#1
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1/17: Gulfstream (6th-11th); Oaklawn (6th-9th); Fair Grounds (8th-11th)
GULFSTREAM
POST-SCRATCHES 6th: FL-SunMill Turf, 4+, 8.5f-T/48' (Rainbow 6, P3, DD) Most Likely: #7 Manchurian High 4-1 WON ($8.20) Next Best: #6 Bad Debt 3-1 3rd Exotics Use: #4 Iron Power 7-2 4th Super Add: #3 Best Plan Yet 15-1 5th 7th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f-T/108' (P5, P3, DD) Most Likely: #11 Pyrite Mountain 2-1 4th Best Value: #6 Buck Benny 30-1 7th Next Best: #4 Pleuven 9-2 WON ($11.60) Exotics Use: #1 Rompin Reid 20-1 9th 8th: FL-SunMill Distaff, 4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD) Have to think the pace gets hot here with the outside speeds hustling for position early. That can open this up to any number of players that can stalk or close. Don't be shy sprinkling prices in with your logicals.. Best Value: #4 Tapit's World 12-1 12th Next Best: #5 Toasting 8-1 4th Exotics Use: #1 Girlaboutown 20-1 10th Super Add: #2 Wildcat Lily 15-1 6th 9th: FL-SunMill F&M Turf, 4+, 8.5f-T/48' (P3, DD) Most Likely: #3 Speed Seeker 5-1 5th Next Best: #6 Waterway Run 2-1 2nd Best Value: #5 Salamera 30-1 10th Exotics Use: #10 Effie Trinket 8-1 8th 10th: FL-SunMill Classic, 4+, 9f (DD) Most Likely: #4 Transparent 9-5 4th Next Best: #2 East Hall 5-2 2nd Exotics Use: #5 Wildcat Red 2-1 5th Super Add: #1 Sr. Quisqueyano 12-1 WON ($43.20) 11th: MSW, 3yo, 9f-T/108' (Super Hi-5) Most Likely: #12 Danish Dynaformer 8-1 4th Best Value: #13 Made in Detroit 30-1 WON ($25.20) Next Best: #8 Big Ben 7-2 8th Exotics Use: #4 Letuspray 6-1 11th Super/Hi-5: #10 Grey Wizard 3-1 6th P4 Grid: 8: 1-4-5 (A), 2-8-11 (B), 6-9-10-13 (C) 9: 3 (A), 6 (B), - (C) 10: 4 (A), 2 (B), 1-3-5-6 (C) 11: 8-12-13 (A), 4-6-10 (B), 3-11-14 (C) Simple (A+B): 6x2x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72 Full (A/B/C): $66.00 All A Entries 1 $1.00 pick P4: 4,5 with 3 with 4 with 8,12,13 - $6.00 A's with One B 2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2,8,11 with 3 with 4 with 8,12,13 - $6.00 3 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 6 with 4 with 8,12,13 - $3.00 4 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 3 with 2 with 8,12,13 - $3.00 5 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 3 with 4 with 4,6,10 - $3.00 A's with Two B's 6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2,8,11 with 6 with 4 with 8,12,13 - $6.00 7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2,8,11 with 3 with 2 with 8,12,13 - $6.00 8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2,8,11 with 3 with 4 with 4,6,10 - $6.00 9 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 6 with 2 with 8,12,13 - $3.00 10 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 6 with 4 with 4,6,10 - $3.00 11 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 3 with 2 with 4,6,10 - $3.00 A's with One C 12 $0.50 pick P4: 6,9,10,13 with 3 with 4 with 8,12,13 - $6.00 13 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 3 with 1,3,5,6 with 8,12,13 - $12.00 14 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 3 with 4 with 3,11,14 - $3.00 Total: $69.00 OAKLAWN POST-SCRATCHES 6th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3) Best Value: #1 POWER CRAZED 4-1 10th Next Best: #11 Forty Four North 5-1 12th Exotics Use: #9 Branded Hand 7-2 3rd Super Add: #5 Fire Starter 6-1 2nd 7th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 1m (P3) Best Value: #10 Tasseography 6-1 5th Next Best: #4 Embellish the Lace 7-2 Late SCR Exotics Use: #5 Movie Mystery 15-1 7th Super Add: #9 Indian Annie 9-2 WON ($7.00) 8th: 34th Pippin, F&M-4+, 8.5f (DD) Crazily well-matched field with entire group less than a couple lengths apart on typical form. Speed looks to come from the outside with Pearl Turn stretching out while adding blinks and Honey Ryan the lone 'need-the-lead' type signed on. In terms of settling on players, think you want the debuting 4yo's who have upside as opposed to the mares who are what they are. Haunted Heroine makes 4yo bow for familiar Calhoun team looking like progressive type with right style at attractive number. Treacherous spot for quad players.. Most Likely: #7 Haunted Heroine 6-1 2nd Best Value: #2 Mufajaah 10-1 WON ($13.00) Next Best: #9 Honey's Ryan 5-2 5th Exotics Use: #1 Courageous Julie 8-1 6th 9th: MSW, 3yo, 6f Getting to be now or never time for Tapit Wicked who ran in to some solid juvenile foes in KY.. Most Likely: #1 Tapit Wicked 9-5 4th Next Best: #9 Bluesman 9-2 WON ($13.00) Best Value: #12 Tarasenko 8-1 7th Exotics Use: #10 Whoop Ti Do 6-1 3rd <$75 P4 Grid: 6: 1 (A), 9-11 (B), 5 (C) 7: 10 (A), 4 5-8-9 (B), - (C) 8: 2-7 (A), 1-3-9 (B), 4-5-6-8 (C) 9: 1 (A), 9 (B), 3-10-12 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x5x5x2 = 150 x .50 = $75 Full (A/B/C): $54.50 (With $1 for All A's ticket) All A Entries 1 $1.00 pick P4: 1 with 4,10 with 2,7 with 1 - $4.00 A's with One B 2 $0.50 pick P4: 9,11 with 4,10 with 2,7 with 1 - $4.00 3 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 5,8,9 with 2,7 with 1 - $3.00 4 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 4,10 with 1,3,9 with 1 - $3.00 5 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 4,10 with 2,7 with 9 - $2.00 A's with Two B's 6 $0.50 pick P4: 9,11 with 5,8,9 with 2,7 with 1 - $6.00 7 $0.50 pick P4: 9,11 with 4,10 with 1,3,9 with 1 - $6.00 8 $0.50 pick P4: 9,11 with 4,10 with 2,7 with 9 - $4.00 9 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 5,8,9 with 1,3,9 with 1 - $4.50 10 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 5,8,9 with 2,7 with 9 - $3.00 11 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 4,10 with 1,3,9 with 9 - $3.00 A's with One C 12 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 4,10 with 2,7 with 1 - $2.00 13 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 4,10 with 4,5,6,8 with 1 - $4.00 14 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 4,10 with 2,7 with 3,10,12 - $6.00 Total: $54.50 FAIR GROUNDS POST-SCRATCHES 8th: 29th Col. E.R. Bradley (G3), 4+, 8.5f-T (Jackpot P5, P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #5 String King 9-2 WON ($8.20) Next Best: #1 Gentleman's Kitten 9-2 2nd Best Value: #4 Infinite Magic 20-1 4th Exotics Use: #9 Villandry 9-5 6th 9th: 23rd Silverbulletday, 3yo-F, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD) [i]Obvious players here all come from just off (West Coast Belle) or well off (Top Decile; Forever Unbridled) pace and there appears to be plenty of front end lick to five them their opportunity. The question is whether one of the solid lead candidates (Both Larry Jones, Money'doncharlotte, Zooming) has legitimate potential to get away or stay on into deep stretch../I] Most Likely: #2 West Coast Belle 2-1 4th Next Best: #9 Top Decile 8-5 6th Best Value: #5 Forever Unbridled 6-1 2nd Exotics Use: #4 Money'soncharlotte 8-1 3rd 10th: 20th Krantz Memorial H., F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD) Best Value: #5 Notte d'Oro 8-1 WON ($11.00) Next Best: #10 Eden Prairie 4-1 2nd Exotics Use: #9 Kitten's