1/30: Aqueduct (7th-10th); Santa Anita ($177k DBL C/O)

[Kasept]

Day 3 of NHC and coverage goes live at 3:30pm ET until the Champion is crowned..

LISTEN LINK: http://stevebyk.com/listen-live-siriusxm/


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: 136th Withers (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Will grudgingly acquiesce to likelihood of Flexibility repeating success of Jerome here with Sunny Puzzle giving away recency. Cards of Stone will SCR, so some (but far from all) of the anticipated pace pressure dissipates. One unknown here is the upside of Adventist who laughed at foes in 6f MSW debut and is built on pedigree to carry speed into the added ground. Dam Sharp Minister (Deputy Minister) was a half to exceptional Flag Down and produced route-going SW Sharp Writer (Capote). Donegal Moon, King Kranz and Vorticity all with merit. Excellent 2nd stop on the road to the Wood Memorial..

Most Likely: #2 Flexibility 7-5 4th
Next Best: #7 Sunny Ridge 5-2 WON ($9.50)
Best Value: #4 King Kranz 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Adventist 5-1 3rd


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Tremendous group with perhaps 8 of the 10 eligible for honors..

Most Likely: #10 Rachel's Temper 4-1 9th
Next Best: #1 Jcs American Dream 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #11 Flick of an Eye 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Kibble 6-1 4th


8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

Another superb assembly with stakes types and veteran hard-hitters. Leave the Light On a tepid fave 2nd off layoff..

Most Likely: #10 Lieutenant Seany O 5-1 9th
Best Value: #3 Picozza 8-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Leave the Light On 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Dontbetwithbruno 4-1 WON ($4.90)


9th: 123rd Toboggan (G3), 4+, 6f (DD)

Famed Morris Park sprint standard has gotten more intriguing with each of three draws. Green Gratto of course the one to catch and beat with no other need the lead types signed on, but there are a few fun prices to tinker with as candidates to get to the 2-1 fave..

Most Likely: #10 Green Gratto 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Alex the Terror 8-1 6th
Best Value: #1 Sam Sparkle 20-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Sassicaia 15-1 WON ($14.60)


10th: NY-MCLM/$25k, 3yo, 6f

Most Likely: #11 Fakeittilumakeit 5-1 10th
Next Best: #1 Possetano Prince 5-2 WON ($9.00)
Best Value: #9 Borrowed Dreams 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Military Parade 4-1 6th


P4 Grid:

7: 10 (A), 1-11 (B), 2-3-7-8 (C)
8: 3-10 (A), 4-8 (B), 1-5 (C)
9: 10 (A), 7 (B), 1-2-3-4-9 (C)
10: 1-11 (A), 2-8-9-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72



SANTA ANITA


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: 3rd Cal Cup Derby-CA, 3yo, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Tough It Out 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Smokey Image 4-5 WON ($2.80)
Exotics Use: #5 Glory Bound 4-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Demonslayer 8-1 6th


6th: 26th Valpredo Cal Cup Sprint-CA, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 San Onofre 4-5 4th
Next Best: #6 Sunday Rules 9-5 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #5 Raised a Secret 12-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Pay the Fine 12-1 6th


7th: 12th SunMill F&M Turf Sprint-R, F&M-4+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Singing Kitty 9-2 8th
Next Best: #3 Smoove It 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Chiati's On Top 9-2 4thh
Super Add: #7 Velvet Mesquite 7-2 WON ($7.80)


8th: CA-OC/N1X, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Pray Hard 7-2 6th
Best Value: #4 Gutsy Ruler 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 W. Giles 4-1 WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #6 One More Roll SCR


9th: 26th Cal Cup Turf Classic-CA, 4+, 9f-T (DD)

Fabulous wagering puzzle..

Best Value: #6 Grazen Sky 12-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Alert Bay 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Poshsky 9-2 4th
Super Add: #8 Soi Phet 15-1 7th


10th: CA-MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Desperate Chick 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #10 Ready to Hula Lula 4-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Who Said Lucky 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Shy Carmelita 8-1 WON ($26.20)
Super Add: #4 Dancing Sunset 12-1 9th


P6 Grid:

5: - (A), - (B), - (C)
6: - (A), - (B), - (C)
7: - (A), - (B), - (C)
8: - (A), - (B), - (C)
9: - (A), - (B), - (C)
10: - (A), - (B), - (C)


P4 Grid:

7: - (A), - (B), - (C)
8: - (A), - (B), - (C)
9: - (A), - (B), - (C)
10: - (A), - (B), - (C)


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

AQU SCR/CHG'S