SCUDSBROTHER |
03-25-2008 06:44 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by PSH
The biggest question i have is why anyone would want to go to the lead on that surface at SA????
It seems that 90% of the time or more that speed doesn't hold. I can understand that if you are on a horse that is speed and can't be controlled that maybe you have no choice. That said, why would Chantal even consider to have the horse in yesterday's 6th on the lead????? Makes no sense to me.
If the jocks all understand that you can't be on the lead on the synthetic what happens? Do they draw straws to see who will be on the lead every race? I assume not. Someone always goes to the lead when in theory they should be stalking or sitting in the back on a closer for that one run. NOthing is more frustrating then placing a wager on a horse at SA and seeing the jock rush up to the lead when the PPs show that they don't need to do that.
PSH
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Yea,I don't understand why she did it.I was worried about having the one hole again,and thought I would probably lose to somebody with a better post.My guess is this was on her mind(a possible bad trip,) and she had room and horse to get decent stalking position.I just wish she would of rated a length off(ala Prado,) because that is a way he has won.He has won from just off,and from deep.He even has won when getting a clear lead.Yesterday was the 3rd time he has failed miserably when dueling on the lead.To me,the track still favors the style of the winners of the 6th,and 8th races.She won on the lead in the 4th race(a turf race marathon.) She then saw Garcia survive on the lead in the 5th race dirt sprint.That was a horrible group in the 5th race,though.Also,Garcia is a world class gate to wire speed jock.With Valenzuela gone (maybe forever,) this is probably the best jockey out here for stealing sprints gate to wire.If you have a pressured pace on that track,I still think you're at a big disadvantage right now......Anyways,my horse could easily have beaten that 5 horse from off the pace,and that's why it frustrates me so much that she didn't rate him.I had a feeling the droppers were all horses off form that trainers were trying to drop to get wins by default,and this circuit isn't gunna work that way.If you want to win,then you better have some form.So,I thought the droppers wouldn't win.I thought I had to beat the WEAVER,THE 2 horse,and the 5 horse.That turned out to be very possible,but she simply didn't rate the horse.It is infuriating,because I singled the winner of the 7th(with YCHASE DE CAT in the 6th,and had all in the last.) The only way to look at it positively is to remember she could of had a troubled trip 2nd(if rated.)Also,if a bomb won the last it could have paid 2-3k (instead of $800 for the p3.) I guess I was lucky to win the 7th with Smith's horse getting up.So,was lucky in one leg,and unlucky in the previous leg.Also,I failed to cap the last correctly.I could easily had the 6 horse and cashed with the back up all/10 /two horses in last leg - ticket.So,I see it as me blowing the last,and her blowing the 6th.Shouldn't have used the 8 horse in the last.Horses breaking their maiden going sprints,are not great plays stretching out against winners who have stretched out already.The winner of the last seemed to me like he had some bad habits in the stretch,and I thought he had every chance to get up with GOMEZ up last time.Gomez moved.I knew the weight break might help.I thought he had a shot.That's where I lost.I had a chance to overcome Chantal's decision,and win a p3,but used the wrong 2 horses in the last leg of the cover ticket. It's little like making a par in pro golf.They can make one bad shot,but the other shots on the hole have to be good ones,or they bogey.
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