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  #1  
Old 05-09-2008, 08:30 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Default 5/9: Belmont (4th-9th)

Happy to get back to the home circuit(s) after the extended visit to KY continued past Derby Week. Monmouth and Presque Isle both open Friday, with Delaware, Pimlico and Belmont in full swing. Belmont the focus today...


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES/CHANGES


4th: MSW, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, Super)

OFF THE TURF

OFF TURF: 11-2-9-6
(9-3-10-11)


5th: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P3, G/S)

Most Likely: #5 Civil Suit 5-2 (But note poor wet track record) 4th
Best Value: #7 Bomber D Back 6-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Call Tiger 7-2 3rd


6th: S/ALW, 3yo, 7.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Hard Moonshine 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Top Leader 6-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Buy a Personality 5-2 2nd


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f (P3)

OFF THE TURF

OFF TURF: 1a-3-13-12
(1a-2-11-3)


8th: OC/N3X, F&M-4+, 6f (DD)

Best Value: #1 Solarana 5-1 2nd
Most Likely: #4 Looky Yonder 2-1 WON
Next Best: #2 Tight Storm 5-2 3rd


9th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 1m (Super)

Most Likely: #7 Tony the Terio 2-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Yankee Chief 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Maps Hope 5-2 5th
Exotics Add: #9 Ring Bernadette 7-2 WON


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 2-9-11
5: 2-7
6: 3-6-7
7: 1
8: 1-4
9: 1-7

3x2x3x1x2x2 = 72 x $2 = $144


@$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-3-5-6-7
7: 1
8: 1-2-4 (P3 $117.00)
9: 1-4-7

6x1x3x3 = $54


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 05-10-2008 at 05:13 AM.
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  #2  
Old 05-09-2008, 08:44 AM
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pweizer pweizer is offline
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Steve--any thoughts about Honour Above Self in the 5th?

Paul
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  #3  
Old 05-09-2008, 09:29 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pweizer
Steve--any thoughts about Honour Above Self in the 5th?

Paul
Frustrating horse. Looked like he was going to be something and just hasn't materialized. Would seem to be an interesting claim, but if the Chief couldn't get him going, who's gonna? Had him in the selections at first and then narrowed it further to 3 with the 7 horse field. Tough race.
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  #4  
Old 05-09-2008, 09:35 AM
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Bobby Fischer Bobby Fischer is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept


4th: MSW, 3+, 6f-T (P6, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Forest of Dreams 5-2
Best Value: #1 Just a Warning 5-1
Next Best: #10 Bedford Arch 4-1
Exotics Add: #2 Phenomenal Cat 6-1
Steve,

If we get the big rains, I want to see if that Darley/Mclaughlin colt gets in Royal(#11) and maybe even toss the 2phenomenal Cat on the off track[<- risky, I don't know maybe he does handle the slop StormCat/Ogygian].
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  #5  
Old 05-09-2008, 09:39 AM
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B/F,

I capped for an OK day.. Will see if what happens after lunch. I mentioned that Civil Suit in the 5th isn't as imposing if it comes up mud, and that I think either end of the Hough entry is the goods in the 7th on or off the turf.

Agree that the #11 (MTO) from KMc is prominant if the 4th comes off...
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #6  
Old 05-09-2008, 10:00 AM
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pmacdaddy pmacdaddy is offline
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Rains seem to be setting in since around 9AM. Forecast for potentially a couple inches of rain today. Definitely a day to keep an eye on conditions.

Good Luck!
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  #7  
Old 05-09-2008, 10:31 AM
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philcski philcski is offline
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I'm guessing sloppy/off by post time... was hoping to play MTH opening day but doesn't look promising right now.
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  #8  
Old 05-09-2008, 10:33 AM
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the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
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Luckily this was forecast and I didn't waste much time handicapping the card. There's always HOL.
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  #9  
Old 05-09-2008, 10:54 AM
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zippyneedsawin zippyneedsawin is offline
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Looks like the turf is "off" today.
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  #10  
Old 05-09-2008, 11:15 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by zippyneedsawin
Looks like the turf is "off" today.
Indeed it is... SCR/CHG's shortly...
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #11  
Old 05-09-2008, 11:21 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Complete: http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/BEL-changes.asp



SCR:

4
5 Birthday Balloonz Early


5
6 Gold Deputy Early


7
1 (poe) Holiday Trip Early
2B Big Wig Early
4 Lava Cat Early
5 Riptide (ARG) Early
6 Gravitational Early
9 Riz Sauvage Early
10 Moral Compass Early


9
2 Doctor Problum Early
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #12  
Old 05-09-2008, 12:02 PM
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pmacdaddy pmacdaddy is offline
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Well at least I am garaunteed to advance in the Showdown contest as my selection was in Race #3 (now a 3 horse field)... Along with almost everyone else I will presume.
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  #13  
Old 05-09-2008, 12:36 PM
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philcski philcski is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pmacdaddy
Well at least I am garaunteed to advance in the Showdown contest as my selection was in Race #3 (now a 3 horse field)... Along with almost everyone else I will presume.
Free square day... anybody who DIDNT use the 3rd race doesn't deserve to win, anyways.
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  #14  
Old 05-09-2008, 02:29 PM
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hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
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going with bedford arch in the 4th pp 10....
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  #15  
Old 05-09-2008, 02:36 PM
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Just noticed the breeding on #2 P. Cat in the 4th...I'm curious how Johannesburg's sibling will do in this. Bro won at this track years ago also.
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  #16  
Old 05-09-2008, 03:21 PM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
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What's the chance that they're on the turf tomorrow?
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  #17  
Old 05-09-2008, 03:27 PM
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moses moses is offline
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Anybody hit with Forest Lightning in the 4th? God bless anyone who saw that one coming.

Race 6. I'm looking for:

Merlin Circle pp 4
Buy a Personality pp 6
Major Kevin pp 2
Artytheonemanparty pp 5
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  #18  
Old 05-09-2008, 03:38 PM
TitanSooner TitanSooner is offline
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late p4

2,3,4,6
1,2,11,12,13
2,4,5
7

$60
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  #19  
Old 05-09-2008, 05:06 PM
Coach Pants
 
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ERGH!! On my way home listening to ATR and Steve says Looky Yonder is 3/1. Start up the phone bet, get all the information in, hit send, 30 second pause, DIDN'T GO THROUGH!!


*SCREAMS*

Race 9

WP 4
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  #20  
Old 05-09-2008, 05:23 PM
Coach Pants
 
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Maps Hopeless
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