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Old 09-07-2015, 08:10 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,285
Default 9/7: Saratoga (Day 40; Hopeful; $449k C/O); Del Mar (Futurity; $142k C/O)

An exceptional summer of racing at Saratoga -- and everywhere else -- comes to a close today with a manic Labor Day that features 'must pay' sequences that start with carryovers..
  • Saratoga $448,913: 6th-11th (3:19pm ET)
  • Gulfstream $662,401: 6th-11th (3:34pm ET)
  • Golden Gate $44,458: 1st-5th (4:45pm ET)
  • Del Mar $142,691: 5th-10th (7:16pm ET)
Hope everyone has had a great season. As always, it's a little sad to see Saratoga end, but it's brevity makes it special. Let's try to close out Summer '15 in a big way!


SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$449k Must Pay P6 C/O starts here..

Best Value: #8 Majestic Smile 6-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Winged Fury 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Kusama 6-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Theory of Change 5-1 WON ($16.40)


7th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Uncle Sigh 1-1 5th
Best Value: #8 Tiz Time to Shine 8-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Colorado Grandslam 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Euros to Dollars 10-1 4th


8th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Tide Is High 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Runner Runner 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Gap Year 3-1 WON ($6.00)
Super Add: #3 Southern Gem 5-1 8th


9th: Bernard Baruch (G2), 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Vyjack 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Constitution 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Ironicus 9-5 WON ($4.00)
Super Add: #4 Under Control 12-1 6th

Tri/Super Key: 3 with 1-2-4-5


10th: Hopeful (G1), 2yo, 7f (DD)

Terrific Hopeful here with 4 second timers and added intrigue of CAL and FLA invaders. Slight oddity of lineup is a surprising lack of true pacesetting types, leaving those duties in the hands of Set the Trappe and Magna Light. They may not be caught..

Best Value: #4 Set the Trappe 8-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Magna Light 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Sallisaw 5-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Uncle Vinny 5-2 3rd


11th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9.5f-T

Best Value: #7 Pure of Spirit 6-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Kitzy's Rocket 7-2 WON ($9.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Rock Me Again 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Lahinch Classics 5-2 4th


P6 Grid:

6: 8 (A), 5-6 (B), 1-2-7 (C)
7: 4 (A), - (B), 3-5-8 (C)
8: 2-4 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
9: 3 (A), 1-2 (B), 4-5 (C)
10: 1-4 (A), - (B), 2-5-6-7-8 (C)
11: 2-7 (A), - (B), 4-5-11-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x4x3x2x2 = 144 x $2 = $288


P4 Grid:

8: 2-4 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
9: 3 (A), 1-2 (B), 4-5 (C)
10: 1-4 (A), 2 (B), 5-6-7-8 (C)
11: 2-7 (A), 4-5 (B), 11-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x4 = 144 x $.50 = $72



DEL MAR


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

$149k Must Pay P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #1 Somethings Unusual 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Yes Yes Yes 15-1 WON ($25.00)
Next Best: #10 Seeking the West 6-1 10th
Exotics Use: #12 Unusually Green 9-2 5th
Super Add: #11 Alcott 15-1 12th


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Seaside Glory 9-2 4th
Next Best: #11 Notorious Nicole 4-1 10th
Exotics Use: #1 Unbridled Summer SCR
Super Add: #3 Escapee 6-1 5th


7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Aguacate 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Sassy Ashley 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Eileen's Girl 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Feeling Lucky 10-1 7th


8th: Del Mar Futurity (G1), 2yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Nyquist 5-2 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #7 Blameitonthelaw 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Swipe 4-1 2nd


9th: Del Mar Juvenile Fillies Turf, 2yo-F (DD)

Best Value: #3 Jakaby Jade 6-1 WON ($16.80)
Next Best: #9 Imflatoutsweet 5-2 -
Exotics Use: #5 One Last Shot 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Optimism and Hope 8-1 -


10th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Unforgettable U 3-1 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #1 Glory 7-2 4th
Best Value: #7 Moyo Honey SCR
Exotics Use: #6 Sensitively 4-1 5th
Hi-5 Play: #9 Discatsonthesquare 12-1 2nd


P6 Grid:

5: 1-5 (A), 10-12 (B), 3-6-11 (C)
6: 5 (A), 11 (B), 1/SCR-3 (C)
7: 7 (A), 1-3 (B), 2 (C)
8: 5-7 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
9: 3 (A), - (B), 4-5-9 (C)
10: 10 (A), 1 (B), 6-7/SCR-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x2x1x2 = 96 x $192


P4 Grid:

7: 7 (A), 1-3 (B), 2 (C)
8: 5-7 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
9: 3-9 (A), 1-4-5 (B), 10-11 (C)
10: 1-10 (A), 6/SCR-7-9 (B), 4-8-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x5x5 = 150 x $.50 = $75


Good luck!
Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 09-07-2015 at 09:57 PM.
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  #2  
Old 09-07-2015, 08:29 AM
tanner12oz tanner12oz is offline
Randwyck
 
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Location: Pittsburgh
Posts: 1,412
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Golden gate 44k carry is in the pick 5
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  #3  
Old 09-07-2015, 10:10 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
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SAR SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #4  
Old 09-07-2015, 06:04 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,285
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P6 Will Pays:

1-499k
2-464k
3-285k
4-133k
5-33.5k
6-499k
7-59.1k
8-1,997,000 (pool)
9-998k
10-665k
11-166k
12-119k
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 09-07-2015 at 10:10 PM.
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  #5  
Old 09-07-2015, 09:45 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,285
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DMR P6 Will Pays:

6 of 6:
1 or 10-$694,742

5 of 6:
3-$23,705
4 or 6-$17,240
8-$126,428
9-$25,285
11-$47,410
14-$63,214
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 09-07-2015 at 10:11 PM.
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  #6  
Old 09-08-2015, 12:07 PM
ADJMK ADJMK is offline
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Posts: 1,298
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Great job at Del Mar getting 4 A's in your P6. Don't know how someone can include the #10 in the maiden race unless you can afford to go all.
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  #7  
Old 09-08-2015, 10:12 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ADJMK View Post
Great job at Del Mar getting 4 A's in your P6. Don't know how someone can include the #10 in the maiden race unless you can afford to go all.
Thanks.. When Yes Yes Yes won I thought it was going to be a really fun run. The O'Neill winner actually had a very good comment from Harrington and deserved at least fringe player ('C') status.. Sherlock's horse was damn near impossible to see and I'm a Sherlock friend and fan. Getting Jakaby Jade home was a great end to the season though..

Hope everyone did well Monday and throughout the summer..
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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