7/21: Saratoga ~ Day 9 (Shuvee, Smithwick)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: A.P. Smithwick (NSA-G1), 4+, 19f-Nat'l Fences (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Abaan 9-5 5th
Next Best: #7 L'Imperator 5-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Freddy Flintshire 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Pickanumber 5-2 2nd


2nd: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 9f (P5, P3,m DD)

Most Likely: #1 Enigmatic 9-5 3rd
Next Best: #6 Yo Puedo 9-2 5th
Best Value: #2 La Vita Sofia 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Boughty Ferry 6-1 WON ($12.20)


3rd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Java Buzz 9-2 WON ($6.90)
Next Best: #6 Musical Maestro 4-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Royal King 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #11 Korrongo 8-1 8th


4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 12f-Inner (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Jitterbug 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Past Tense 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Mission of Hope 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Ms Sedona 7-2 8th


5th: Shuvee (G2), F&M-4+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Beat Byk Week 2: https://www.ntra.com/nhc/beatbyk/

Most Likely: #1 Shotgun Hottie 3-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Just Katherine 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Raging Sea 7-5 WON ($5.30)


6th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Warrior Richard 7-2 4th
Next Best: #5 Whenlovetakesover 9-5 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Briterdayzahead 5-2 WON ($4.80)
Super Add: #7 Playingwithmatches 8-1 2nd


P5 Grid:

2: 1 (A), 6 (B), 2 (C)
3: 5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 4-7 (A), 3-9 (B), - (C)
5: 1-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x4x4x1 = $64 ($32 for. 50)
All A's: 1x2x2x3x1 = $12 ($6 for .50)
Backup (CAAAA): 1x2x2x3x1 = $12 ($6 for .50) 36 x .50


P4 Grid:

3: 5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 4-7 (A), 3-9 (B), - (C)
5: 1-3-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 2x4x4x1 = $32 ($16 for .50)


7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-Inner (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Very tough group with some strong sibling hints..

Most Likely: #6 Sharp Smile 4-1 4th
Best Value: #10 Ready to Battle 12-1 10th
Next Best: #8 Wild and Free 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Virgin Colada 9-2 WON ($11.20)


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Roagna 6-1 7th ~ Depaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #7 Firsttimeinforever 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Boxed Wine 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Downtown Channel 12-1 8th


P4 Grid:

5: 1-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 2-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 6-10 (A), - (B), 1-2-8 (C)
8: 1-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x3x2x2 = $36 ($18 for .50)
Backup (AACA): 3x3x3x2 = 54 x .50 = $27 (1-2-8 in 7th)


9th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Double Cappucino 5-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Kiss Me Slow 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Immersive 5-1 WON ($22.80)
Super Add: #3 Black Dog 7-2 5th


10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (DD)

Paddington SCR'D has a tendency to lose ground, but he's faster than these on best and is an inviting number..

Most Likely: #6 Rocketeer 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Black Rain 8-5 5th
Best Value: #7 D Day Sky 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Grandpa's Kid 10-1 6th


11th: NY-ALW/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T

Thoroughly impossible nightcap with three-quarters of the field possible for laurels..

Most Likely: #1 Neural Network 5-1 6th
Best Value: #10 Born Dancer 10-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Let's Go Big Blue 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Locke and Key 12-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

7: 6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1 (A), 7 (B), - (C)
9: 1-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1-7-10 (A), 5-8-12 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x3x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x1x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

8: 1 (A), 7 (B), - (C)
9: 1-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1-7-10 (A), 5-8-12 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x6 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 1x3x2x3 = 18 x .50 = $9


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S