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-   -   1/20: Aqueduct ($112k C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=33886)

Kasept 01-20-2010 07:05 AM

1/20: Aqueduct ($112k C/O)
 
MLK Day carryover sequence proved unhittable Monday at the Big A as outsider type winners mounted up with Hazaam's Backer (from trainer Eddie Barker) the particular culprit in the 5th. Barker seems to be creating a list of completely implausable winners lately, and his 7-1 surprise package was perhaps 300-1 within the P6. The result was $111,900 being at large today. But the skein today is every bit as imposing as the Sunday/Monday sextets turned out to be, so it's hard to know how much to invest here. If you missed Tuesday's ATR, Andy Serling and I walk through the 4th-9th starting at 6:35pm. Watch and listen to Andy's and Eric Donovan's preview of the card at 11:35am on "Talking Horses" at NYRA.com.


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


(Note a number of SCR's impacting final selections/plays...)



4th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Sue the Attorney 5-2 WON
Next Best: #7 Razzlemedazzleme 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Vita Veloce 7-2 DNF-Lost rider
Best Value: #6 Sudden Silver 5-1 6th


5th: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Afleet Alexandra 6-1 WON
Most Likely: #4 Not a Peep 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Sarah Accomplished 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Sorority Sister 10-1 3rd


6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Wind Caper 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Claudette's Call 10-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Crema d'Oro 4-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Unveil the Mask 5-1 3rd


7th: CLM/NW2-11/18/09, F&M-4+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Elusive Fantasies 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Honeymoon Suite 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Wild Shiner 15-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Anna's Unreal 4-1 4th


8th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Rereadthefootnotes 8-5 WON
Best Value: #8 Citifest 12-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Poppa's Pick 15-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Sheraguska 20-1 5th


9th: NYB-MSW, F&M-4+, 1m-70y (Super)

Most Likely: #3 All Sew Smooth 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 Best Note 8-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Heavenly Pursuit 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Tom and Dicks Girl 15-1 6th


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 1-3-6-7
5: 4-6
6: 4-8
7: 3-7
8: 1
9: 3-6-9

4x2x2x2x1x3 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-4-7-8
7: 1-3-7
8: 1
9: 3-6-8-9

4x3x1x4 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 01-20-2010 10:12 AM

AQU SCR/CHG'S


5TH

1A Baroness Early
2 Goodday Early


6TH

9 Hello Gold Early


7TH

2 Blah Blah Blah Early
8 Western Slang Early


8TH

5 Emma's Posse Early
9 Frenchonionsoup Early


9TH

2 Silver City Dreams Early

Kasept 01-20-2010 12:02 PM

Was just looking at Thursday card... If this thing isn't hit today, it sure as hell isn't any easier tomorrow.

mm1019 01-20-2010 12:41 PM

Why put off to tomorrow what you can do today LOL Good luck Steve

Kasept 01-20-2010 01:30 PM

There we go... Very nice effort by the winner and ride by Fragoso (!). Feels good to get something right.

freddymo 01-20-2010 01:54 PM

You leave TAP off?

Kasept 01-20-2010 01:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freddymo
You leave TAP off?

Yeah... Had him in to start off and then dropped when I made final changes after the scratches.

freddymo 01-20-2010 02:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Yeah... Had him in to start off and then dropped when I made final changes after the scratches.

When these trainers get on these roles why bother looking at the form. TAP is currently ahead of the learning curve, you just cant let him beat you. We need an unlikely winner soon.. Tomorrow looks brutal

Kasept 01-20-2010 02:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freddymo
When these trainers get on these roles why bother looking at the form. TAP is currently ahead of the learning curve, you just cant let him beat you. We need an unlikely winner soon.. Tomorrow looks brutal

Agreed about tomorrow.

Form is one thing... I'm just curious how suddenly that horses discovers speed she has never displayed before. Certainly wasn't finely honed for a hustling performance in the morning.

NoLuvForPletch 01-20-2010 02:14 PM

only way this thing carries is if the westpoint loses in the 8th to someone other than cleric, otheriwse it would be a shocking upset regardless of the results in the 7th and 9th.

freddymo 01-20-2010 02:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Agreed about tomorrow.

Form is one thing... I'm just curious how suddenly that horses discovers speed she has never displayed before. Certainly wasn't finely honed for a hustling performance in the morning.

Steve you are making my point.. Let it go..TAP is back and you should know exactly what that means.. The B team are the test vehicles the A team will get the new training enhancements later in the year.. Sad but that's show biz

freddymo 01-20-2010 02:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NoLuvForPletch
only way this thing carries is if the westpoint loses in the 8th to someone other than cleric, otheriwse it would be a shocking upset regardless of the results in the 7th and 9th.

If the 1 or 5 win here there could be a bit more hope?

the_fat_man 01-20-2010 02:24 PM

Pancho Martin en FUEGO. (All with Saez, too).

NoLuvForPletch 01-20-2010 03:02 PM

only the 10 carries

NoLuvForPletch 01-20-2010 03:32 PM

can you imagine the poor guys that worked through the 1st 4 races, with the notion of singles in the 5th and 6th leg (like i did but i didn't have the martin in the 7th race, who could?) and have that horse hang like that for the length of the stretch?

i thought anna n was good? i think she needs to get stronger with her ability to finish...

i needed her for 3 (5 of 6) tickets...uugh

NoLuvForPletch 01-22-2010 09:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NoLuvForPletch
can you imagine the poor guys that worked through the 1st 4 races, with the notion of singles in the 5th and 6th leg (like i did but i didn't have the martin in the 7th race, who could?) and have that horse hang like that for the length of the stretch?

i thought anna n was good? i think she needs to get stronger with her ability to finish...

i needed her for 3 (5 of 6) tickets...uugh

Just got around to watching yesterday's late races (stopped watching after the 5th). Is she kidding? What was she doing in the 8th race? That is pathetic that she got caught by a 50-1 shot. I bet some big time players had the 8-2 cold and took a bath becuase of her.

For those who like her, please don't give me the "look what she did in the 6th race?" arguement. They ran around in a circle.

While we are on the subject of the female jockey, Ms Studart had a whale of a ride on the 5th in Indy Forum. She's not smart enough to get out of a jackpot, and not strong enough to do anything other than "ride" the horse. She had all the momentum coming off the turn, and was hopelessly blocked. Let's hope Persaud finds a real jock next time out, and maybe we'll get even better that the 4-1 I got yesterday.


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