5/9: Belmont (4th-9th)
 

Happy to get back to the home circuit(s) after the extended visit to KY continued past Derby Week. Monmouth and Presque Isle both open Friday, with Delaware, Pimlico and Belmont in full swing. Belmont the focus today...


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES/CHANGES


4th: MSW, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, Super)

OFF THE TURF

OFF TURF: 11-2-9-6
(9-3-10-11)


5th: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P3, G/S)

Most Likely: #5 Civil Suit 5-2 (But note poor wet track record) 4th
Best Value: #7 Bomber D Back 6-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Call Tiger 7-2 3rd


6th: S/ALW, 3yo, 7.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Hard Moonshine 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Top Leader 6-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Buy a Personality 5-2 2nd


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f (P3)

OFF THE TURF

OFF TURF: 1a-3-13-12
(1a-2-11-3)


8th: OC/N3X, F&M-4+, 6f (DD)

Best Value: #1 Solarana 5-1 2nd
Most Likely: #4 Looky Yonder 2-1 WON
Next Best: #2 Tight Storm 5-2 3rd


9th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 1m (Super)

Most Likely: #7 Tony the Terio 2-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Yankee Chief 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Maps Hope 5-2 5th
Exotics Add: #9 Ring Bernadette 7-2 WON


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 2-9-11
5: 2-7
6: 3-6-7
7: 1
8: 1-4
9: 1-7

3x2x3x1x2x2 = 72 x $2 = $144


@$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-3-5-6-7
7: 1
8: 1-2-4 (P3 $117.00)
9: 1-4-7

6x1x3x3 = $54


Good luck!
Steve

Steve--any thoughts about Honour Above Self in the 5th?

Paul

Frustrating horse. Looked like he was going to be something and just hasn't materialized. Would seem to be an interesting claim, but if the Chief couldn't get him going, who's gonna? Had him in the selections at first and then narrowed it further to 3 with the 7 horse field. Tough race.

Steve,

If we get the big rains, I want to see if that Darley/Mclaughlin colt gets in Royal(#11) and maybe even toss the 2phenomenal Cat on the off track[<- risky, I don't know maybe he does handle the slop StormCat/Ogygian].

B/F,

I capped for an OK day.. Will see if what happens after lunch. I mentioned that Civil Suit in the 5th isn't as imposing if it comes up mud, and that I think either end of the Hough entry is the goods in the 7th on or off the turf.

Agree that the #11 (MTO) from KMc is prominant if the 4th comes off...

Rains seem to be setting in since around 9AM. Forecast for potentially a couple inches of rain today. Definitely a day to keep an eye on conditions.

Good Luck!

I'm guessing sloppy/off by post time... was hoping to play MTH opening day but doesn't look promising right now.

Luckily this was forecast and I didn't waste much time handicapping the card. There's always HOL.

Looks like the turf is "off" today.

Indeed it is... SCR/CHG's shortly...

Complete: http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/BEL-changes.asp



SCR:

4
5 Birthday Balloonz Early


5
6 Gold Deputy Early


7
1 (poe) Holiday Trip Early
2B Big Wig Early
4 Lava Cat Early
5 Riptide (ARG) Early
6 Gravitational Early
9 Riz Sauvage Early
10 Moral Compass Early


9
2 Doctor Problum Early

Well at least I am garaunteed to advance in the Showdown contest as my selection was in Race #3 (now a 3 horse field)... Along with almost everyone else I will presume.

Free square day... anybody who DIDNT use the 3rd race doesn't deserve to win, anyways.

going with bedford arch in the 4th pp 10....

Just noticed the breeding on #2 P. Cat in the 4th...I'm curious how Johannesburg's sibling will do in this. Bro won at this track years ago also.