6 Isn'tlovejustgrand 12-1 WON ($13.40) 8th: 3rd Riskaverse, 3yo-F, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super) Very nice group that appears to have several developing missies.. Best Value: #7 Elusive Pearl 10-1 WON ($19.80) Next Best: #3 Starformer 7-2 4th Exotics Use: #4 Divalarious 3-1 3rd Super Add: #9 Indian Pond 6-1 8th 9th: MSW, F&M-3+, 9f-T (DD, Super) Deep and slightly mysterious set.. Best Value: #7 Namaskara 5-1 5th Next Best: #5 An Absolute Ten 6-1 4th Exotics Use: #11 Now Smile 8-1 6th Super Add: #6 Wet One 8-1 3rd 10th: CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (Super) Most Likely: #6 Golden Causeway 6-1 4th Next Best: #11 Midnite Silver 5-2 3rd Exotics Use: #4 Red Leader 8-1 2nd Best Value: #10 Short Shrift 3-1 WON ($9.60) Super Add: #7 Pavoratti's Soul 30-1 9th <$75 P4 Play: 7: 1-2-7 8: 3-4-7 9: 5-6-7-11 10: 4-6-10-11 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 09-02-2011 at 07:42 PM. 
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#3
09-02-2011, 07:40 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#4
09-02-2011, 08:39 AM
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what race excites you the most today ?
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#5
09-02-2011, 11:59 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#6
09-02-2011, 12:21 PM
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Like yesterday with the 7th & Bergerac, today's 7th feels like the great 'prices will be right' opportunity race. G/L!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#7
09-02-2011, 12:32 PM
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I absolutely love Divalarious today in the Riskaverse today, and as of now, plan on singling her in the late pk 4.
Other than giving up some experience to a few others, does anyone have any reasons to temper my enthusiasm about this filly?
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#8
09-02-2011, 01:06 PM
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Steve, the 3rd race is still the distorted humor, right? I think the sightseek is for fillies and is being run Sunday.
__________________
Alcohol, the cause and solution to all of life's problems. -Homer Simpson
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#9
09-02-2011, 01:22 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#10
09-02-2011, 01:33 PM
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Quote:
__________________
Alcohol, the cause and solution to all of life's problems. -Homer Simpson
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#16
09-02-2011, 11:00 PM
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Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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