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#1
08-20-2009, 05:23 AM
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8/20: Saratoga (Day 20; Special; $178k C/O)
Second half of the meet opened with a rush Wednesday with $16.00 'Best Value' winner Afleet Alexandra and terrific tri ($235 for $2) in off the turf opener. Though DQ of Chippewa Court to Speechifying in the 2nd depressed Double payoff (From $90 to $64), P3 to Rodman in the third paid a handsome $124 and it looked like a big day was in the offing... And then came the 4th. Tidal Pool, board's longest shot from DWL in a 5 horse field, took away P4 chances and seemed to completely derail the afternoon for me.
Bright spot did come around later to a degree, as another of the overlaid win types that have boosted the bankroll arrived in the form of McPeek's House of Grace (15-1 ML; Exotics Use), who blew away the 7th at 23-1 ($48.80). Exacta box of the tabs returned $218 ($1) with Next Best Beautiful Song (7-1) 2nd. The net result, while there were plenty of winning tickets cashed, was another day of just the slightest profit, as failed P3, P4 and P6 tries gobbling up more than $450. Hope you did well in the spots where it was available... Carryover goes double with $178,000 starting in the sextet coffers. Sequence features a goofy 4 maiden affairs and confusing Saratoga Special, and will be challenging. SARATOGA RACE COURSE POST-SCRATCHES 1st: Walsh Novice, 4+, 19f-Hurdles (P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #6 Nationbuilder 6-1 3rd Most Likely: #2 You the Man 3-1 4th Next Best: #12 Left Unsaid 4-1 WON Super Add: #9 Diamond Fever 20-1 unplaced 2nd: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #1e C. Martin entry 7-2 2nd Next Best: #6 Grand Decision 5-2 4th Best Value: #7 Lucy N Thunder 8-1 3rd 3rd: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #2 Trainee 3-1 4th Best Value: #4 Multipass 4-1 2nd Next Best: #6 Quisom 5-2 3rd 4th: Solomon Northup, 3yo, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #4 Ask Joe 6-1 6th Most Likely: #5 Perfect Officer 5-2 WON Next Best: #7 Speight the Halo 10-1 4th Super Add: #8 Affirmatif 3-1 2nd 5th: NYB-MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #2 Myrtle's Gray 5-1 4th Most Likely: #6 Dream Train 7-2 3rd Next Best: #4 Rogue's Jewel 3-1 2nd Super Add: #7 Bobbi O. 5-1 WON <$75 P4 Play: 2: 1-6 3: 2-4-6 4: 4-5-7-8 5: 2-4-6 2x3x4x3 = $72 6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #1 Whirling Thunder 5-2 WON Best Value: #6 Dukinfield 4-1 2nd Next Best: #2 Magnificent Max 2-1 3rd Super Add: #7 Fair Catch 10-1 5th 7th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #3 Golly Day 4-1 WON Best Value: #6 Supreme Serene 8-1 4th Next Best: #5 Midnight Mass 5-1 3rd 8th: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD) Most Likely: #2 Cap the Thunder 2-1 WON Best Value: #6 Patronus Charm 6-1 3rd Next Best: #5 Grace's Valentine 5-2 4th Exotics Use: #3 Justify 12-1 2nd 9th: 104th Saratoga Special (Gr. II), 2yo, 6.5f (DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Zip Quik 4-1 2nd Next Best: #6 D' Funnybone 7-2 WON Best Value: #7 Activity Report 20-1 5th Super Add: #9 Fearless Cowboy 8-1 3rd 10th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (Super) Best Value: #5 Dear Contender 15-1 5th Most Likely: #8 Beso Del Sur 3-1 WON Exotics Use: #4 Proud Diva 15-1 4th Super Add: #2 SCR $200 P6 Play: 5: 2-6 6: 1-2-6 7: 3-6 8: 2 9: 3-6-7-9 10: 5-8 2x3x2x1x4x2 = 96 x $2 = $192 $2 Pick 6 (7-1-3-2-6-8) 5 Correct Paid $48.20 (X 2 in Leg A = $96.40) <$75 P4 Play: 7: 3-5-6 8: 2 9: 1-3-6-7-8-9 10: 2-4-5-8 3x1x6x4 = $72 $1 Pick 4 (3-2-6-8) 4 Correct Paid $182.50 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 08-20-2009 at 06:17 PM. 
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#3
08-20-2009, 11:59 AM
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Scratches :
Race 1 #3 Northern Bay Race 2 #3 Olive Eye, #5 Economic Tsunami Race 3 #5 Lookalike Race 4 #3 Boots Ahead Race 5 #3 Roaring Belle, #5 Livin Well Babe Race 6 #10 Adventurous Plan, #11 Shareholder Dues Race 7 #2 Paying Attention, #3X Neversaywhen, #7 Most Happy Fella Race 8 #1A World Express, #11 Synchronicity, #2B Laylaben, #12 Sadietheprettylady, #13 Tuscana Race 9 #2 China Race 10 #2 Our Montana Dream, #1A Seven in a Row, #10 Bella Cherokee, #2B Mocha Shake, #1X Stephen's Even
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#4
08-20-2009, 12:08 PM
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Scratches reeking havoc -
R1) 3 Northern Bay Early R2) 3 Olive Eye Early 5 Economic Tsunami Early R3) 5 Lookalike Early R4) 3 Boots Ahead Early R5) 3 Roaring Belle Early 5 Livin Well Babe Early R6) 10 Adventurous Plan Early 11 Shareholder Dues Early R7) 2 (poe) Paying Attention Early 3X Neversaywhen Early 7 Most Happy Fella Early R8) 1A World Express Early 2B Laylaben Early 11 Synchronicity Early 12 Sadietheprettylady Early 13 Tuscana Early R9) 2 China Late R10) 1A Seven in a Row Late 1X Stephen's Even Late 2 Our Montana Dream Early 2B Mocha Shake Early 10 Bella Cherokee Early
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#6
08-20-2009, 12:25 PM
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Early P4 -
ALL//1,2,4,6//5//2,4,6,8 80.00 GL
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#8
08-20-2009, 01:50 PM
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Quote:
Given what was going on with Arroyo about the time of the debut I would give the trainer the benefit of the doubt here...sire has been doing pretty well.
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#9
08-20-2009, 01:59 PM
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Quote:
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#10
08-20-2009, 02:14 PM
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Saratoga Late PK 4
$1 Late PK 4
Trying a small ticket. 7th 4 Smooth Transition - Had excuse in debut; added distance can only help 1 Camptown Blues - Love the 3 straight turf works for the stretch out, including bullet 7F drill 2 weeks ago. 7 Most Happy Fella (SCR) 8th 2 - Cap the Thunder - Improved dramatically on Toga turf in last; keeps Ramon. 9th 8 - Tiny Woods - love the way the Roman Ruler 2-yos are running this year. 6 - D' Funnybone - Calder shippers always make me nervous, but first time Dutrow is always dangerous 1 - Thisskyhasnolimit - Obvious 3 - Zip Quik - Need to include the closer, with an expected hot pace. The french connection is reunited. 10th 8 - Beso Del Sur - The Linda Rice turf sprint angle, the hottest turf jock at Saratoga angle, the cut back angle. Can't leave out. 7 - Flying Sappho - Turf sprints last summer/fall put her right in the mix; 2nd off long layoff 9 - Sarah's Sally - Why not? Competitive in 3 straight grass sprints. $24 for $1 - Good luck everyone!
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#11
08-20-2009, 03:30 PM
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Quote:
good tell
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Linear Mode
