August 29 Saratoga ROI Wagers go here

[JolyB]

We are playing Races 1 through 9 at Saratoga. Please have your wagers for the ROI contest posted on this thread not later than 1:10 PM Eastern time.

Good luck to all and thank you to Real Quiet for scoring.

[Roamin42]

RACE 3

#7-IRISH MIAS...$100 WIN

[Real Quiet]

R7...$20 ex . 3 w 2. ($20)
$15 ex key. 3 w 4-5. ($30)

R8. .$15 ex key. 2 w 8-10. ($30)
$20 ex . 2-5. ($20)

[JolyB]

Quick post while lights are on:

Race 4:
$60 quinella: 1,2 [$60]
$20 quinella: 4/ 1,2 [$40]

Good luck to all and thank you to Real Quiet for scoring.

[Plenilune]

r3 $50 W #4

r6 $50 W #4

[RUFFIAN]

ALL MY FAVORITES SCRATCHED
NOW IM LEFT WITH THIS
DOUBTFUL ANY WILL WIN
MORE LIKELY THEY ALL MISS

RACE 1
#8 = $15 WIN = BULL FEATHERS
#3 = $20 WIN = GRAY JAZMINE
================================

RACE 6
#6 = $15 WIN = NERVES OF STEEL
#3 = $15 WIN = STRETCH THE TRUTH
================================

RACE 8
#7 = $20 WIN = WIN WIN WIN
#1 = $15 WIN = EVERFAST
=================================

SOGGY CATNIP FOR THE QUIET ONE

[DonGuido]

Race 3: $8 Pick3 = $48
4,1,5/1/1,4

Race 7: $16 Pick 3 = $48
2,1,3/2/8

Enjoy the Day!!!

[cal828]

R7

$10 ex 1//2,3=$20

$10 ex 2,3//1=$20

$6 ex 1/2,3,4,5,6=$30

R8

$10 ex 2//3,4,11=$30

[Indian Hemp]

race eight

50 Cent Super $90

2 6 11

2 4 6 10 11

2 4 6 10 11

1 2 4 6 7 8 10 11

$10 Win

1

thanks RQ and good luck all

[cruzan200246]

R1. 3 Grey Jazmine $25 Win
R3. 2 Bye Bye Melvin $25 Win
R8. 5 True Timber $25 Place
R9. 7 Pedro Cara $25 Place

[NJ Stinks]

Total Bets - $100

Race 3:
$40 to win on #4


Race 6:
$38 to win on #6


$2 Daily Double Wheel (cost - 11x2 = $22):
Race 8: all
Race 9 - #7

[DonGuido]

Alrighty then Cruz on the 3 in Race 1. But but but why? What made you do it? Very interesting pick and you hit a nice ROI too paying $35.80. Quite amazing for sure.

And Ruffian hits race 1 for a $20 win bet. She loves greys so that kinda makes sense.

But wait everyone . . . I forget, when does horse racing make sense, especially at Saratoga on a wet surface???

[JolyB]

Originally Posted by DonGuido

Alrighty then Cruz on the 3 in Race 1. But but but why? What made you do it? Very interesting pick and you hit a nice ROI too paying $35.80. Quite amazing for sure.

And Ruffian hits race 1 for a $20 win bet. She loves greys so that kinda makes sense.

But wait everyone . . . I forget, when does horse racing make sense, especially at Saratoga on a wet surface???

Perhaps it was the jockey change to Benjie Hernandez, or the drop from CL20 to CL16 that made the difference. His last race was only 9 days ago, when he was 7th at 53-1; the chart explains "GREY JAZMINE bumped with a rival at the start then came out and bumped soundly with another foe, settled at the rear, moved in near the half-mile pole, saved ground on the turn and failed to respond then was eased in the final furlong but walked off."

I guess you need to pay attention to the "eased and walked off" angle.

[cruzan200246]

I always look for horses with great back speed and Grey Jazmine
had the highest.
order of finish was:

3. Grey Jazmine
2. La negrita
6. Happy Sophia

back speed last race was:
86 Grey Jazmine
85 Happy Sophia
83La Negrita
I had a perfect superfecta BOX

[cruzan200246]

Originally Posted by JolyB

Perhaps it was the jockey change to Benjie Hernandez, or the drop from CL20 to CL16 that made the difference. His last race was only 9 days ago, when he was 7th at 53-1; the chart explains "GREY JAZMINE bumped with a rival at the start then came out and bumped soundly with another foe, settled at the rear, moved in near the half-mile pole, saved ground on the turn and failed to respond then was eased in the final furlong but walked off."

I guess you need to pay attention to the "eased and walked off" angle.

Great analysis.

[DonGuido]

Originally Posted by cruzan200246

Great analysis.

Way above my wimpy race brain and pay grade. I guess I don't get the back speed approach but it seems to work for you!!!

[cruzan200246]

WOWWWWWWW Bye Bye Melvin, see ya, yessssssss!!!!!!!!!!

[JolyB]

Cruz, was that the same angle you used for Bye Bye Melvin. Amazing to catch Johnny V and Motion at 19-1.

[DonGuido]

Originally Posted by DonGuido

Way above my wimpy race brain and pay grade. I guess I don't get the back speed approach but it seems to work for you!!!

Then the 2 comes up and nips the 5 to ruin my pick 3 already and the 2 did it without any back speed I can see. Hey, I won't hit the 4th or 5th either so alas, alas.

Hmmmmmm. Again, I'm trying to apply logic to a sport that mostly defies logic. I'd consider a long freshening for me but I can't miss Churchill next week.

[cruzan200246]

Originally Posted by JolyB

Cruz, was that the same angle you used for Bye Bye Melvin. Amazing to catch Johnny V and Motion at 19-1.

No, this was a stakes race and and the early / late pace was utilized in this one with who else but hall of fame jockey john velasquez.