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#1
11-26-2011, 07:03 AM
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11/26: Aqueduct ($30k C/O); Churchill Downs (3rd-4th; 8th-12th)
AQUEDUCT
POST-SCRATCHES 5th: MSW, 2yo, 1m (P6, P3, DD, Super) Great start to fun carryover sequence with half brother to To Honor and Serve (Common Bond) and Borrego (Soul of Borrego) among these juvies.. Most Likely: #3 Common Bond 4-1 5th Best Value: #4 Thessalonian 15-1 4th Next Best: #7 Ventura Bar 7-2 3rd Exotics Use: #8 Junebugred 12-1 WON ($19.40) 6th: 90th Demoiselle (G2), 2yo-F, 9f (G/S, P3, DD) Tough to get creative here with top three choices looking simply better than the price options.. Most Likely: #9 Indyniable 4-1 10th Next Best: #1e Live Oak entry 7-2 4th/6th Exotics Use: #8 Disposablepleasure 2-1 WON ($4.40) Super Add: #4 Wildcat's Smile 8-1 2nd 7th: 98th Remsen (G2), 2yo, 9f (P4, P3, DD, Super) This set of juvy lads is a bit more intriguing than the filly counterpart with son of Catinca (Managed Account) well-priced coming in. Stephanoatsee is out of the magical mare Oatsee who counts Shackleford, Baghdaria and Lady Joanne among her foals and Souper Speedy is yet another stake candidate on the day for Mrs. Weber's Live Oak Plantation as a homebred half to Brilliant Speed.. Best Value: #7 Managed Account 5-1 6th Next Best: #6 Stephanoatsee 4-1 7th Exotics Use: #2 Souper Speedy 3-1 2nd Super Add: #1 El Padrino 7-2 3rd 8th: 23rd Cigar Mile (G1), 3+, 1m (P3, DD, Super) Should one of the entrymates win the Demoiselle and Souper Speedy the Remsen, Mrs. Weber could find herself in an unprecedented position with a To Honor and Serve victory here. Would be shocked if any owner has ever won three straight graded stakes events in a row in New York.. Most Likely: #5 To Honor and Serve 7-5 WON ($4.10) Best Value: #1e Pletcher-Repole entry 5-2 3rd/5th Next Best: #4 Hymm Book 8-1 2nd 9th: 116th Gazelle (G1), 3yo-F, 9f (DD, Super) As nice as it would be for Awesome Feather to hold it together for a final race and retire undefeated, she is a complete play-against at a short price. Team Todd looks pretty imposing here with three very capable soph gals attacking this historic event. Note there is plenty of pace pressure involved here and that could open the door for closing New York bred Miss Valentine at a healthy number. Excellent assembly.. Most Likely: #2 R Gypsy Gold 7-2 6th Best Value: #1 Miss Valentine 12-1 5th Next Best: #6 Savvy Supreme 4-1 8th Exotics Use: #8 Love and Pride 8-1 3rd Super Add: #5 Draw It 6-1 2nd 10th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (Super) Most Likely: #6 Fortissi More 4-1 WON ($11.00) Best Value: #1 Stephen's Revenge 10-1 6th Next Best: #7 Living Right 5-1 2nd Exotics Use: #10 Barrel of Love 12-1 7th <$200 P5 P6 Play: 5: 3-4-7-8 6: 1-8-9 7: 1-2-6-7 8: 5 9: 1-2 10: 6 4x3x4x1x2x1 = 96 x $2 = $192 <$75 P4 Play: 7: 1-2-6-7 8: 1-5 9: 1-2-5-6-8 10: 1-6-7 4x2x5x3 = 120 x .50 = $60 CHURCHILL DOWNS POST-SCRATCHES 3rd: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #12 STEVIE JONES 8-1 7th Next Best: #1 Untethered 5-1 10th Exotics Use: #5 Santonio d'Oro 5-1 5th Super Add: #8 Picky Picky 12-1 4th 4th: OC/N1X, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #6 Givhans Ferry 8-1 3rd Next Best: #8 Best of Times 9-2 6th Exotics Use: #4 California Gal 12-1 8th Super Add: #2 Soft Whisper 3-1 2nd 8th: OC/N1X, 2yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 Sherp 3-1 5th Best Value: #12 Brown Eyed Jozi 10-1 WON ($18.20) Next Best: #1 Voodoo Daddy 2-1 8th Exotics Use: #4 Forever Faithful 8-1 2nd 9th: Golden Rod (G2), 2yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Tremendously well-matched group. I'm using 6 in multis.. Best Value: #3 Spirited Miss 6-1 10th Next Best: #6 On Fire Baby 3-1 ($7.40) Exotics Use: #10 Glinda the Good 5-1 6th Super Add: #11 Karlovy Vary 8-1 7th 10th: ALW/N1X, 2yo, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Daddy Nose Best 5-2 WON ($3.60) Next Best: #10 Leatherwood 7-2 6th Exotics Use: #4 Pacific Nights 10-1 3rd Super Add: #7 Magical Season 8-1 7th 11th: KY Jockey Club (G2), 2yo, 8.5f (DD, Super) Ever So Lucky ran a monstrously big debut and young horses frequently regress off that kind of performance. Worthy fave but not without question marks stretching out on 15 days turnaround.. Most Likely: #1 Ever So Lucky 5-2 2nd Next Best: #9 Gemologist 3-1 WON ($8.60) Best Value: #8 Atigun 10-1 5th Super Add: #3 Timely Tally 10-1 3rd 12th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (Super, Super Hi-5) Most Likely: #8 Ender Knievel 5-1 5th Next Best: #5 In Jeopardy 5-1 4th Exotics Use: #4 Big John B 3-1 8th Super Add: #6 Bridge Loan 4-1 6th <$200 P5 Play: 8: 1-5-12 9: 3-6-8-9-10-11 10: 3-4-7-10 11: 1-9 12: 8 3x6x4x2x1 = 144 x .50 = $72 <$75 P4 Play: 9: 3-6-8-9-10-11 10: 3-4-7-10 11: 1-8-9 12: 5-8 6x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 11-26-2011 at 06:49 PM. 
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#2
11-26-2011, 10:25 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#3
11-26-2011, 11:47 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 11-26-2011 at 01:05 PM.
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#4
11-26-2011, 01:53 PM
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Over $110k in AQU P6..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#5
11-26-2011, 01:55 PM
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Bombs flying at Churchill.. $53, $16, $42 & 45,300+ P3 to start the Star of Tomorrow card!
Got home just in time to get beat up in the 3rd. Nice ceremony for Bob Holthus after the race...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#8
11-26-2011, 02:42 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#9
11-26-2011, 02:43 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#11
11-26-2011, 03:02 PM
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Quote:
Even if the track may have carried him some, Souper Speedy ran a courageous race.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#13
11-26-2011, 03:32 PM
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Boy.. How different could this 3yo season have been had all the major players been healthy throughout? To Honor and Serve, Uncle Mo, Animal Kingdom, etc..
Powerful win by To Honor and Serve. Interesting to think about what the ideal distances/configuration will be for him moving forward...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#14
11-26-2011, 03:58 PM
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That's an astounding job by Chad Brown to have Awesome Feather ready to do what she just did. Unbelievable.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#16
11-26-2011, 04:02 PM
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Is it pretty much a done deal that they are going to retire her after this race?
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#17
11-26-2011, 04:21 PM
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Quote:
Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#18
11-26-2011, 04:51 PM
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On Fire Baby again everything Red Dog believes she is.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#19
11-26-2011, 06:03 PM
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Good luck in your P4 and P5 at Churchill,Steve.
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#20
11-26-2011, 06:16 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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