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  #1  
Old 10-19-2011, 11:19 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 10/19: Belmont Park ($27k C/O)

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: NY-MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Quetzalli 4-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Flavor Girl 7-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Double Mint 12-1 WON ($32.20)
Super Add: #5 Cat On the Island 5-1 8th


5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-OFF THE TURF (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Sunnybrook 7-2 4th
Best Value: #12 Speckledbird 6-1 WON ($10.60)
Exotics Use: #13 Turned to Gold 8-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Sneaky Girl 15-1 2nd


6th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #15 Stud Muffin 9-5 WON ($3.50)
Best Value: #16 The Roundhouse 8-1 6th
Next Best: #14 Green Bananas 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Smart Enuf 5-1 3rd


7th: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #13 Miss Bird Watch 7-2 6th
Best Value: #6 Mordecai Jones 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #15 Wise Choice 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #14 There Goes Molly 8-1 WON ($11.40)


8th: CLM, 3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Expecting Cash 3-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Ultimo Principe 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Orsonian 5-2 WON ($6.90)
Exotics Use: #2 War Colony 6-1 7th


9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (Super)

Most Likely: #6 Casa Tua 2nd
Best Value: #9 Dattts Appealing WON ($8.30)
Next Best: #8 An Absolute Ten 4th
Super Add: #1 Starry 7th


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 2-3
5: 3-12
6: 15-16
7: 6-13
8: 1-3-5
9: 6-9

2x2x2x2x3x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 15-16
7: 6-13-14-15
8: 1-3-5
9: 1-6-8-9

2x4x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48

$0.50 Pick 4 (1,4,6,9,10,11,13,15/14/5/9) Paid $92.62


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 10-19-2011 at 05:28 PM.
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  #2  
Old 10-19-2011, 05:26 PM
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herkhorse herkhorse is offline
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Location: Gonesville
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Default

!!!
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  #3  
Old 10-19-2011, 05:28 PM
lazytom lazytom is offline
Bowie
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 215
Default

congrats steve- I caught a tri with your value pick and the #11 in the 9th. my wife and i are heading to keeneland friday for the weekend. so this will definetly help the cause. thank you so much- take care

Last edited by lazytom : 10-19-2011 at 06:34 PM.
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  #4  
Old 10-19-2011, 05:40 PM
EPB EPB is offline
Pimlico
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 55
Default Odd P-3/P-4

Hit the late P-4 but thought it odd that the P-3 in races 7-9 paid better then the P-4. Odd!!!
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  #5  
Old 10-19-2011, 06:59 PM
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pointman pointman is offline
Saratoga
 
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Posts: 15,693
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by EPB View Post
Hit the late P-4 but thought it odd that the P-3 in races 7-9 paid better then the P-4. Odd!!!
There is nothing odd about it, the $2 pk3 paid $192.00 and the $2 pk4 paid $370.50.
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  #6  
Old 10-19-2011, 07:10 PM
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atolunch atolunch is offline
Oaklawn
 
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Posts: 2,218
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Nice job Steve!!
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  #7  
Old 10-19-2011, 07:17 PM
EPB EPB is offline
Pimlico
 
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Posts: 55
Default You are absolutely right

Pointman ... you are right. I figured it out almost as I was hitting "submit reply". Good thing the brain froze up after the races today and not during.
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  #8  
Old 10-19-2011, 09:28 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
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Tom, Tom, Larry..

Thx. Interesting sequence. You wouldn't have thought there was money to be made with the races coming off the way they did, but I guess that's why it's always worthwhile putting in the effort. $88k for the P6 was pretty amazing. So many more things could have made the day crazier too... Stud Muffin could have lost, and Ultimo Principe came so close to upsetting the 8th. Kind of a fun afternoon of wagering despite the conditions. Hope all did well!
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 10-20-2011 at 05:57 AM.
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