Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 01-01-2013, 09:12 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,310
Default 1/1: Gulfstream Park (2nd-10th): Santa Anita ($77k C/O)

GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


2nd: MSW, 3yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

First notable 3yo MSW of the new year features Pletcher/Let's Go Stable El Padrino half Verrazano and sharp working Coin Broker from Romans/Gainesway..

Most Likely: #9 Verrazano 5-1 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #7 Coin Broker 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Retrieve 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Honduran 15-1 7th


3rd: Spectacular Bid, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Little Distorted 8-5 3rd
Next Best: #1 Merit Man 6-5 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Brave Dave 3-1 5th


4th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Live Lively 4-1 WON ($8.00)
Best Value: #5 Pow Wow Wow 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Oblahlah 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Coffee Clique 3-1 6th


5th: Old Hat (G3), 3yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Kauai Katie 3-5 WON ($2.20)
Next Best: #2 Power Lady 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Cor Cor 3-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 6-7-9
3: 1-4-5
4: 1-2-4-5-6
5: 1

3x3x5x1 = $45 ($22.50 for .50)

$1 Pick 4 (9/1/4/1) Paid $64.70 ($32.35 for .50)


6th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-T/24' (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 New Line 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #12 Liberal Spin 12-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Big Sam 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Batten the Hatches 4-1 3rd


7th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Bradester 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #4 Wild Billum 12-1 5th
Next Best: #1e Silverton Hill entry 10-1 6th/7th
Exotics Use: #6 Third Choice 8-1 9th


8th: Ginger Brew, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T/96' (P3, DD)

Incredibly well matched girls. An utter scramble. Don't settle for short numbers exclusively. Mike Welsch said Sunday on 'Loose on the Lead' that I O Ireland, who beat G1 Starlet winner Pure Fun at KEE, has worked sharp leading up to this spot. Feels like 12 of the 14 can win..

Best Value: #7 I O Ireland 15-1 10th
Next Best: #3 Corporate Culture 10-1 9th
Exotics Use: #6 Tuttipaesi 12-1 WON ($18.00)
Super Add: #12 I'm Already Sexy 10-1 6th


9th: Gulfstream Park Derby, 3yo, 1m (DD)

Purple Egg SCRATCHED will need to stretch out an additional quarter mile, but only looked to be really running in last 16th of TAM stake score. Wondered about main track viability of ONT-bred Star Contender (Oxley/Casse) and wasn't particularly encouraged noting that second dam Hangin On a Star produced turf stakes types including Comet Shine (Broodmare sire of Dee Tee's Ausable Chasm)..

Most Likely: #5 Itsmyluckyday 4-1 WON ($8.20)
Next Best: #1 Undrafted 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Star Contender 3-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Sr. Quisqueyano 5-2 2nd


10th: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m-T/24' (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Atlantic Dream 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Wine Burglar 10-1 6th
Next Best: #8 E B Ryder 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Manuka Honey 4-1 4th
Super/Hi-5: #1 Lemonsrgoodongrass 12-1 3rd


<$50 P5 Play:

6: 1-7-12
7: 3-4
8: 1-3-6-7-12-14
9: 1-4-5-7
10: 7

3x2x6x4x1 = 144 x .50 = $72


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-4
8: 1-3-6-7-12-14
9: 1-4-5-7
10: 3-7-8

2x6x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72



SANTA ANITA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Van Brit 9-5 (A) 3rd
Next Best: #4 Elegant 3-1 (A) 6th
Best Value: #3 Bonita Star 9-2 (C) 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Cosset 5-1 (C) WON ($18.80)


5th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Lit de Bet 9-2 (A) 5th
Best Value: #6 Here Comes Bonnie 5-1 (B) 10th
Next Best: #9 Rossi Reserve 2-1 (B) WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Memo to Kathy 8-1 (C) 2nd


6th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Very tough N2L set with too many similar non-descript types to suit my taste. Have not a single clever idea to offer..

