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-   -   1/31: Gulfstream Park (5th-10th); Santa Anita (5th-8th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=49838)

Kasept 01-31-2013 07:22 AM

1/31: Gulfstream Park (5th-10th); Santa Anita (5th-8th)
 
Enjoyed a big day Wednesday, the kind of necessary afternoons that keep you fluid during a challenging meet like that at Gulfstream. Interesting element to the sequences was the fact that $19 Saratoga Blitz (9th) was the only winner that was a little tricky to find. Madam Grace got away at 7-1 in the 6th, but was 3-1 on the ML and very much one of the obvious candidates. The other multi winners were 2-5, 3-1, 3-1 and 7-2! Hope everyone did well. Rainbow 6 approaching $1,000,000..


GULFSTREAM PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 5f-T/96' (P6, P3, DD)

$918k Rainbow 6 C/O starts here..

4 of these (3-5-7-9) exit similar 1/9 heat that saw Spun Cap win blanket finish photo. Likely need to use all of them and War Prospector to get through first sextet hurdle..

Best Value: #1 War Prospector 8-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Heaven Knows What 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Johannes 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Brilliant Katie 4-1 WON ($8.00)


6th: CLM, 4+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Walder took Flyin Trey for $15k in April and obviously got stuck returning him 9 months later for $6k. May be damaged goods but worktab solid enough to expect effort and Anderson OK's Rosario getting aboard..

Most Likely: #7 Flyin Trey 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Longer Terms Doug 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Positive Action 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 In Speight of It 10-1 WON ($26.20)


7th: OC/N1X, 4+, 11.5f-T/36' (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Reflecting 2-1 WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #5 Game Ball 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Gossip Column 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Soul of Borrego 12-1 8th


8th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Port Conway 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #1e Ziadie entry 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Kaleidosound 3-1 WON ($6.60)
Super Add: #9 Old Guys Rule 6-1 8th


9th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 5f-T/96' (DD)

Best Value: #4 Phyllis Ann 20-1 6th
Next Best: #1e Ward entry 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Fearless Jacq 6-1 4th
Super Add: #11 Sunrise Kitty 6-1 WON ($19.00)


10th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 1m-T/36' (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Scandalo 3-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Indygo Prince 4-1 7th
Best Value: #11 Divine Michael 20-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Treasure Thief 6-1 2nd
Super/Hi-5: #5 Billy Shirts 12-1 11th


<$50 P6 Play:

5: 1-3-5-7-9
6: 2-7-9
7: 1
8: 1-6-7
9: 1-4
10: 2-9-10-11

5x3x1x3x2x4 = 360 x .10 = $36


<$50 P5 Play:

6: 2-6-7-9
7: 1
8: 1-6-7
9: 1-4
10: 2-9-10-11

4x1x3x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-5-8
8: 1-6-7
9: 1-4-5-11
10: 2-9-10-11

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 01-31-2013 09:49 AM

GP SCR/CHG'S

netbet 01-31-2013 11:15 AM

5th- Probably going to single #9 Heaven Knows What on the jock change and 3rd off the layoff
6th- The 2 favorites look tough to me. #7 Flyin Trey drops off the clai and a long layoff but has a win at the level. #9 Longer Terms Doug has 2 wins at the level and drops today.
7th- #3 Side Road makes the 2nd start off the layoff and looks for the right level. #1 Reflecting has ran well in his last two and won off the last layoff.
8th- Going to single #7 Port Conway off of the last few Beyer figures.
9th- This is a very tough race for me. Really interested to see what #10 Case Cracker can do in here. Going to use 10, 8, 11, 9 and the entry.
10th- Another tough event to close out the card and Rainbow Six sequence. #10 Scandalo will be the top selection but I will also use #9 Indygo Prince and #4 Mecke Mantle.

As always, follow me on Twitter @ThoroughbredRD for any updates or additional selections/wagers.

Kasept 01-31-2013 01:35 PM

SANTA ANITA


POST SCRATCHES


5th: S/ALW, F&M-4+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Valeria 6-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Horsesanddivorces 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Miss Lady Ellen 5-1 8th
Super Add: #8 So She Dances 4-1 3rd


6th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 1m (P3, DD)

Expect this race produces a San Felipe starter or two..