Dumplings 5-2 10th Super Add: #8 Samiam 12-1 4th 11th: 71st LeComte (G3), 3yo, 1m-70y (DD) Tricky read on full field to start road to the LA Derby with favored Eagle outposted wide. Several emergent types are signed on including last-out MDN-breaker Tiznow R J (5-1) who broke through when converting 2-turn debut into diploma. Maker &Ramsey's International Star (8-1) should provide value attempting to gain bona fides as dirt stake horse with inside stalking trip under hustling Mena. Owner/Trainer won this event a year ago with Vicar's in Trouble. Team Valor paid big money for Savoy Stomp who ships from Florida for Pletcher and gets Lasix and Mike Smith.. Most Likely: #2 Tiznow R J 5-1 3rd Best Value: #1 International Star 8-1 WON ($20.40) Next Best: #11 Eagle 3-1 7th Exotics Use: #6 Savoy Stomp 8-1 5th <$75 P4 Grid: 8: 1-5 (A), 4-9 (B), 3-7 (C) 9: 2 (A), 5-9 (B), 1-3-4 (C) 10: 5-10 (A), 9 (B), 7-11 (C) 11: 2 (A), 1-6-11 (B), 4-7-10 (C) Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 Full (A/B/C): $74.00 (With $1 for All A's & A's with One B tickets; $59.00 if all for .50) All A Entries 1 $1.00 pick P4: 1,5 with 2 with 5,10 with 2 - $4.00 A's with One B 2 $1.00 pick P4: 4,9 with 2 with 5,10 with 2 - $4.00 3 $1.00 pick P4: 1,5 with 5,9 with 5,10 with 2 - $8.00 4 $1.00 pick P4: 1,5 with 2 with 9 with 2 - $2.00 5 $1.00 pick P4: 1,5 with 2 with 5,10 with 1,6,11 - $12.00 A's with Two B's 6 $0.50 pick P4: 4,9 with 5,9 with 5,10 with 2 - $4.00 7 $0.50 pick P4: 4,9 with 2 with 9 with 2 - $1.00 8 $0.50 pick P4: 4,9 with 2 with 5,10 with 1,6,11 - $6.00 9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 5,9 with 9 with 2 - $2.00 10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 5,9 with 5,10 with 1,6,11 - $12.00 11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 2 with 9 with 1,6,11 - $3.00 A's with One C 12 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 2 with 5,10 with 2 - $2.00 13 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 1,3,4 with 5,10 with 2 - $6.00 14 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 2 with 3,7 with 2 - $2.00 15 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 2 with 5,10 with 4,7,10 - $6.00 Total: $74.00 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 01-17-2015 at 11:12 PM. |
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |
#3
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Steve, great call on #13 Made in Detriot $$$
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Good jockeys don't need instructions and bad ones don't follow them |
#4
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THX Gus! Fun day. A few nice pops. Miscued FG ticket though. Hope everyone did well..
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |
#5
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BTW Gus.. Use of Made in Detroit 100% off Mike Vesce rave in DRF Clocker Report. I didn't get involved early in the Sprint, but Welsch loved Weekend Hideaway's work coming in. Great resource.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |
#6
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I missed that and will pay more attention. That's invaluable information, especially on tricky races that Gulfstream is known for. This information was only available to horseplayers Derby week and now it's accessible for every day racing. Obviously some paid attention because he dropped to 11-1 off his 30-1 ML. Thanks
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Good jockeys don't need instructions and bad ones don't follow them |