Most Likely: #1 Lite That Baby Up 4-1 (A) 5th
Next Best: #6 Winds of Dubai 3-1 (A) 6th
Exotics Use: #11 Pride of Silver 7-2 (B) 3rd
Super Add: #5 Ride Along 4-1 (B) WON ($14.20)


7th: Cal-MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Dangerous Cal-bred MDN race with FTS runners from big barns appearing just so-so in morning evaluations. Siding mostly with those that have been out already..

#13 (AE) Cayton 6-1 does not get in making this a bit of a quagmire..

Best Value: #9 Rockin Cowgirl 8-1 (A) 6th
Next Best: #2 Sophie's Secret 3-1 (B) 9th
Exotics Use: #3 Mark of a Gem 5-1 (B) 4th
Super Add: #10 Good Party 4-1 (C) WON ($18.20)


8th: Blue Norther, 3yo-F, 1m-T (DD)

Like the Ginger Brew above, a good group of missies. Sharp line by Jon White as top 4 ML choices are the standouts. Somethingabout her and Escape Act seem like the two other players at square prices. Escape Act (Papa Clem half sis) better be challenged by the half mile pole or she may very well be gone. Scarlet Strike, a half top Visionaire, adds blinks and might be the one to reach the pacesetter first..

Most Likely: #2 Scarlet Strike 3-1 (A) 2nd
Best Value: #11 Travesura 9-2 (B) 7th
Next Best: #10 Sky High Gal 7-2 (B) WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #1 Heir Kitty 7-2 (B) 5th

"C's": #7 Escape Act 8-1; #8 Somethingabouther 15-1 (C)


9th: MDN CLM, F&M-4+, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #12 Holiday Rose 6-1 (A) 6th
Next Best: #6 Late SCR
Exotics Use: #13 Sugar Spice 4-1 (B) WON ($6.00)
Super Add: #4 She's Actceptional 5-1 (B) 4th


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 4-9
5: 6-9-10
6: 1-6
7: 2-3-9
8: 2
9: 6/SCR-12

2x3x2x3x1x2 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-6
7: 2-3-9
8: 1-2-7-8-10-11
9: 4-6/SCR-12-13

2x3x6x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 01-01-2013 at 07:49 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 01-01-2013, 11:51 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,310
Default

GP SCR/CHG'S

Oooof... Purple Egg spikes fever and come out of GP Derby..


SA SCR/CHG'S

NOTE: 7th race SCR's added..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 01-01-2013 at 01:58 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 01-01-2013, 01:18 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,310
Default

Verrazano romps... "What a surprise".

Is it just me or is it amazing when it comes to these Pletcher GP wunderkinds... If you single them, they flop and if you bother to use a couple others with them, they air.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 01-01-2013, 01:23 PM
pointman's Avatar
pointman pointman is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 15,693
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
Verrazano romps... "What a surprise".

Is it just me or is it amazing when it comes to these Pletcher GP wunderkinds... If you single them, they flop and if you bother to use a couple others with them, they air.
You are not wrong. Thought Acclaim was a huge overlay at 6-1. But, they knew.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 01-01-2013, 01:51 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,310
Default

Nice job by Joel Rosario holding Merit Man together to win the Spectacular Bid. Grabbed lead and ran every step. That's the ride PVal needed to employ in BC Juvy Sprint.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 01-01-2013, 03:47 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,310
Default

Bradester horse to beat, no doubt, but get 30-1 Wild Billum and 26-1 Third Choice involved somehow...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 01-01-2013, 05:38 PM
declansharbor's Avatar
declansharbor declansharbor is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Exit 30
Posts: 6,357
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
Verrazano romps... "What a surprise".

Is it just me or is it amazing when it comes to these Pletcher GP wunderkinds... If you single them, they flop and if you bother to use a couple others with them, they air.
Turo!

Nice job today Steve!
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 01-01-2013, 07:22 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,310
Default

1-4-5-6-12-13-14 covered in P6.

1-4-5-6 take whole pool of $331k; 12-$110k; 13-$83k; 14-$110k
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 01-01-2013, 07:23 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,310
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by declansharbor View Post
Turo!

Nice job today Steve!
THX Mike. That was a tough end at GP. And this SA P6 has been 'one of those kinds'.. Too many B & C winners..

Hope you had a great holiday and best for a great New Year! (Can't be worse for our Iggs.)
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 02:37 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.