Most Likely: #6 Code West 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Super Ninety Nine 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Appealing Tale 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 Persuasive Paul 9-2 6th


7th: ALW/N2X, 4+, 1m-T (DD)

Best Value: #1 Innocent Man 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Causeithertz 5-2 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #2 Gab Power 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 Royal F J 12-1 4th


8th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 5.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Gift Receipt 7-2 WON ($6.40)
Best Value: #8 Half Moon Gambler 6-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Apalachee Song 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Janes Ship 10-1 6th


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 4-7-9
6: 1-5-6
7: 1-2-3-4
8: 4-6-8-9

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

hoovesupsideyourhead 01-31-2013 01:47 PM

GP #5 $0.10 Pick-6 2,3,5,7,​WT,7,9,​WT,1,6,​WT,1,5,7,8,9,​WT,5,8,​WT, 3,4,7 48.00

GPK 01-31-2013 01:52 PM

Great job yesterday, SB. Didn't see a different play along thread for today, but I love Riki McD in the 6th at Tampa today.

GPK 01-31-2013 02:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK (Post 914102)
Great job yesterday, SB. Didn't see a different play along thread for today, but I love Riki McD in the 6th at Tampa today.

2nd best.

fantini33 01-31-2013 02:55 PM

Great job yesterday...keep it going today man, you deserve to put some days together.

Thinking that playing the massive carryover Rainbow 6 is just not worth chasing on a daily basis. With so many people playing you need to come up with 3 or 4 illogicals just to have a chance...and even that may not be enough.

I'm thinking of waiting for an off the turf miserable day to jump into it. The kind of day that a lot of bettors will just pass on the card entirely, eliminating the kind of numbers we are up against to get a single winner. Find some mid range horse to hang my hat on, then spread 4 or 5 deep in the other legs.

What's your take on when to play that wager?

MaTH716 01-31-2013 02:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fantini33 (Post 914108)
Great job yesterday...keep it going today man, you deserve to put some days together.

Thinking that playing the massive carryover Rainbow 6 is just not worth chasing on a daily basis. With so many people playing you need to come up with 3 or 4 illogicals just to have a chance...and even that may not be enough.

I'm thinking of waiting for an off the turf miserable day to jump into it. The kind of day that a lot of bettors will just pass on the card entirely, eliminating the kind of numbers we are up against to get a single winner. Find some mid range horse to hang my hat on, then spread 4 or 5 deep in the other legs.

What's your take on when to play that wager?

Closing Day.

fantini33 01-31-2013 03:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716 (Post 914109)
Closing Day.

I hear ya.

jms62 01-31-2013 03:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716 (Post 914109)
Closing Day.

Matt... NJ Bets doesn't do it.

MaTH716 01-31-2013 03:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 914111)
Matt... NJ Bets doesn't do it.

I know they don't take it on the site, but I think they do at the tracks and OTW's.

It's really to the point now, where it would almost take an act of God to hit that thing.

South Beach Luv 01-31-2013 03:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716 (Post 914112)
I know they don't take it on the site, but I think they do at the tracks and OTW's.

It's really to the point now, where it would almost take an act of God to hit that thing.

this is what xpressbet is showing for the 10cent payout to the 1:

1141243.60

Couldn't imagine holding that ticket.

GL in your P4 play Steve!

fantini33 01-31-2013 03:58 PM

Anyone have pick 5 will pays. Need them for the 4 9 10 11. Thx!

Kasept 01-31-2013 04:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK (Post 914102)
Great job yesterday, SB. Didn't see a different play along thread for today, but I love Riki McD in the 6th at Tampa today.

Thx Kev!

Kasept 01-31-2013 04:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fantini33 (Post 914123)
Anyone have pick 5 will pays. Need them for the 4 9 10 11. Thx!

Big. That's all you need to know.. Very big. G/L!

South Beach Luv 01-31-2013 04:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fantini33 (Post 914123)
Anyone have pick 5 will pays. Need them for the 4 9 10 11. Thx!

18163.2

14126.9

9081.6

63571.2

fantini33 01-31-2013 04:06 PM

Good God! I now wish I didnt know.

Kasept 01-31-2013 04:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fantini33 (Post 914108)
Great job yesterday...keep it going today man, you deserve to put some days together.

Thinking that playing the massive carryover Rainbow 6 is just not worth chasing on a daily basis. With so many people playing you need to come up with 3 or 4 illogicals just to have a chance...and even that may not be enough.

I'm thinking of waiting for an off the turf miserable day to jump into it. The kind of day that a lot of bettors will just pass on the card entirely, eliminating the kind of numbers we are up against to get a single winner. Find some mid range horse to hang my hat on, then spread 4 or 5 deep in the other legs.

What's your take on when to play that wager?

Thx.. We've been debating how/if to play it all week on the show. Have heard some interesting takes. Will start a thread about it and we'll get everyone's input.

Kasept 01-31-2013 04:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fantini33 (Post 914128)
Good God!

Told ya..


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