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  #1  
Old 11-23-2013, 06:58 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Default 11/23: AQU (6th-9th); DeD (4th-7th); HOL ($40k C/O)

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: 7th NYSS-Staten Island, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Vicki's Dancer 5-1 WON ($10.80)
Next Best: #1 Kelli Got Frosty 3-1 4th
Best Value: #4 P J's Superego 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Familyofroses 12-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (3-7) Paid $67.50
$1 Trifecta (3-7-4) Paid $453.00
$1 Superfecta (3-7-4-1) Paid $1,401.00



7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

As discussed with Nick Tammaro Friday on ATR, Bakken may have tons of upside, but this is a field of tough, experienced runners that could come at him in waves. He may be special, but will have to prove it..

Most Likely: #9 Bakken 1-1 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #1 Sokitumi Samurai 12-1 8th
Next Best: #11 Truth Is 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Crackerjack Jones 10-1 5th


8th: 7th NYSS-Thunder Rumble, 3+, 7f (DD)

Significant SCR's here as Smooth Bert & Ultimate Empire both come out..

Most Likely: #2 Chapman 7-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Readbytheline 8-1 8th
Next Best: #3 West Hills Giant 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Commandante 5-1 WON ($9.30)


9th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f

Pace edge for 'Easterbaby'..

Most Likely: #4 My Pink Easterbaby 7-2 12th
Best Value: #11 Inspeightofthegold 12-1 6th
Next Best: #12 Fiftyfour Forever 9-2 11th
Exotics Use: #3 Seven Dreams 8-1 8th


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-3
7: 1-9-11
8: 2-3-4-8-10
9: 3-4-11-12

2x3x5x4 = 120 x .50 = $60



DELTA DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


Delta strip never moved off of fast designation last night and 50% chance of rain remains in place today. 'Sabine Sand' surface takes moisture and dries well, but being on or near the lead seems imperative here no matter what the condition..


4th: 9th Sam's Town-R, 3yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Black Bear 5-1 5th
Best Value: #9 Request a Puck 12-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Heitai 2-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 One Man's King 12-1 4th


5th: 11 Delta Mile, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Alsvid 10-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Agent Di Nozzo 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Grand Contender 8-1 WON ($23.60)
Super Add: #3 Uncaptured 7-2 3rd


6th: 11th Delta Princess (G3), 2yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

For austerity purposes in the P4, will hope one of the two pacesetters stays on..

Most Likely: #4 Bahnah 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Miss Behaviour 2-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Appreciating 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Concave 7-2 3rd


7th: 11th Delta Jackpot (G3), 2yo, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

As discussed on ATR this week, Calder runners notoriously successful over this track and Casiguapo held own facing top juvies in Hopeful/Champagne..

Most Likely: #8 Casiguapo 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Rise Up 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #7 Rankhasprivileges 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Coastline 5-2 6th


<$50 P4 Play:

4: 2-5-9
5: 1-2-4
6: 3-4
7: 2-4-7-8-10

3x3x2x5 = 90 x .50 = $45



HOLLYWOOD PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MCLM/$30k, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Another Victoria 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Tiz Bliss 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Mini Candy 3-1 9th
Exotics Use: #3 U R Lucky 15-1 4th


5th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Depreciable 7-2 WON ($6.40)
Best Value: #8 Romeo Royale 6-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Husband's Folly 9-2 9th
Exotics Use: #6 Major Magic 4-1 7th


6th: MCLM/$50k, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Note that Nancy Wake in 4th is a bit of a referendum on the race #10 A P Pepper exits..

Best Value: #3 Pretty Storm 9-2 5th
Next Best: #7 La Casadora 7-2 9th
Exotics Use: #6 D'ya Knowwhatimean 8-1 WON ($14.20)
Super Add: #8 Browsing 5-1 2nd


7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f-T (P3, DD)

SCR 7-11-12-14 which gets 13-15 in to event..

Best Value: #1 Sweet as a Rose 10-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Salsita 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Lust for Life 15-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Famous Alice 4-1 WON ($5.20)


8th: 8th Real Quiet, 2yo, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Beach Hut 7-2 7th
Best Value: #2 Electric Eddie 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Life Is a Joy 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Green Mask 3-1 3rd


9th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Afflication 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #6 Whipstock 5-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Red Sharp Humor 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Bobby Handy 5-1 6th
Super/Hi-5: #10 Barney Rebel 20-1 8th


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 2-9
5: 7
6: 3-6-7
7: 1-4-8
8: 8
9: 3-4-6-8

2x1x3x3x1x4 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 3-6-7
7: 1-2-4-8
8: 2-8
9: 3-4-6-8

3x4x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 11-23-2013 at 08:05 PM.
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  #2  
Old 11-23-2013, 11:12 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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AQU SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #3  
Old 11-23-2013, 03:52 PM
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mm1019 mm1019 is offline
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Good Luck in the nightcap Steve
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  #4  
Old 11-23-2013, 04:01 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mm1019 View Post
Good Luck in the nightcap Steve
THX Mike! Think the chalk likely prevails, but nice to have a couple live ones for decent money.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #5  
Old 11-23-2013, 04:24 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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What just happened...
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #6  
Old 11-23-2013, 05:32 PM
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mm1019 mm1019 is offline
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Exactly
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  #7  
Old 11-23-2013, 08:07 PM
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Steve Byk
 
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$226k HOL C/O SUNDAY!
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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