8/13: Saratoga (Day 22) ~ 1st/3rd OFF THE TURF

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MCLM/$50k, 3+, 5.5f-OFF THE TURF (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Fooch 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #4 Slick Silver 4-1 2nd


2nd: CLM, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Anna Rae 3-1 6th
Best Value: #2 Conquest So True 9-2 5th
Next Best: #6 Asian's Way 3-1 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Arewehavingfunyet 4-1 3rd


3rd: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 7f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD)

Now off the turf and I'm not sure any of them can win..

Most Likely: #7 Shanghai Dreams WON ($3.90)
Best Value: #6 Youth Gone Wild 5th
Next Best: #8 Union Patriot 3rd


4th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$725k.. $400k.. $425k.. $800k.. Group that is cut out to be nice..

Most Likely: #5 Fog of War 7-2 WON ($6.80)
Best Value: #10 Seismic Jolt 9-2 4th
Next Best: #3 Current 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Fayette Warrior 8-1 7th


5th: NY-MCLM/$25k, F&M-3+, 7f (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Party in the Sand 3-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Long Eyelashes 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Tequila Sunday 5-2 5th
Super Add: #4 Lightworker 9-2 WON ($13.80)


P5 Grid:

1: 6 (A), - (B), 4 (C)
2: 2-4-5-6-7 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
3: 7 (A), - (B), 6-8 (C)
4: 5-10 (A), - (B), 3-4-9 (C)
5: 1-2-3 (A), 4-5-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x5x1x2x6 = $60 ($30 for .50)
All A's: 1x5x1x2x3 = 30 x .50 = $15


P4 Grid:

2: 2-4-5-6-7 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
3: 7 (A), - (B), 6-8 (C)
4: 5-10 (A), - (B), 3-4-9 (C)
5: 1-2-3 (A), 4-5-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x1x2x6 = $60 ($30 for .50)
All A's: 5x1x2x3 = 30 x .50 = $15

$0.50 Pick-4 (6/4,5,7/5/4) Paid $144.00 ($72.00 for .50)


6th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Orchid Party 9-2 7th
Next Best: #1 Reata's Reward 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Aggregator 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Karen's Gem 4-1 WON ($7.00)


7th: Opt CLM/C, 4+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Take Your Guns 7-5 5th
Next Best: #2 You're to Blame 2-1 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Flowers for Lisa 5-2 2nd


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Take Charge Aubrey 2-1 WON ($4.30)
Next Best: #5 My Roxy Girl 3-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Starlite Mission 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 She's Delightful 6-1 4th


9th: NY-CLM/$25k, 3+, 9f-OFF THE TURF

Taken off the turf 15 minutes before start of P4 sequence..

Best Value: #6 Wicked Freud Surface CHG SCR
Next Best: #11 Mobridge Surface CHG SCR
Exotics Use: #10 With Exultation Surface CHG SCR
Super Add: #4 Hidden Vow Surface CHG SCR


P5 Grid:

5: 1-3 (A), - (B), 2-4 (C)
6: 1-2-6 (A), 7-8-9 (B), 3-4 (C)
7: 2-5 (A), - (B), 4 (C)
8: 7 (A), - (B), 1-2-3-5 (C)
9: 6-10-11 (A), 1-4-8 (B), 5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x2x1x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

6: 1-2-6 (A), 7-8-9 (B), 3-4 (C)
7: 2-5 (A), - (B), 4 (C)
8: 5-7 (A), - (B), 1-2-3 (C)
9: 6-10-11 (A), 1-4-8 (B), 5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x2x1 = 24 x .50 = $12
All A's: 3x2x2x- = No play


Good luck!
Steve

[moses]

Thanks Steve. Race 4 should be interesting to watch. I’m seeing John Velazquez listed on the #3 Current as well as the #11 Tapizars Secret. Given that the #3 is a Pletcher horse, I’m assuming that is who he’ll ride but no jockey changes listed yet. Any word on who will handle the #11?

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by moses

Thanks Steve. Race 4 should be interesting to watch. I’m seeing John Velazquez listed on the #3 Current as well as the #11 Tapizars Secret. Given that the #3 is a Pletcher horse, I’m assuming that is who he’ll ride but no jockey changes listed yet. Any word on who will handle the #11?

#11 is MTO and will come out.

[moses]

Originally Posted by Kasept

#11 is MTO and will come out.

Thanks, I missed that. Good luck to all.