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-   -   8/20: Saratoga (Day 20; Special; $178k C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=31302)

Kasept 08-20-2009 04:23 AM

8/20: Saratoga (Day 20; Special; $178k C/O)
 
Second half of the meet opened with a rush Wednesday with $16.00 'Best Value' winner Afleet Alexandra and terrific tri ($235 for $2) in off the turf opener. Though DQ of Chippewa Court to Speechifying in the 2nd depressed Double payoff (From $90 to $64), P3 to Rodman in the third paid a handsome $124 and it looked like a big day was in the offing... And then came the 4th. Tidal Pool, board's longest shot from DWL in a 5 horse field, took away P4 chances and seemed to completely derail the afternoon for me.

Bright spot did come around later to a degree, as another of the overlaid win types that have boosted the bankroll arrived in the form of McPeek's House of Grace (15-1 ML; Exotics Use), who blew away the 7th at 23-1 ($48.80). Exacta box of the tabs returned $218 ($1) with Next Best Beautiful Song (7-1) 2nd. The net result, while there were plenty of winning tickets cashed, was another day of just the slightest profit, as failed P3, P4 and P6 tries gobbling up more than $450. Hope you did well in the spots where it was available...

Carryover goes double with $178,000 starting in the sextet coffers. Sequence features a goofy 4 maiden affairs and confusing Saratoga Special, and will be challenging.


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: Walsh Novice, 4+, 19f-Hurdles (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Nationbuilder 6-1 3rd
Most Likely: #2 You the Man 3-1 4th
Next Best: #12 Left Unsaid 4-1 WON
Super Add: #9 Diamond Fever 20-1 unplaced


2nd: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e C. Martin entry 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Grand Decision 5-2 4th
Best Value: #7 Lucy N Thunder 8-1 3rd


3rd: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Trainee 3-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Multipass 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Quisom 5-2 3rd


4th: Solomon Northup, 3yo, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Ask Joe 6-1 6th
Most Likely: #5 Perfect Officer 5-2 WON
Next Best: #7 Speight the Halo 10-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Affirmatif 3-1 2nd


5th: NYB-MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Myrtle's Gray 5-1 4th
Most Likely: #6 Dream Train 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #4 Rogue's Jewel 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Bobbi O. 5-1 WON


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-6
3: 2-4-6
4: 4-5-7-8
5: 2-4-6

2x3x4x3 = $72


6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Whirling Thunder 5-2 WON
Best Value: #6 Dukinfield 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Magnificent Max 2-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Fair Catch 10-1 5th


7th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Golly Day 4-1 WON
Best Value: #6 Supreme Serene 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Midnight Mass 5-1 3rd


8th: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Cap the Thunder 2-1 WON
Best Value: #6 Patronus Charm 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Grace's Valentine 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Justify 12-1 2nd


9th: 104th Saratoga Special (Gr. II), 2yo, 6.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Zip Quik 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 D' Funnybone 7-2 WON
Best Value: #7 Activity Report 20-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Fearless Cowboy 8-1 3rd


10th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (Super)

Best Value: #5 Dear Contender 15-1 5th
Most Likely: #8 Beso Del Sur 3-1 WON
Exotics Use: #4 Proud Diva 15-1 4th
Super Add: #2 SCR


$200 P6 Play:

5: 2-6
6: 1-2-6
7: 3-6
8: 2
9: 3-6-7-9
10: 5-8

2x3x2x1x4x2 = 96 x $2 = $192

$2 Pick 6 (7-1-3-2-6-8) 5 Correct Paid $48.20 (X 2 in Leg A = $96.40)


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-5-6
8: 2
9: 1-3-6-7-8-9
10: 2-4-5-8

3x1x6x4 = $72

$1 Pick 4 (3-2-6-8) 4 Correct Paid $182.50


Good luck!
Steve

VOL JACK 08-20-2009 09:02 AM

I think I would have to include Magnificent Max in the 6th.
Hes been screaming to be stretched out in distance...half to Germance.

atolunch 08-20-2009 10:59 AM

Scratches :

