11/25: Churchill Downs (8th-12th)

[Kasept]

CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Solid Tune 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Waters of Merom 20-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Sue Ellen Mishkin 9-2 WON ($5.64)
Exotics Use: #8 Strong Silent 3-1 SCR


9th: Mrs. Revere (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Bubble Rock 5-2 WON ($5.32)
Best Value: #10 Quality Star 12-1 5th
Next Best: #6 California Angel 2-1 9th
Exotics Use: #7 Lovely Princess 8-1 4th


10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Milliken 6-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Call Me Fast 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Angkor 12-1 2nd
Super Add: #14 Seal Beach 6-1 WON ($11.98)


11th: Clark (G1), 3+, 9f (DD)

Best Value: #5 Fulsome 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 West Will Power 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Rich Strike 2-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Proxy 7-2 WON ($7.08)


12th: MSW, F&M-3+, 7.5f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Shady Road 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 Star Table 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Twentytwenty Hoax DNF-Pulled Up
Exotics Use: #9 Awesome Ally Vee 8-1 4th


P5 Grid:

8: 3-7 (A), 1-8 (B), - (C)
9: 4-10 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)
10: 7-8-10 (A), 1-14 (B), - (C)
11: 4-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 7 (A), - (B), 2 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x5x3x1 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (6-7 in 9th) + 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2 in 12th)


P4 Grid:

9: 4-10 (A), 6-7 (B), - (C)
10: 7-8-10 (A), 1-14 (B), - (C)
11: 4-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 7 (A), - (B), 2 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x5x3x1 = 60 x .50 = $30
All A's: 2x3x3x1 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backups: 2x3x3x1 = 18 x .50 = $9 (2 in 12th)


Good luck!
Steve