1/7 (SA): Santa Anita ($378k DBL C/O)

[Kasept]

SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: MCLM/$20k, F&M-4+, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Challenging sequence that could approach $2,000,000 is complicated enough before factoring in wet weather that has strafed Los Angeles this week. Seems like there's a window for this afternoon's action but knowing that the track has been sealed tight for days leads to conclusion that speed will be very hard to catch. Watch the early double (6f and 1m) to try and get a feel for the surface..

Opener appears like cheap MDN claimer at a glance, but these look far from hopeless on closer inspection. 1-6-7 the focus of most tickets. With a few stretchouts involved, pace looks honest at the least. Miz Graycee came back with the Waiver Clause last which says Hofmans believed she was worth keeping and decent effort plus 6f bullet (1:11.4) says today's the day..

Most Likely: #7 Miz Graycee 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #6 Appealing Lady 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Bolt Up 3-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Rodeo Drive Diva 12-1 3rd


4th: Cal-MSW, 3yo, 1m (P3, DD)

State bred 3yo's and not an easy set to decipher given stretchouts (1-2-3-4-5-7) and surface changes (1-3). Top three below are separated by about 2L on figs..

Most Likely: #1 Touched by Autism 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #2 Got Tobe Awesome 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Speedin With Eddie 7-2 5th
Super Add: #8 And Then Some 6-1 2nd


5th: S/ALW, F&M-4+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

For purposes of ticket austerity, Ponder Lea one of the horses in the sextet that has a distinct advantage over field and appears highly probable with effort close to last pair..

Most Likely: #1 Ponder Lea 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Zeekid 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Audra 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 West Mid 8-1 4th


6th: CLM/N3L, F&M-4+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Amberella seems well spotted by D'Amato off N2L win for $12.5k, but still needs a bit more, especially if Lopez tries to wire. Big question here is what to do with giveaway dropper Backintheacademy?

Most Likely: #1 Amberella 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Vegas Bound 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Bayonet 3-1 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Backintheacademy SCR


7th: Cal-OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 6.5f (DD)

Headscratching feature where nothing short of 'all' will allow you to rest easy..

Best Value: #6 Awesome Luck 8-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Sharaun 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Zuzu's Petals 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #14 West Coast Storm 6-1 7th


8th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #12 Midnight Lady 4-1 11th
Next Best: #9 Mybabykim 2-1 8th
Best Value: #5 Fiesta Express 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Warrensdollarsigns 4-1 5th
Hi-5 Play: #8 Sea Side Story 12-1 7th


P6 Grid:

3: 7 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C)
4: 1-2 (A), 4-8 (B), 6 (C)
5: 1 (A), - (B), 6 (C)
6: 1 (A), 3-8 (B), 5-6-9 (C)
7: 5-6 (A), 1-14 (B), 4-11-12 (C)
8: 12 (A), 9 (B), 5-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x1x3x4x2 = 196 x $2 = $192
Full (A/B/C): $208


P4 Grid:

5: 1 (A), 6-7 (B), 2-3-5-6 (C)
6: 1 (A), 3-8 (B), 4/SCR-5-6-9 (C)
7: 5-6 (A), 1-14 (B), 4-11-12 (C)
8: 9-12 (A), 5-10 (B), 1-3-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4 = 144 x $0.50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $64 (With $1 All A's Play)


Good luck!
Steve

[clambeau]

Chances are this WILL carry over too, right ?

[casp0555]

Originally Posted by clambeau

Chances are this WILL carry over too, right ?

what a card, let's see what the scratches will do

[Kasept]

SA SCR/CHG'S

[Kasept]

LATE SCR of Backintheacademy out of the 6th.. (Felt more suspect than contender..)