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#1
11-10-2011, 08:52 AM
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11/10: Aqueduct ($72k C/O); Churchill (8th-9th); Hollywood (5th)
Took a thorough thrashing at Aqueduct Wednesday when a parade of $20 winners scuttled P6 attempts and almost anything else attempted. In the wake of the prices is a $72k two day C/O for Thursday. In addition to the P6 sequence, Aqueduct played host to Mucho Macho Man's return to the races in a 1m ALW. Kathy Ritvo's charge could not have been more impressive in the sharp wire-to-wire effort which left a solid field panting and earned a 95 Beyer. Thursday welcome Hollywood Park back to the oval roster, and a good late P4 is offered while Churchill has an excellent MSW/ALW DD in the 8th-9th..
AQUEDUCT POST-SCRATCHES 4th: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super) Favored System Ready (10th) can win without me. Must improve to contend, let alone win.. Most Likely: #8 Chick in Slacks 5-1 6th-DH Best Value: #10 Queen of Protocol 8-1 5th Next Best: #2 Ready to Party 6-1 6th-DH Exotics Use: #3 Far Isle 10-1 9th 5th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (G/S, P3, DD) Favored Term Loan has SCR'd.. Best Value: #6 Little Wyatt 10-1 WON ($8.80) Next Best: #8 Deal Casino 5-1 3rd Exotics Use: #3 Quick Wit 8-1 5th Super Add: #4 Personal Assistant 5-2 4th 6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super) 7-5 fave Grimmer has SCR'd.. Most Likely: #3 Getinitalltogether 5-2 4th Best Value: #7 Believe in You 10-1 2nd Next Best: #1 Lime Zest 5-1 WON ($10.40) Super Add: #2 Vamel 15-1 3rd 7th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #4 Glory in Motion 6-1 WON ($17.00) Next Best: #5 Love Stanza Chance 3-1 8th Exotics Use: #2 Lady's Lunar Luck 8-1 5th Super Add: #9 Downtown Hottie 5-1 3rd 8th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (DD, Super) Beatable fave Sneaky Girl has SCR'd.. Most Likely: #2 Super Slash 3-1 4th Best Value: #5 Amylimehouse 6-1 WON ($10.40) Exotics Use: #3 No More Stress 5-1 2nd Super Add: #8 Iberian Gate 10-1 5th 9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super) Most Likely: #5 Star of Escondida 3-1 WON ($7.60) Next Best: #8 Dodging 7-5 3rd Best Value: #3 Griffin Rock 30-1 8th Exotics Use: #12 Mighty Lover 6-1 6th Super Add: #4 Raffie's Choice 10-1 4th <$200 P6 Play: 4: 8-10 5: 6-8 6: 3-7 7: 2-4-5 8: 2-5 9: 5-8 2x2x2x3x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192 <$75 P4 Play: 6: 1-3-7 7: 2-4-5-9 8: 2-3-5 9: 3-5-8-12 3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 $0.50 Pick 4 (1/4/5/5) Paid $421.00 CHURCHILL DOWNS PRE-SCRATCHES 8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #2 Indian Miss 7-2 5th Next Best: #8 Sacristy 7-2 WON ($6.20) Exotics Use: #1 Lobshot 3-1 6th Super Add: #6 Open Water 15-1 3rd 9th: ALW/N2X, 3+, 9f-T (DD, Super) Newsdad may be a better horse now, but 8-5 isn't remotely fair. 20-1 Tonto Fontenot, bred by the Univ. of KY, is better than he looks on page and has real shot here from cozy post at bonanza number. Tremendous betting race.. Best Value: #5 Tonto Fontenot 20-1 8th Next Best: #1 Tahoe Lake 4-1 3rd Exotics Use: #10 Versailes Road 4-1 2nd Super Add: #9 Friends Place 10-1 9th HOLLYWOOD PARK -- SPOT PLAY PRE-SCRATCHES 5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #9 Tucky 30-1: Have no clue if there is truly any upside in this 5yo Chicago transplant, but his AP poly races are not far off the players in this group and his Cali debut at 74-1 was better than it looks on paper. Might not be a bona fide win candidate, but certainly can be used to boost your exotic tix.. 12th Most Likely: #6 Renegade Storm 7-2 5th Exotics Use: #4 Antidote 8-1 4th Next Best: #11 Bailouttheminister 6-1 3rd Super Add: #7 Killer Bear 20-1 7th Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 11-11-2011 at 05:52 AM. 
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#2
11-10-2011, 11:07 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#3
11-10-2011, 11:09 AM
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107k C/O @ Golden Gate as well for any Baze/Hollendorfer lovers/haters out there.
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"Let the whiners and lazy cry about how impossible "they've" made it to win at this game." - Steve Byk
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#4
11-10-2011, 11:34 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#5
11-10-2011, 11:58 AM
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#11 Admired in CD R8 worked very fast at OBS. There are a few things not to like about her, but I still think she's a very solid play.
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@BDiDonatoTDN
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#6
11-10-2011, 04:10 PM
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@BDiDonatoTDN
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#8
11-10-2011, 04:17 PM
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I think I probably would've done better if she was third, but it's better than nothing.
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@BDiDonatoTDN
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#10
11-10-2011, 04:32 PM
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Nice work, Steve!
 I know I told you this morning that I was going to punch your pk6 because I didn't have time to handicap, but I got stuck in court and couldn't. Was able to punch the late pk4, though! Thanks and keep up the great work!!
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#12
11-10-2011, 06:08 PM
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I guess I am lucky I didnt see your changes and rolled you P6 numbers in P3s and the P4. Hit races 5-9 on your original picks.small tickets and big payoffs. Thanks again.
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#14
11-10-2011, 07:25 PM
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I, of course, remembered a 1/4 mile into the race.
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Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
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#15
11-10-2011, 07:33 PM
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#16
11-10-2011, 08:31 PM
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Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
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#17
11-10-2011, 08:54 PM
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Quote:
Last edited by ateamstupid : 11-10-2011 at 09:14 PM.
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#18
11-11-2011, 05:58 AM
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Thanks. Was a fun afternoon. Dave is right that the first pass had the single of Glory in Motion which made it possible to include Lime Zest for a 5/6 conso. The SCR's actually hurt the play. Still a productive day. Hope everyone did well. $188k at AQU and $335k+ at Golden Gate!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#19
11-11-2011, 06:08 AM
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An 85 Beyer for Sacristy. (Seperately, still no fig for Hierro from Wednesday...)
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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