10/19: Belmont Park ($27k C/O)
 

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: NY-MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Quetzalli 4-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Flavor Girl 7-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Double Mint 12-1 WON ($32.20)
Super Add: #5 Cat On the Island 5-1 8th


5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-OFF THE TURF (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Sunnybrook 7-2 4th
Best Value: #12 Speckledbird 6-1 WON ($10.60)
Exotics Use: #13 Turned to Gold 8-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Sneaky Girl 15-1 2nd


6th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #15 Stud Muffin 9-5 WON ($3.50)
Best Value: #16 The Roundhouse 8-1 6th
Next Best: #14 Green Bananas 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Smart Enuf 5-1 3rd


7th: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #13 Miss Bird Watch 7-2 6th
Best Value: #6 Mordecai Jones 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #15 Wise Choice 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #14 There Goes Molly 8-1 WON ($11.40)


8th: CLM, 3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Expecting Cash 3-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Ultimo Principe 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Orsonian 5-2 WON ($6.90)
Exotics Use: #2 War Colony 6-1 7th


9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (Super)

Most Likely: #6 Casa Tua 2nd
Best Value: #9 Dattts Appealing WON ($8.30)
Next Best: #8 An Absolute Ten 4th
Super Add: #1 Starry 7th


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 2-3
5: 3-12
6: 15-16
7: 6-13
8: 1-3-5
9: 6-9

2x2x2x2x3x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 15-16
7: 6-13-14-15
8: 1-3-5
9: 1-6-8-9

2x4x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48

$0.50 Pick 4 (1,4,6,9,10,11,13,15/14/5/9) Paid $92.62


Good luck!
Steve

congrats steve- I caught a tri with your value pick and the #11 in the 9th. my wife and i are heading to keeneland friday for the weekend. so this will definetly help the cause. thank you so much- take care

Odd P-3/P-4
 

Hit the late P-4 but thought it odd that the P-3 in races 7-9 paid better then the P-4. Odd!!!

There is nothing odd about it, the $2 pk3 paid $192.00 and the $2 pk4 paid $370.50.

Nice job Steve!!

You are absolutely right
 

Pointman ... you are right. I figured it out almost as I was hitting "submit reply". Good thing the brain froze up after the races today and not during.

Tom, Tom, Larry..

Thx. Interesting sequence. You wouldn't have thought there was money to be made with the races coming off the way they did, but I guess that's why it's always worthwhile putting in the effort. $88k for the P6 was pretty amazing. So many more things could have made the day crazier too... Stud Muffin could have lost, and Ultimo Principe came so close to upsetting the 8th. Kind of a fun afternoon of wagering despite the conditions. Hope all did well!