Race 1 #3 Northern Bay
Race 2 #3 Olive Eye, #5 Economic Tsunami
Race 3 #5 Lookalike
Race 4 #3 Boots Ahead
Race 5 #3 Roaring Belle, #5 Livin Well Babe
Race 6 #10 Adventurous Plan, #11 Shareholder Dues
Race 7 #2 Paying Attention, #3X Neversaywhen, #7 Most Happy Fella
Race 8 #1A World Express, #11 Synchronicity, #2B Laylaben, #12 Sadietheprettylady, #13 Tuscana
Race 9 #2 China
Race 10 #2 Our Montana Dream, #1A Seven in a Row, #10 Bella Cherokee, #2B Mocha Shake, #1X Stephen's Even

Rudeboyelvis 08-20-2009 11:08 AM

Scratches reeking havoc -


R1) 3 Northern Bay Early
R2) 3 Olive Eye Early
5 Economic Tsunami Early
R3) 5 Lookalike Early
R4) 3 Boots Ahead Early
R5) 3 Roaring Belle Early
5 Livin Well Babe Early
R6) 10 Adventurous Plan Early
11 Shareholder Dues Early
R7) 2 (poe) Paying Attention Early
3X Neversaywhen Early
7 Most Happy Fella Early
R8) 1A World Express Early
2B Laylaben Early
11 Synchronicity Early
12 Sadietheprettylady Early
13 Tuscana Early
R9) 2 China Late
R10) 1A Seven in a Row Late
1X Stephen's Even Late
2 Our Montana Dream Early
2B Mocha Shake Early
10 Bella Cherokee Early

atolunch 08-20-2009 11:15 AM

Is there bad weather or something??

Seems like a ton of scratches. :zz:

Rudeboyelvis 08-20-2009 11:25 AM

Early P4 -

ALL//1,2,4,6//5//2,4,6,8

80.00

GL

jms62 08-20-2009 12:41 PM

2-Kaffies Doll = "Juiced"

docicu3 08-20-2009 12:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62
2-Kaffies Doll = "Juiced"

I don't know about that one. Seems logical to me....1) second lifetime race 2) jock upgrade 3) does 4F in 47 for the only workout since debut.

Given what was going on with Arroyo about the time of the debut I would give the trainer the benefit of the doubt here...sire has been doing pretty well.

jms62 08-20-2009 12:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by docicu3
I don't know about that one. Seems logical to me....1) second lifetime race 2) jock upgrade 3) does 4F in 47 for the only workout since debut.

Given what was going on with Arroyo about the time of the debut I would give the trainer the benefit of the doubt here...sire has been doing pretty well.

My comment was tongue in check and directed at the way she lead every call and appeared to never decelerate. The way she was running I thought for sure she would fold in deep stretch,

lemoncrush 08-20-2009 01:14 PM

Saratoga Late PK 4
 
$1 Late PK 4
Trying a small ticket.

7th
4 Smooth Transition - Had excuse in debut; added distance can only help
1 Camptown Blues - Love the 3 straight turf works for the stretch out, including bullet 7F drill 2 weeks ago.
7 Most Happy Fella (SCR)

8th
2 - Cap the Thunder - Improved dramatically on Toga turf in last; keeps Ramon.

9th
8 - Tiny Woods - love the way the Roman Ruler 2-yos are running this year.
6 - D' Funnybone - Calder shippers always make me nervous, but first time Dutrow is always dangerous
1 - Thisskyhasnolimit - Obvious
3 - Zip Quik - Need to include the closer, with an expected hot pace. The french connection is reunited.

10th
8 - Beso Del Sur - The Linda Rice turf sprint angle, the hottest turf jock at Saratoga angle, the cut back angle. Can't leave out.
7 - Flying Sappho - Turf sprints last summer/fall put her right in the mix; 2nd off long layoff
9 - Sarah's Sally - Why not? Competitive in 3 straight grass sprints.

$24 for $1 - Good luck everyone!

hoovesupsideyourhead 08-20-2009 02:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by docicu3
I don't know about that one. Seems logical to me....1) second lifetime race 2) jock upgrade 3) does 4F in 47 for the only workout since debut.

Given what was going on with Arroyo about the time of the debut I would give the trainer the benefit of the doubt here...sire has been doing pretty well.

have to agree if he had first l i would have bet him back..jv getting on was a
good tell

Arletta 08-20-2009 05:09 PM

Byk train arrives again :tro:

Great job Steve:)

SkinnyKid 08-20-2009 05:12 PM

Congrats Steve on a very nice day..keep it up!!

atolunch 08-20-2009 05:21 PM

Great job Steve!


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