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Old 12-27-2006, 11:17 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default 12/27: AQU Returns (4th-9th)

Wednesday's Santa Anita Opening Day ended as one of the year's highlights with a lucrative late P4 score for more than $1,700 on a $1 play. Outstanding prices on very logical Kip Deville in the Sir Beaumont ($16.20) and Latent Heat ($13.40) in the Malibu drove the bonanza quad with post time favorites Pirate's Deputy ($6.00) and Silk Kerchief ($11.60) bookending the Baffert and Frankel stakes winners.

The surprising return, nearly twice the parley, more than made up for Friday's silly $9.00 loss in the Calder P4. It also represented the third time in five days we were able to steer through a four race gauntlet. If there was any question that the P4 is the best wager for modest investors at the track, Tuesday's return should be a reassurence. Hope some of you had it...

Wednesday brings the return of NY to the scene after a nine day break, and a good group of events in the P6 skien invited attention...


SELECTIONS -- Aqueduct, 12/27 (R4-9)


4th: NYB-MSW, 2yo fillies, 6f (P6, P6)

Tough way to start a P6 ticket if you're playing it..

1. #9 Freakazoid 10-1: 3rd Hills' miss goggled, cuts back; Faced some decent gals
2. #3 Positive Charge 3-1: 2nd Ramon sticks with Pregman bay by Jump Start
A. #4 Abbyroar 9-2: WON Rice reaches out to hustling Lopez for Forestry filly
B. #1 Timely Punch 7-2: Arroyo great with Bush

LONGSHOT ALERT: #10 Nantasket 30-1: 4th Scary outsider from capable Micelli drew 13 hole in debut and 'off slow/wide'.. What kind of chance did she have?

$1 Exacta 4-3 $11.70
$1 Trifecta 4-3-9 $38.25



5th: CLM, 3yo, 6f (Grand Slam, P3)

1. #9 Trailing Twelve 4-1: WON Blasi ridgling back to level of claim; Has back class
2. #7 Nelson St. Swing 6-1: Last pair better and pace scenario suits
A. #4 Crafty Tricker 6-1: 2nd Klesaris returnee
B. #1 Congo King 3-1: Dutrow scratched #1a Jack Atax

$1 Exacta 9-4 $11.90


6th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 1m (P4, DD, Superfecta)

One of the three races in set that make you go "Hmmm"..

1. #6 My Man Lars 7-1 4th: Obscurely bred grey has run well enough to win
2. #1 Gimmee Getme 9-2: Martin reaches out for Eibar; Had rough debut start
A. #2 Stately Pegasus 5-2: 3rd Clearly better on lawn, but zipped for comebacker
B. #9 Jelly Roll Rumble 5-1: Consistent earner right behind Lars last time

LONGSHOT ALERT: #3 Anxious Contender 20-1: 5th Pellagrino got this career stiff from Shevy and is known to move 'em up


7th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (P3)

1. #8 What a Boot 8-5: 2nd Will have to be run down; Murder if speed holds
2. #3 War Tale 10-1: 3rd Drops, gets blinks and exits pair of good MSW's
A. #1e Dutrow entry 4-1: 4th Hard to exclude pair from good NY owners (SCR #1a Dynamic Dino)
B. #9 Secretfairways 8-1: WON My man Sciacca lures go-to guy Ramon

$1 Exacta 9-8 $22.30
$1 Trifecta 9-8-3 $125.75



8th: OC/N1X, 2yo, 6f (DD)

1. #8 Sports Town 5-2: WON Terranova bay showed nice closing kick last out
2. #3 No Mine for Me 6-1: Sharp Midlantic invader from Pino faces pressure
A. #1e A. Dutrow entry 3-1: 3rd Tony D. utilizes jocks here that win for him
B. #5 First Regent 9-2: 2nd Levine bayhas chased next-out winners; No Coa?

$1 Exacta 8-5 $9.70
$1 Trifecta 8-5-1 $27.00




9th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f (Superfecta)

Another toughie to end a challenging card.. Leaving #13 Starhumor (5-2 ML fave) off picks, but is a use in multi-race plays..

ADDED NOTE: With 4 scratches here, #10 Starhumor 2nd leaves from post #9 , originally from the 13, and becomes a more logical play..

1. #1e Contessa entry: WON Only one will go with Ramon double-named (SCR #1 New York Moon)
2. #2e Kelly entry 10-1: 4th Price appeals with #2 Ketch Up Boy moving forward (SCR #2 Ketch Up Boy)
A. #3e Bush entry 9-2: Pair have hit board in 14 of 20 combined starts (SCR #3 Children's Annex)
B. #4 Bonus Size 10-1: 3rd Paraneck bay was OK versus open claimers last

LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #8 One Goodnight 15-1: Race two back would earn board hit at the least here

$1 Exacta 1-10 $27.25
$1 Trifecta 1-10-4 $240.00
$1 Quad/Superfecta 1-10-4-2 $1529.50
$1 Double 8/1 $20.10



<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-6
7: 3-8-9
8: 3-8
9; 8-10

3x3x2x2 = $36


<$100 P6 Play:

4: 1-3-4-5-9-10
5: 9
6: 1-6
7: 3-8
8: 3-8
9: 10

6x1x2x2x2x1 = 48 x $2 = $96


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 12-27-2006 at 04:33 PM.
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Old 12-27-2006, 03:00 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Wow.. Baby Yaya blows open the P6/P4.. $66.00.. Carryover??
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 12-27-2006, 03:08 PM
jimdowning
 
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I watched a Maker trained horse (Montstar) last night roll away in a 3 yo allowance - but I didn't see that coming today from Baby Yaya.
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Old 12-27-2006, 03:56 PM
Byebyemermaid Byebyemermaid is offline
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Location: Little Neck NY
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Wow.. Baby Yaya blows open the P6/P4.. $66.00.. Carryover??
Of course Steve i placed a bet today and was alive for a $5 double with the favorite in the 7th.Needless to say i wasn't comfortable with 4 turning for home.I think we found out today what he is.I do love the 3 in the last race today and will be betting the horse.
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Old 12-27-2006, 04:34 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Carryover kids... $28,000+
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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