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Old 05-13-2017, 09:53 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default 5/13: Santa Anita (1st-5th)

SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: Cal-MSW, 3+, 6/5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Tricky read group of Cal-bred MDN's. Appears that those with experience will provide plenty of pace and can project a scenario where a couple of firsters may be motoring late at targets that have shown an inability to finish. With some opportunity to go narrow late in the P5, suggest spreading here..

Best Value: #5 Miracle March 10-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Candy's Martini 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Mor Candy 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Insubordination 4-1 2nd


2nd: MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Omega Moon 2-1: $500k Juddmonte/Baffert firster.. 2nd
Next Best: #3 Pioneer Lad 5-2: 1st with Baltas; Chased STK-bound MDN's.. WON ($6.40)
Best Value: #6 Gold Shot 10-1: 'Other' Baltas can get a share late.. 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Captain Chaos 5-2: Miller firster looks route-inclined.. 7th


3rd: OC/ALW, 3+, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Nice to see Hess take patient approach with impressive (91 Beyer) first out winner American Pastime. Gave Tapizar colt plenty of time to recover from debut and has fired pair of bullets readying for today, including 58.1 best of 68 on 4/30 in which he spotted rival 9L lead..

Most Likely: #5 American Pastime 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #4 Blue Anchor 10-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Stormy Roccit 3-1 WON ($13.60)
Exotics Use: #3 Alley Boss 10-1 6th


4th: 65th Desert Code, 3yo, 6.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Cistron, lone multiple winner in the field ~ and Northern Spur winner at that ~ returns to turf while cutting back; recipe for downhill course success. Rebel War has small turf hints and could get involved at a price. What'sontheagenda another that may take to the lawn being by Dialed In (17% first turf) and out of a mare that's a half sister to Thundering Sky..

Most Likely: #7 Cistron 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 Rebel War 12-1 4th
Next Best: #5 What'sontheagenda 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 City Storm 5-1 5th


5th: 23rd Laz Barrera (G3), 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Santa Anita Derby turnbacks American Anthem & Kimbear merit edge here over the 1-2-5 runners exiting the San Pedro and first-out Miller MCLM winner Sutton Impact..

Most Likely: #1 American Anthem 2-1 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #2 Kimbear 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Taxman's Quest 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Bobby Abu Dhabi SCR


P5 Grid:

1: 4-5-6-7 (A), 1-2-9-10 (B), - (C)
2: 3-5 (A), - (B), 1-6-7 (C)
3: 5 (A), - (B), 4-7 (C)
4: 7 (A), 5-6 (B), 1-4 (C)
5: 1-2 (A), - (B), 4-5-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 8x2x1x3x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 4x2x1x1x2 = 16 x .50 = $8


P4 Grid:

2: 3-5 (A), 6 (B), 7-8 (C)
3: 5 (A), 4-7 (B), 1-2-3-6 (C)
4: 1-4-5-6-7 (A), - (B), 2-3 (C)
5: 1-2 (A), - (B), 4-5-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x5x2 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A's: 2x1x5x2 = 20 x .50 = $10

$0.50 Pick-4 (3/7/4/1,3) Paid $112.10


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 05-13-2017 at 06:13 PM.
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Old 05-13-2017, 01:17 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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SA SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 05-14-2017, 12:16 AM
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atolunch atolunch is offline
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Nice job today Steve!

Congrats and thanks as always!!
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Old 05-14-2017, 06:28 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by atolunch View Post
Nice job today Steve!

Congrats and thanks as always!!
THX Larry.. Disappointed to botch the P5. Paid nicely. Hope everyone did well..
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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